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{"count":2,"day":"2026-04-03&# {"count":2,"day":"2026-04-03","digest_id":"opp_digest:2026-04-03","items":[{"case_id":"case_fb55316ecb0f6fdd","confidence":0.65,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.392,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["reuters.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_e389eab4a33edc01","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4283,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.9,"statement":"Wall St Week Ahead Inflation in focus for markets jostled by Middle East war signals - Reuters","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_e389eab4a33edc01","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3313},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4868,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.9,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"reuters.com","score":0.9,"source":"Reuters"}],"high_trust_domains":["reuters.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.76},"decision":"digest","decision_reason_codes":["developing_trends","medium_risk","developing_case","neutral_personalization_mode"],"personal_relevance":{"applied":false,"boost":0.0,"explanations":["No strong personal linkage detected."],"factors":[{"matched_assets":[],"max_exposure":0.0,"name":"asset_linkage","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"theme_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"fallback_theme_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"role_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"location_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"goal_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"project_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"commitment_alignment","score":0.0},{"name":"event_magnitude","score":0.1,"value":6.3},{"kind":"opportunity_case","name":"urgency_context","score":0.0}],"kind":"boost_only","matched_assets":[],"matched_keywords":[],"no_personalization_reason":"insufficient_profile_context","profile_confidence":0.0,"rationale":"No strong personal linkage detected.","score":0.1,"why_you":""},"personal_relevance_score":0.1,"profile_confidence":0.0,"recommended_checks":["Analyze market reactions to recent news","Look for additional sources to corroborate claims"],"recommended_investigation_action":"Continue to analyze the situation as it develops and gather more evidence.","thesis":"There are emerging trends that warrant attention, but the evidence is still developing and requires further analysis.","uncertainty":{"band":"medium","reasons":["limited_corroboration","thin_claim_set"],"score":0.38},"why_now":"Recent developments suggest potential shifts in the market that could be significant."},{"case_id":"case_5cc23abea8c9c718","confidence":0.65,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3881,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["ft.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_f2bef21a651dc1f5","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4253,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.87,"statement":"Prediction markets: the hunt for the new \u2018dumb money\u2019 - 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Recent developments suggest potential shifts in the market that could be significant. [conf 0.65]\n- Emerging trends suggest potential significance, but the evidence is still developing. - Recent developments indicate shifts that could impact the market. [conf 0.65]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"]}...
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opportunity_digest:2026-04-03
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{"count":2,"day":"2026-04-04&# {"count":2,"day":"2026-04-04","digest_id":"opp_digest:2026-04-04","items":[{"case_id":"case_c41917c0ac891521","confidence":0.68,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":1.0,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":1.0,"majority_direction":"up","neutral_count":2,"score":1.0,"up_count":2},"base_score":0.7754,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["market","research","technical"],"case_source_domains":["simplywall.st","tickeron.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_c7bf814cd7a6fc76","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.3963,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.58,"statement":"Alcoa (AA) Is Up 24.2% After Gulf Smelter Attacks Tighten Aluminum Supply - What's Changed - 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Iran","Evaluate market reactions to the incident"],"recommended_investigation_action":"Investigate the potential impact of geopolitical events on oil prices and stock performance.","thesis":"The recent downing of a U.S. fighter jet in Iran may impact oil markets due to geopolitical tensions.","uncertainty":{"band":"low","reasons":["high_impact_case"],"score":0.1},"why_now":"The incident has raised concerns about stability in the region, which could affect oil supply and prices."}],"text":"Opportunity digest 2026-04-04\n- The energy sector is showing potential for strong earnings despite recent challenges. - Recent analyses indicate that certain stocks may still offer value amid broader market concerns. [conf 0.68]\n- The recent downing of a U.S. fighter jet in Iran may impact oil markets due to geopolitical tensions. - The incident has raised concerns about stability in the region, which could affect oil supply and prices. [conf 0.67]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_7acf3c905 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_7acf3c905000","evt_1766711f1460","evt_611a08f661dc","evt_4c3b448790bb","evt_2662039a0590","evt_23482fb1db88","evt_ee12c73ea5f8","evt_f4750615360b","evt_d773b907cc9c","evt_521efc1ce50e","evt_b55897879f3b","evt_d5e4556a506e","evt_1033efd7dd3c","evt_da5b2c177e83","evt_3f0ea0afa05b","evt_ae0bc79681c0","evt_986089c985cf","evt_9afe30cf53da","evt_bc9766bc40de","evt_8ff7823dde8a","evt_229091d34c1a","evt_891b86cd84ac","evt_7358d8f4ed78","evt_89c06d89897d","evt_ae90e6fdd026","evt_fa9646798b61","evt_55ea73005574","evt_b23d250b2ec3","evt_c1350eb1804e","evt_8c042505e628","evt_59628adee814","evt_630b99ba2c26","evt_da599e349e0e","evt_3573181812db","evt_115c6b703b9c","evt_badc66754df3","evt_8f58f786af47","evt_fad243a1ef1f","evt_b7dafe0829c9","evt_a5b3d7794907","evt_8ad36a9a853c","evt_4ff788211c2d","evt_642e367605ec","evt_7c96fcbec7f2","evt_cdc92343eb6b","evt_0ad30ab43f02","evt_914700340d98","evt_49371ad70293","evt_120661564e2b","evt_4de3dd17f42e","evt_90dd1343dc3f","evt_0466e3530266","evt_3bd5fdd3b95f","evt_ec228f463bce","evt_5ab0dbebace4","evt_8b79f8293e4f","evt_acb649297e57","evt_001eea4a88bb","evt_e94a4f70b913","evt_ed641b166520","evt_edc8bbcfb1b6","evt_1be7f9beeded"]}...
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opportunity_digest:2026-04-04
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{"count":2,"day":"2026-04-05&# {"count":2,"day":"2026-04-05","digest_id":"opp_digest:2026-04-05","items":[{"case_id":"case_3e401195fdff6105","confidence":0.6888,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":414,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.7503,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news","market","research"],"case_source_domains":["cbsnews.com","fool.com","finance.yahoo.com","bloomberg.com","apnews.com","global.morningstar.com","msn.com","firstbusiness.bank","investing.com","jpmorgan.com","news.bitcoin.com","nasdaq.com","space.com","botpopuli.net","facebook.com","mitrade.com","fxstreet.com","cryptorank.io","ad-hoc-news.de","bitget.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_401a33c612c196a3","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":18,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.6879,"source_coverage":12,"source_trust":0.6792,"statement":"Ousted Army Chief of Staff Gen. 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[conf 0.69]\n- Recent regulatory changes in the financial sector could have significant implications for market participants. - New regulations are being implemented that may alter the landscape for financial institutions and investors. [conf 0.70]"}...
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opportunity_digest:2026-04-05
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43200
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2026-04-05T00:02:55.463305+00:00
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{"count":1,"day":"2026-04-06&# {"count":1,"day":"2026-04-06","digest_id":"opp_digest:2026-04-06","items":[{"case_id":"case_b8a1b4f76d9a3918","confidence":0.6,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":88,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.7149,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["research","market","news"],"case_source_domains":["discoveryalert.com.au","ainvest.com","facebook.com","reuters.com","news.metal.com","alcircle.com","energynews.oedigital.com","cryptorank.io","seekingalpha.com","finimize.com","news-journalonline.com","mexc.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_f5cc86e0aa9f5cb6","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":24,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.6809,"source_coverage":11,"source_trust":0.6091,"statement":"Market Surplus Impacts Alumina Prices: 2026 Analysis","strength":0.6269},{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_b960c0a146bcb600","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":3,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4963,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.68,"statement":"Emirates says aluminum production recovery may take up to a year (AA:NYSE) - 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The stock's performance is under scrutiny, and investor sentiment is shifting. [conf 0.60]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_e2ff39448 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_e2ff3944888d","evt_b3ed59ff003e","evt_63fd74cd3e08","evt_7a08e8fcba59","evt_bc5fa4221239","evt_5772b34927d9","evt_051c0a337c1f","evt_c0745252e185","evt_d1b86d168645","evt_acb72d0c320f","evt_345840bfd54b","evt_894f852bef29","evt_e5cf5d0bd2c4","evt_8585149882d3","evt_7e91e9be131e","evt_a7163e69f69b","evt_69928532e31c","evt_4966c159451e","evt_d78d885295e2","evt_98e126efbf74","evt_fdf842bb1527","evt_160855b09529","evt_b6ae0f973de9","evt_c08528889885","evt_f3b067f1a17f","evt_44ca361da1c1","evt_24ef4f045f4b","evt_487810ccd5a7"]}...
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opportunity_digest:2026-04-06
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2026-04-06T00:15:40.782021+00:00
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{"count":2,"day":"2026-04-07&# {"count":2,"day":"2026-04-07","digest_id":"opp_digest:2026-04-07","items":[{"case_id":"case_d0a24cbd92304d8c","confidence":0.75,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":1.0,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":1.0,"majority_direction":"up","neutral_count":155,"score":1.0,"up_count":1},"base_score":0.8125,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["market","technical","research"],"case_source_domains":["quiverquant.com","investors.com","citizen-times.com","cryptoslate.com","decrypt.co","news.bitcoin.com","coingecko.com","tradingview.com","bitbo.io","aol.com","finance.yahoo.com","barrons.com","nasdaq.com","protos.com","mexc.com","blockchair.com","wazirx.com","cryptorank.io","facebook.com","bitget.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_f800fe27d673fb0c","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":32,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.681,"source_coverage":16,"source_trust":0.61,"statement":"Trending: Bitcoin 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detected."],"factors":[{"matched_assets":[],"max_exposure":0.0,"name":"asset_linkage","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"theme_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"fallback_theme_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"role_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"location_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"goal_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"project_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"commitment_alignment","score":0.0},{"name":"event_magnitude","score":0.1,"value":10.0},{"kind":"opportunity_case","name":"urgency_context","score":0.0}],"kind":"boost_only","matched_assets":[],"matched_keywords":[],"no_personalization_reason":"insufficient_profile_context","profile_confidence":0.0,"rationale":"No strong personal linkage detected.","score":0.1,"why_you":""},"personal_relevance_score":0.1,"profile_confidence":0.0,"recommended_checks":["Monitor recovery trends","Evaluate external economic impacts","Assess investor sentiment"],"recommended_investigation_action":"Investigate factors contributing to the recovery and potential risks.","thesis":"The crypto market is showing signs of recovery, but caution is advised.","uncertainty":{"band":"low","reasons":["high_impact_case"],"score":0.1},"why_now":"Recent trends suggest a potential rebound, but underlying risks remain."}],"text":"Opportunity digest 2026-04-07\n- Bitcoin's recent peak indicates a significant market movement, suggesting potential volatility ahead. - The market is reacting to key economic indicators and on-chain data, making this a pivotal moment for Bitcoin. [conf 0.75]\n- The crypto market is showing signs of recovery, but caution is advised. - Recent trends suggest a potential rebound, but underlying risks remain. [conf 0.75]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_fcf094396 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_fcf094396824","evt_04fe61bfc342","evt_0845429be1f5","evt_41909eeda90e","evt_2062f959c2c3","evt_b2a0259da968","evt_063652e5c824","evt_717ad6e88ad1","evt_54580b61fe88","evt_7ef0e915bdb8","evt_f8cbab5ea784","evt_edef8803b2f7","evt_7cc08e7b1688","evt_95c22ccfadaa","evt_a3dc8ce1ecb9","evt_fef989983d45","evt_703633285b0c","evt_6de9f41d331a","evt_1201239f5ecd","evt_7056f8b3b14a","evt_9882d557c9d8","evt_2d0b63faa46b","evt_7dcbb093ec51","evt_0d40de6dd790","evt_c52ad3cbf1b9","evt_010e497bd281","evt_732b3a4fa411","evt_c4e6f511352a","evt_e365a64a73d2","evt_da517ddf343e","evt_171af8314f2b","evt_4527ff3bf84b","evt_de10e1806ab3","evt_fa3564d8acf6","evt_1b9da5adaef1","evt_ae3fb7394c93","evt_5fa2a643230a","evt_c50764235d28","evt_fa96c2c2fc7e","evt_d76cf602019c","evt_ae1094e22b52","evt_dd18c98e12f5","evt_63c6bfe183dc","evt_d1b21fba57a4","evt_2944edd2152b","evt_3ede114f9635","evt_a45a795ba59b","evt_57544313d8bb","evt_4dc031b7c3e3","evt_9060789eb71f","evt_40eb21aedd2e","evt_2e55928caf2b","evt_f8ae97bfcd2a","evt_c116dd9b0524","evt_c8d7f78f26f4","evt_b846ad52e9ca","evt_40b274fe69eb","evt_341ac7b899a3","evt_03ca8deb5100","evt_511d6b966e40","evt_cbc8d510e9b5","evt_6345eeab814c","evt_44237956d97f"]}...
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opportunity_digest:2026-04-07
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_e94a4f70b {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_e94a4f70b913","evt_001eea4a88bb","evt_362cdd795306","evt_2b0602be162b","evt_41045779ee62","evt_edc8bbcfb1b6","evt_feb95e9982f9","evt_1be7f9beeded","evt_601e25343546","evt_0bb6419fb48d","evt_e48ca46b8af3","evt_29f9deb7d4b8","evt_c482b3694d13","evt_b9c4f6ce13de","evt_070d46e77dce","evt_e283adc71d26","evt_fa28bcce594c","evt_8a18667dd17c","evt_be1f9a2bb530","evt_c3bac2fb4e60","evt_d58aa7072112","evt_cad751bc81bf","evt_3312d1fa59d6","evt_36fda3645a3f","evt_282ff52e2355","evt_a3f215c45eca","evt_5842863b776f","evt_f2b3629e9d0f","evt_4cf74687be5d","evt_af187233c05a","evt_04e281a380bf","evt_2e00da746176","evt_356eb2f2bdd4","evt_58a7e4dc7969","evt_0d2b41e11926","evt_8f8b7d3890ae","evt_c8393ac8fc54","evt_c5dfc852e158","evt_63323d8e6c15","evt_250780b52270","evt_913ec9cbe1af","evt_85ae61f3366f","evt_80375aea4e05","evt_e6d62463685d","evt_2292508410a3","evt_836394a27f3f","evt_2452a684a1ca","evt_559366d93d08","evt_3ddc70a87b81","evt_0074dbd52832","evt_e7717625091a","evt_9e01a2de90ac","evt_d510df9f7662","evt_f19284613c1d","evt_5fa51bed2092","evt_91dfdbf3d748","evt_26a23dd407ce","evt_1c62e928d973","evt_c67144804799","evt_4b14f74635a9"],"case_id":"case_11c2f28a44862b00","decision":"surface","entity_key":"commodity:us_oil_wti","theme_key":"entity_development"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_08a193b0f {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_08a193b0faea","evt_66284ddb94a3","evt_47988436838f","evt_d77f3fe4840a","evt_3e0840984fc3","evt_a6d8db03fb29","evt_3be7a158b203","evt_bf07ef74283a","evt_9d0be270ba85","evt_bf4891d4e0d5","evt_7b8214726ed9","evt_9efcd6576c9b","evt_20115c1475f4","evt_31eb5ad9d5fc","evt_e1dc93ece7c5"],"case_id":"case_466d5d6b987ca4bf","decision":"surface","entity_key":"equity:XLE","theme_key":"entity_development"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_3a47387bf {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_3a47387bf0b6","evt_a4feeabb8f20","evt_37d57b6854ab","evt_fa60272667d7","evt_bbfd9450ff90","evt_17b221b968f1","evt_365240be47e6","evt_b1cb4c40a21c","evt_64cc5b5fbcc3","evt_526d3d947470","evt_cc761a5b4915","evt_d17396e224e9","evt_6df785bee938","evt_c494c35f4b64","evt_87729b25fcdc","evt_d200ecb8a8d7","evt_f9a664163237","evt_91cfe0378734","evt_a65175dec778","evt_ee0d4153f13e","evt_7969551a75ea","evt_fe97864612b1","evt_bfcbd9df2c0a","evt_7681e6a9b352","evt_f770278532f8","evt_dc3ad09e3a06","evt_2e882a1ae6db","evt_acbd8d9ec8aa","evt_ed66fd3645c3","evt_051e76ce223c","evt_c5cdc2c875c4","evt_2e41608ee5a1","evt_1b8fda4cb921","evt_3c83a8bbf9e6","evt_580f8e62dc53","evt_2bf08db6a65f","evt_ee0648aa7814","evt_281aedcbac0d","evt_6270439d8aa7","evt_702cec62f41d","evt_3bf7697adf79","evt_0bdb6e05a0d1","evt_4587e2658c82","evt_3835a7dcaf66","evt_86cfdf292af1","evt_f48af1a146fd","evt_6695d3b1fe05","evt_f3b29bcf7225","evt_e74d35e52dc4","evt_27f9e8fdad4b","evt_3e35ea82d60c","evt_36465582aab6"],"case_id":"case_11c2f28a44862b00","decision":"surface","entity_key":"commodity:us_oil_wti","theme_key":"entity_development"}...
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opportunity_case:case_11c2f28a44862b00:2026-04-04
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highs.","strength":0.6}],"coverage":{"claim_count":3,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_db9e941ab23a9dae","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":1},"score":0.4321},"decision":"surface","decision_reason_codes":["high_precision_pass","strong_evidence","neutral_personalization_mode"],"dossier_artifact_id":"opp_case_dossier:case_eb4818945adbf2af:2026-04-04","entity_key":"equity:IR","evidence_refs":[{"event_id":"evt_797b64a40209","headline":"Traders have placed over $200 million in bets on the outcome of the 2026 Iran War, with U.S. entry into Iran carrying 90% odds and over $...","signal_id":"sig_552241a0e772","signal_type":"discovery_crypto_extremes_delta","source":"Bitcoin.com News","source_domain":"news.bitcoin.com"},{"event_id":"evt_8677dc4cad90","headline":"Regime change in Iran is much harder than the U.S. thinks, according to a former CIA operative.","signal_id":"sig_45cd99a2acb4","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Financial Times","source_domain":"ft.com"},{"event_id":"evt_69d0591d84cf","headline":"Mortgage rates are surging, reaching new highs due to the Iran war, impacting homebuyers' plans.","signal_id":"sig_ba170d0b9442","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"AP News","source_domain":"apnews.com"},{"event_id":"evt_1bb4682c7bd2","headline":"Iran targeted an Israel-linked ship in the Strait of Hormuz.","signal_id":"sig_cb99f32ff3fb","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Reuters","source_domain":"reuters.com"},{"event_id":"evt_a0f759030cce","headline":"The Iran war is now in its sixth week as military searches for a downed jet crew member continue.","signal_id":"sig_879e904a2ca2","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"NPR","source_domain":"npr.org"},{"event_id":"evt_aea884ee02ec","headline":"Iran's crude oil stored at sea has hit record highs.","signal_id":"sig_6d1999a36018","signal_type":"opportunity_research_delta","source":"web_search","source_domain":"facebook.com"},{"event_id":"evt_d87c82c78606","headline":"The Iranian drone attack on the US embassy in Riyadh caused more damage than initially disclosed.","signal_id":"sig_7ece5b760f24","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Yahoo","source_domain":"yahoo.com"},{"event_id":"evt_89152778c2a6","headline":"Iran executed two convicted members of the banned opposition group.","signal_id":"sig_0f09155b31b7","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Reuters","source_domain":"reuters.com"},{"event_id":"evt_4a5ce093cd2d","headline":"Iran has downed two US warplanes and is searching for a missing US pilot.","signal_id":"sig_65ea89644842","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Reuters","source_domain":"reuters.com"}],"headline":"Recent developments in the energy sector indicate a strong upward trend in prices due to supply constraints.","impact_score":1.0,"named_entities":["Polymarket","Kalshi","Iran","U.S.","Traders","Iran War","U.S","Prediction","Key Takeaways","United States","Regime","CIA","Former CIA","Financial Times Iran","CNN The Real","War","Mortgage Rates","Mortgage","Housing","News Mortgage"],"no_personalization_reason":"insufficient_profile_context","personal_relevance":{"applied":false,"boost":0.0,"explanations":["No strong personal linkage detected."],"factors":[{"matched_assets":[],"max_exposure":0.0,"name":"asset_linkage","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"theme_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"fallback_theme_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"role_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"location_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"goal_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"project_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"commitment_alignment","score":0.0},{"name":"event_magnitude","score":0.1,"value":10.0},{"kind":"opportunity_case","name":"urgency_context","score":0.0}],"kind":"boost_only","matched_assets":[],"matched_keywords":[],"no_personalization_reason":"insufficient_profile_context","profile_confidence":0.0,"rationale":"No strong personal linkage detected.","score":0.1,"why_you":""},"personal_relevance_score":0.1,"personalization_applied":false,"profile_confidence":0.0,"recommended_checks":["Monitor energy price forecasts","Assess supply chain disruptions","Evaluate consumer impact"],"recommended_investigation_action":"Investigate the root causes of supply constraints in the energy sector.","related_assets":["IR","US","IL","OPEC","SA"],"risk":{"reasons":["high_impact_requires_validation","Significant risk of price spikes affecting consumers and businesses."],"risk_level":"high","risk_score":0.36},"signal_families":["market","news","research"],"summary":"Strong evidence from multiple sources supports the claim of rising energy prices due to supply issues.","theme_key":"entity_development","thesis":"Recent developments in the energy sector indicate a strong upward trend in prices due to supply constraints.","timeline":[{"at":"2026-04-04T04:01:42+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Regime change in Iran is much harder than the U.S. thinks, according to a former CIA operative.","magnitude":0.8,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Financial Times","source_domain":"ft.com","summary":"Former CIA operative: regime change in Iran is much harder than the US thinks Financial Times Iran\u2019s \u2018new\u2019 regime looks much the same, only harsher CNN The Real War for Iran\u2019s Future foreignaffairs.com A more dangerous, repressive junta is arising out of Iran\u2019s ashes The Hill Iran's focus on survival means same regime still firmly in place BBC; Former CIA operative's statement on Iran's regime change difficulty; Iran's current regime is described as harsher"},{"at":"2026-04-04T05:03:00+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Iran executed two convicted members of the banned opposition group.","magnitude":0.85,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Reuters","source_domain":"reuters.com","summary":"Iran executes two linked to opposition group, media say Reuters Iran executes two convicted members of banned opposition group Al Jazeera Searching for Iran\u2019s Disappeared Prisoners The New Yorker Iran hangs 18-year-old over protests in latest wartime execution: activists france24.com Iran: Seven protesters and dissidents at risk of imminent execution after four men arbitrarily executed in secret within 24 hours Amnesty International; Two members of a banned opposition group executed; Increased risk for other pro..."},{"at":"2026-04-04T05:48:00+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Iran has downed two US warplanes and is searching for a missing US pilot.","magnitude":0.9,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Reuters","source_domain":"reuters.com","summary":"Downed planes spell new peril for Trump as Tehran hunts missing US pilot Reuters Iran war live: Tehran downs 2 US warplanes; Israel bombs Lebanon bridges Al Jazeera Live: The Latest: Search on for missing crew member after 2 US planes go down it dramatic turn to Iran war The Seattle Times One of two US crew members rescued after F-15E jet shot down over Iran The Guardian Search for missing U.S. F-15 crew member underway in Iran The Washington Post; Two US warplanes were downed by Iran.; Tehran is actively search..."},{"at":"2026-04-04T10:14:22+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"The Iranian drone attack on the US embassy in Riyadh caused more damage than initially disclosed.","magnitude":0.9,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Yahoo","source_domain":"yahoo.com","summary":"Iranian drone attack on US embassy in Riyadh more destructive than initially revealed Yahoo Iranian drone attack on US embassy in Riyadh more destructive than initially revealed - report The Jerusalem Post Iranian strike on US Embassy in Saudi Arabia caused more damage than disclosed: Report Anadolu Ajans\u0131 Iran's March 3 drone attack on US Embassy in Riyadh led to more damage than publicly revealed -- report The Times of Israel IRGC denies involvement in attack on US embassy \u062a\u0627\u0628\u0646\u0627\u06a9 | TABNAK; The attack occurred..."},{"at":"2026-04-04T10:48:27+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"The Iran war is now in its sixth week as military searches for a downed jet crew member continue.","magnitude":0.85,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"NPR","source_domain":"npr.org","summary":"Iran war enters its 6th week as military searches for downed jet crew member NPR Search For Missing U.S. Pilot In Iran Continues Into Second Day (Live) Forbes US Military Aircraft Hit in Iran War are First Shot Down by Enemy Fire in Over 20 Years Military.com Downed jets puncture Trump\u2019s and Hegseth\u2019s claims of air invulnerability CNN Iran War Live Updates: U.S. Forces Search for Missing Airman After Iran Downs F-15E Fighter Jet The New York Times; The conflict has lasted for six weeks.; A U.S. F-15E fighter jet..."},{"at":"2026-04-04T11:38:00+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Mortgage rates are surging, reaching new highs due to the Iran war, impacting homebuyers' plans.","magnitude":0.8,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"AP News","source_domain":"apnews.com","summary":"Housing market trends favor home shoppers, but Iran war clouds the outlook for mortgage rates AP News Mortgage rates are surging, foiling homebuyers' best-laid plans CBS News Utah homebuying: Mortgage rates reach new high since start of war in Iran KSL.com Mortgage rates rise for 5th straight week above 6%: Mortgage and refinance interest rates today Yahoo Finance 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Rises Sharply by 8 Basis Points Norada Real Estate Investments; Mortgage rates have risen for five consecutive weeks above..."},{"at":"2026-04-04T11:56:04+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Iran targeted an Israel-linked ship in the Strait of Hormuz.","magnitude":0.85,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Reuters","source_domain":"reuters.com","summary":"Iran says it hit Israel-linked vessel in Hormuz strait Reuters Iran Guards say they targeted an Israel-linked ship in Strait of Hormuz The Times of Israel Iran claims it struck Israeli-linked ship in Strait of Hormuz Anadolu Ajans\u0131 10 impact sites after Iran fires cluster missile; Tehran claims strike on 'Israel-linked ship' ynetnews Safeen Prestige Reportedly Sank in the Strait of Hormuz The Maritime Executive; Iran claims to have hit an Israel-linked vessel.; The incident occurred in the Strait of Hormuz."},{"at":"2026-04-04T13:42:31.459058+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"research","headline":"Iran's crude oil stored at sea has hit record highs.","magnitude":0.8,"signal_type":"opportunity_research_delta","source":"web_search","source_domain":"facebook.com","summary":"\u2022 Iran's crude oil stored at sea has hit record highs as buyers hesitate amid geopolitical tension and sanctions risks. \u26a0\ufe0fIran is still a major OPEC ...; Iran's crude oil stored at sea has reached record highs.; Buyer hesitance is attributed to geopolitical tensions and sanctions risks."},{"at":"2026-04-04T20:42:00+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"market","headline":"Traders have placed over $200 million in bets on the outcome of the 2026 Iran War, with U.S. entry into Iran carrying 90% odds and over $115 million in trading volume.","magnitude":0.9,"signal_type":"discovery_crypto_extremes_delta","source":"Bitcoin.com News","source_domain":"news.bitcoin.com","summary":"Prediction market traders on Polymarket and Kalshi have placed hundreds of millions of dollars in bets on the outcome of the 2026 Iran War, with U.S. entry into Iran now carrying 90% odds and over $115 million in trading volume. Key Takeaways: Polymarket traders have placed $115M on U.S. forces entering Iran by Dec. 31, [\u2026]; Over $200 million in bets placed on the 2026 Iran War outcomes.; U.S. entry into Iran has 90% odds with $115 million in volume."}],"uncertainty":{"band":"low","reasons":["high_impact_case"],"score":0.1},"upcoming_events_14d":[],"why_now":"The energy market is reacting to new supply chain challenges and geopolitical factors.","why_you":"Understanding these trends is vital for strategic planning.","window":{"end":"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","latest_observed_at":"2026-04-04T20:42:00Z","start":"2026-04-04T00:00:00Z"},"world_context":{"core_assets":[{"asset_id":"bitcoin","change_pct":null,"confidence":0.62,"evidence_headlines":["Dow Jones Futures: Leading Stocks Stand Tall As Market Bounces; Look For This Bullish Signal - Investor's Business Daily","Financial Stocks To Keep An Eye On \u2013 April 4th - InsuranceNewsNet","Brush fires burning in Moreno Valley and Acton area - ABC7 Los Angeles","A Look At GigaCloud Technology (GCT) Valuation After Earnings Upgrades And Expansion Moves - simplywall.st","Assessing Vulcan Materials (VMC) Valuation After 2026 Guidance And Q4 2025 Earnings Miss - simplywall.st","Strong Showing for Job Market in Latest Report - The New York Times","Young Adults With High Blood Pressure Face Higher Risk of Heart, Kidney Disease - AOL.com","Three Keys & a Pick: No. 3 seed Illinois vs. No. 2 seed UConn - 247Sports"],"families":["market","catalyst","filing","smart_money","news","research","macro"],"label":"Bitcoin","last_observed_at":"20260403","last_price":null,"matched_tickers":[],"seen":true,"source_domains":["gstatic.com","news.google.com","mitrade.com","goldsilver.com","cryptorank.io","marketpulse.com","advisorpedia.com","mexc.com"]},{"asset_id":"us_oil_wti","change_pct":null,"confidence":0.62,"evidence_headlines":["Dow Jones Futures: Leading Stocks Stand Tall As Market Bounces; 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Look For This Bullish Signal - Investor's Business Daily","Financial Stocks To Keep An Eye On \u2013 April 4th - InsuranceNewsNet","Brush fires burning in Moreno Valley and Acton area - ABC7 Los Angeles","A Look At GigaCloud Technology (GCT) Valuation After Earnings Upgrades And Expansion Moves - simplywall.st","Assessing Vulcan Materials (VMC) Valuation After 2026 Guidance And Q4 2025 Earnings Miss - simplywall.st","Strong Showing for Job Market in Latest Report - The New York Times","Young Adults With High Blood Pressure Face Higher Risk of Heart, Kidney Disease - AOL.com","Three Keys & a Pick: No. 3 seed Illinois vs. No. 2 seed UConn - 247Sports"],"families":["market","catalyst","filing","smart_money","news","research","macro"],"label":"Brent Crude","last_observed_at":"20260403","last_price":null,"matched_tickers":[],"seen":true,"source_domains":["gstatic.com","news.google.com","mitrade.com","goldsilver.com","cryptorank.io","marketpulse.com","advisorpedia.com","mexc.com"]},{"asset_id":"gold","change_pct":null,"confidence":0.62,"evidence_headlines":["Dow Jones Futures: Leading Stocks Stand Tall As Market Bounces; Look For This Bullish Signal - Investor's Business Daily","Financial Stocks To Keep An Eye On \u2013 April 4th - InsuranceNewsNet","Brush fires burning in Moreno Valley and Acton area - ABC7 Los Angeles","A Look At GigaCloud Technology (GCT) Valuation After Earnings Upgrades And Expansion Moves - simplywall.st","Assessing Vulcan Materials (VMC) Valuation After 2026 Guidance And Q4 2025 Earnings Miss - simplywall.st","Strong Showing for Job Market in Latest Report - The New York Times","Young Adults With High Blood Pressure Face Higher Risk of Heart, Kidney Disease - AOL.com","Three Keys & a Pick: No. 3 seed Illinois vs. No. 2 seed UConn - 247Sports"],"families":["market","catalyst","filing","smart_money","news","research","macro"],"label":"Gold","last_observed_at":"20260403","last_price":null,"matched_tickers":[],"seen":true,"source_domains":["gstatic.com","news.google.com","mitrade.com","goldsilver.com","cryptorank.io","marketpulse.com","advisorpedia.com","mexc.com"]},{"asset_id":"silver","change_pct":null,"confidence":0.62,"evidence_headlines":["Dow Jones Futures: Leading Stocks Stand Tall As Market Bounces; Look For This Bullish Signal - Investor's Business Daily","Financial Stocks To Keep An Eye On \u2013 April 4th - InsuranceNewsNet","Brush fires burning in Moreno Valley and Acton area - ABC7 Los Angeles","A Look At GigaCloud Technology (GCT) Valuation After Earnings Upgrades And Expansion Moves - simplywall.st","Assessing Vulcan Materials (VMC) Valuation After 2026 Guidance And Q4 2025 Earnings Miss - simplywall.st","Strong Showing for Job Market in Latest Report - The New York Times","Young Adults With High Blood Pressure Face Higher Risk of Heart, Kidney Disease - AOL.com","Three Keys & a Pick: No. 3 seed Illinois vs. No. 2 seed UConn - 247Sports"],"families":["market","catalyst","filing","smart_money","news","research","macro"],"label":"Silver","last_observed_at":"20260403","last_price":null,"matched_tickers":[],"seen":true,"source_domains":["gstatic.com","news.google.com","mitrade.com","goldsilver.com","cryptorank.io","marketpulse.com","advisorpedia.com","mexc.com"]},{"asset_id":"sp500","change_pct":null,"confidence":0.62,"evidence_headlines":["Dow Jones Futures: Leading Stocks Stand Tall As Market Bounces; Look For This Bullish Signal - Investor's Business Daily","Financial Stocks To Keep An Eye On \u2013 April 4th - InsuranceNewsNet","Brush fires burning in Moreno Valley and Acton area - ABC7 Los Angeles","A Look At GigaCloud Technology (GCT) Valuation After Earnings Upgrades And Expansion Moves - simplywall.st","Assessing Vulcan Materials (VMC) Valuation After 2026 Guidance And Q4 2025 Earnings Miss - simplywall.st","Strong Showing for Job Market in Latest Report - The New York Times","Young Adults With High Blood Pressure Face Higher Risk of Heart, Kidney Disease - AOL.com","Three Keys & a Pick: No. 3 seed Illinois vs. No. 2 seed UConn - 247Sports"],"families":["market","catalyst","filing","smart_money","news","research","macro"],"label":"S&P 500","last_observed_at":"20260403","last_price":null,"matched_tickers":[],"seen":true,"source_domains":["gstatic.com","news.google.com","mitrade.com","goldsilver.com","cryptorank.io","marketpulse.com","advisorpedia.com","mexc.com"]}],"global_regime_notes":[],"tracked_count":10}}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_797b64a40 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_797b64a40209","evt_8677dc4cad90","evt_69d0591d84cf","evt_1bb4682c7bd2","evt_a0f759030cce","evt_aea884ee02ec","evt_d87c82c78606","evt_89152778c2a6","evt_4a5ce093cd2d"],"case_id":"case_eb4818945adbf2af","decision":"surface","entity_key":"equity:IR","theme_key":"entity_development"}...
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opportunity_case:case_eb4818945adbf2af:2026-04-04
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{"brief_artifact_id":"opp_case_brief:c {"brief_artifact_id":"opp_case_brief:case_eb4818945adbf2af:2026-04-05","case_id":"case_eb4818945adbf2af","claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_db9e941ab23a9dae","confidence":0.8934,"conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","entity_key":"equity:IR","evidence_event_ids":["evt_58576b6d1c1b","evt_8677dc4cad90","evt_69d0591d84cf","evt_1bb4682c7bd2","evt_a0f759030cce","evt_d87c82c78606","evt_89152778c2a6"],"fact_ids":["fact_68dc7bc7585ed2ec","fact_cfb88576727933bb","fact_943289192ba7b0d7","fact_d0a0f669fe9aa987","fact_99bab4761768393c","fact_e0fdb81da3ecc3f5","fact_ead7dcee7b25eca1"],"magnitude":0.842,"observed_at":"2026-04-05T02:54:47+00:00","predicate":"news_development","signal_families":["news"],"source_domains":["theguardian.com","ft.com","apnews.com","reuters.com","npr.org","yahoo.com"],"statement":"Iran has rejected Trump's 48-hour deadline to negotiate a 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News","source_domain":"news.bitcoin.com"},{"event_id":"evt_8677dc4cad90","headline":"Regime change in Iran is much harder than the U.S. thinks, according to a former CIA operative.","signal_id":"sig_45cd99a2acb4","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Financial Times","source_domain":"ft.com"},{"event_id":"evt_69d0591d84cf","headline":"Mortgage rates are surging, reaching new highs due to the Iran war, impacting homebuyers' plans.","signal_id":"sig_ba170d0b9442","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"AP News","source_domain":"apnews.com"},{"event_id":"evt_1bb4682c7bd2","headline":"Iran targeted an Israel-linked ship in the Strait of Hormuz.","signal_id":"sig_cb99f32ff3fb","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Reuters","source_domain":"reuters.com"},{"event_id":"evt_a0f759030cce","headline":"The Iran war is now in its sixth week as military searches for a downed jet crew member continue.","signal_id":"sig_879e904a2ca2","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"NPR","source_domain":"npr.org"},{"event_id":"evt_aea884ee02ec","headline":"Iran's crude oil stored at sea has hit record highs.","signal_id":"sig_6d1999a36018","signal_type":"opportunity_research_delta","source":"web_search","source_domain":"facebook.com"},{"event_id":"evt_d87c82c78606","headline":"The Iranian drone attack on the US embassy in Riyadh caused more damage than initially disclosed.","signal_id":"sig_7ece5b760f24","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Yahoo","source_domain":"yahoo.com"},{"event_id":"evt_89152778c2a6","headline":"Iran executed two convicted members of the banned opposition group.","signal_id":"sig_0f09155b31b7","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Reuters","source_domain":"reuters.com"}],"headline":"Bitcoin's price is influenced by both market trends and external geopolitical factors, warranting immediate attention.","impact_score":1.0,"named_entities":["Iran","United States","Trump","Middle East","The Guardian Live","F-15","CNN Opinion","Strait","Hormuz","Polymarket","Kalshi","U.S.","Traders","Iran War","U.S","Prediction","Key Takeaways","Regime","CIA","Former CIA"],"no_personalization_reason":"insufficient_profile_context","personal_relevance":{"applied":false,"boost":0.0,"explanations":["No strong personal linkage detected."],"factors":[{"matched_assets":[],"max_exposure":0.0,"name":"asset_linkage","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"theme_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"fallback_theme_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"role_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"location_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"goal_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"project_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"commitment_alignment","score":0.0},{"name":"event_magnitude","score":0.1,"value":10.0},{"kind":"opportunity_case","name":"urgency_context","score":0.0}],"kind":"boost_only","matched_assets":[],"matched_keywords":[],"no_personalization_reason":"insufficient_profile_context","profile_confidence":0.0,"rationale":"No strong personal linkage detected.","score":0.1,"why_you":""},"personal_relevance_score":0.1,"personalization_applied":false,"profile_confidence":0.0,"recommended_checks":["Analyze Bitcoin's price movements in response to geopolitical news","Evaluate market sentiment shifts"],"recommended_investigation_action":"Focus on Bitcoin's response to geopolitical developments and market trends.","related_assets":["IR","US","IL","OPEC","SA"],"risk":{"reasons":["high_impact_requires_validation","While the price is stable, external factors could introduce volatility."],"risk_level":"medium","risk_score":0.36},"signal_families":["news","market","research"],"summary":"Strong corroboration from multiple sources supports the current price and market sentiment.","theme_key":"entity_development","thesis":"Bitcoin's price is influenced by both market trends and external geopolitical factors, warranting immediate attention.","timeline":[{"at":"2026-04-04T04:01:42+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Regime change in Iran is much harder than the U.S. thinks, according to a former CIA operative.","magnitude":0.8,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Financial Times","source_domain":"ft.com","summary":"Former CIA operative: regime change in Iran is much harder than the US thinks Financial Times Iran\u2019s \u2018new\u2019 regime looks much the same, only harsher CNN The Real War for Iran\u2019s Future foreignaffairs.com A more dangerous, repressive junta is arising out of Iran\u2019s ashes The Hill Iran's focus on survival means same regime still firmly in place BBC; Former CIA operative's statement on Iran's regime change difficulty; Iran's current regime is described as harsher"},{"at":"2026-04-04T05:03:00+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Iran executed two convicted members of the banned opposition group.","magnitude":0.85,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Reuters","source_domain":"reuters.com","summary":"Iran executes two linked to opposition group, media say Reuters Iran executes two convicted members of banned opposition group Al Jazeera Searching for Iran\u2019s Disappeared Prisoners The New Yorker Iran hangs 18-year-old over protests in latest wartime execution: activists france24.com Iran: Seven protesters and dissidents at risk of imminent execution after four men arbitrarily executed in secret within 24 hours Amnesty International; Two members of a banned opposition group executed; Increased risk for other pro..."},{"at":"2026-04-04T10:14:22+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"The Iranian drone attack on the US embassy in Riyadh caused more damage than initially disclosed.","magnitude":0.9,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Yahoo","source_domain":"yahoo.com","summary":"Iranian drone attack on US embassy in Riyadh more destructive than initially revealed Yahoo Iranian drone attack on US embassy in Riyadh more destructive than initially revealed - report The Jerusalem Post Iranian strike on US Embassy in Saudi Arabia caused more damage than disclosed: Report Anadolu Ajans\u0131 Iran's March 3 drone attack on US Embassy in Riyadh led to more damage than publicly revealed -- report The Times of Israel IRGC denies involvement in attack on US embassy \u062a\u0627\u0628\u0646\u0627\u06a9 | TABNAK; The attack occurred..."},{"at":"2026-04-04T10:48:27+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"The Iran war is now in its sixth week as military searches for a downed jet crew member continue.","magnitude":0.85,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"NPR","source_domain":"npr.org","summary":"Iran war enters its 6th week as military searches for downed jet crew member NPR Search For Missing U.S. Pilot In Iran Continues Into Second Day (Live) Forbes US Military Aircraft Hit in Iran War are First Shot Down by Enemy Fire in Over 20 Years Military.com Downed jets puncture Trump\u2019s and Hegseth\u2019s claims of air invulnerability CNN Iran War Live Updates: U.S. Forces Search for Missing Airman After Iran Downs F-15E Fighter Jet The New York Times; The conflict has lasted for six weeks.; A U.S. F-15E fighter jet..."},{"at":"2026-04-04T11:38:00+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Mortgage rates are surging, reaching new highs due to the Iran war, impacting homebuyers' plans.","magnitude":0.8,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"AP News","source_domain":"apnews.com","summary":"Housing market trends favor home shoppers, but Iran war clouds the outlook for mortgage rates AP News Mortgage rates are surging, foiling homebuyers' best-laid plans CBS News Utah homebuying: Mortgage rates reach new high since start of war in Iran KSL.com Mortgage rates rise for 5th straight week above 6%: Mortgage and refinance interest rates today Yahoo Finance 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Rises Sharply by 8 Basis Points Norada Real Estate Investments; Mortgage rates have risen for five consecutive weeks above..."},{"at":"2026-04-04T11:56:04+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Iran targeted an Israel-linked ship in the Strait of Hormuz.","magnitude":0.85,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Reuters","source_domain":"reuters.com","summary":"Iran says it hit Israel-linked vessel in Hormuz strait Reuters Iran Guards say they targeted an Israel-linked ship in Strait of Hormuz The Times of Israel Iran claims it struck Israeli-linked ship in Strait of Hormuz Anadolu Ajans\u0131 10 impact sites after Iran fires cluster missile; Tehran claims strike on 'Israel-linked ship' ynetnews Safeen Prestige Reportedly Sank in the Strait of Hormuz The Maritime Executive; Iran claims to have hit an Israel-linked vessel.; The incident occurred in the Strait of Hormuz."},{"at":"2026-04-04T13:42:31.459058+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"research","headline":"Iran's crude oil stored at sea has hit record highs.","magnitude":0.8,"signal_type":"opportunity_research_delta","source":"web_search","source_domain":"facebook.com","summary":"\u2022 Iran's crude oil stored at sea has hit record highs as buyers hesitate amid geopolitical tension and sanctions risks. \u26a0\ufe0fIran is still a major OPEC ...; Iran's crude oil stored at sea has reached record highs.; Buyer hesitance is attributed to geopolitical tensions and sanctions risks."},{"at":"2026-04-04T20:42:00+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"market","headline":"Traders have placed over $200 million in bets on the outcome of the 2026 Iran War, with U.S. entry into Iran carrying 90% odds and over $115 million in trading volume.","magnitude":0.9,"signal_type":"discovery_crypto_extremes_delta","source":"Bitcoin.com News","source_domain":"news.bitcoin.com","summary":"Prediction market traders on Polymarket and Kalshi have placed hundreds of millions of dollars in bets on the outcome of the 2026 Iran War, with U.S. entry into Iran now carrying 90% odds and over $115 million in trading volume. Key Takeaways: Polymarket traders have placed $115M on U.S. forces entering Iran by Dec. 31, [\u2026]; Over $200 million in bets placed on the 2026 Iran War outcomes.; U.S. entry into Iran has 90% odds with $115 million in volume."},{"at":"2026-04-05T02:54:47+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Iran has rejected Trump's 48-hour deadline to negotiate a deal.","magnitude":0.85,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"The Guardian","source_domain":"theguardian.com","summary":"Middle East crisis live: Iran rejects Trump\u2019s 48 hour deadline to \u2018make a deal\u2019; US races to find missing pilot The Guardian Live updates: Trump and Iran trade threats; search continues for US F-15 crew member CNN Opinion | Trump\u2019s fantasy of seizing the Strait of Hormuz for a \u2018gusher\u2019 of oil is a dangerous one MS NOW Live updates: US and Iran race to find missing crew member from downed military plane AP News Trump Threatens Iran With \u2018Hell\u2019 as Search for Airman Continues Bloomberg.com; Trump set a 48-hour dead..."}],"uncertainty":{"band":"low","reasons":["high_impact_case"],"score":0.1},"upcoming_events_14d":[],"why_now":"The convergence of market signals and geopolitical events creates a critical moment for Bitcoin investors.","why_you":"Understanding the interplay between market trends and geopolitical events is crucial for investment strategies.","window":{"end":"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","latest_observed_at":"2026-04-05T02:54:47Z","start":"2026-04-04T00:00:00Z"},"world_context":{"core_assets":[{"asset_id":"bitcoin","change_pct":null,"confidence":0.62,"evidence_headlines":["Middle East crisis live: Iran rejects Trump\u2019s 48 hour deadline to \u2018make a deal\u2019; US races to find missing pilot - The Guardian","How Stronger Earnings Forecasts And Perceived Undervaluation At StoneCo (STNE) Have Changed Its Investment Story - simplywall.st","Tori Spelling and four of her children taken to the hospital after horror car accident in Temecula - Daily Mail","Zac Stubblety-Cook And Sam Williamson Back To Bolster Dolphins Breaststroke Stocks At Australian Open Championships - Swimming World","Saut\u00e9 pans sold at Costco recalled after metal caps on handle heat and \"forcefully eject\" - CBS News","The Bull Case For Copart (CPRT) Could Change Following A Quarterly Earnings And Revenue Miss - simplywall.st","Earnings calendar for: - Yahoo Finance UK","Second US fighter jet downed by Strait of Hormuz as search for F-15E crew member in Iran continues - Fox News"],"families":["market","news","research","macro","catalyst","filing","smart_money"],"label":"Bitcoin","last_observed_at":"20260403","last_price":null,"matched_tickers":[],"seen":true,"source_domains":["gstatic.com","bitget.com","facebook.com","link.springer.com","instagram.com","feeds.captivate.fm","alcircle.com","ainvest.com"]},{"asset_id":"us_oil_wti","change_pct":null,"confidence":0.62,"evidence_headlines":["Middle East crisis live: Iran rejects Trump\u2019s 48 hour deadline to \u2018make a deal\u2019; 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US races to find missing pilot - The Guardian","How Stronger Earnings Forecasts And Perceived Undervaluation At StoneCo (STNE) Have Changed Its Investment Story - simplywall.st","Tori Spelling and four of her children taken to the hospital after horror car accident in Temecula - Daily Mail","Zac Stubblety-Cook And Sam Williamson Back To Bolster Dolphins Breaststroke Stocks At Australian Open Championships - Swimming World","Saut\u00e9 pans sold at Costco recalled after metal caps on handle heat and \"forcefully eject\" - CBS News","The Bull Case For Copart (CPRT) Could Change Following A Quarterly Earnings And Revenue Miss - simplywall.st","Earnings calendar for: - Yahoo Finance UK","Second US fighter jet downed by Strait of Hormuz as search for F-15E crew member in Iran continues - Fox News"],"families":["market","news","research","macro","catalyst","filing","smart_money"],"label":"Silver","last_observed_at":"20260403","last_price":null,"matched_tickers":[],"seen":true,"source_domains":["gstatic.com","bitget.com","facebook.com","link.springer.com","instagram.com","feeds.captivate.fm","alcircle.com","ainvest.com"]},{"asset_id":"sp500","change_pct":null,"confidence":0.62,"evidence_headlines":["Middle East crisis live: Iran rejects Trump\u2019s 48 hour deadline to \u2018make a deal\u2019; 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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_58576b6d1 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_58576b6d1c1b","evt_797b64a40209","evt_8677dc4cad90","evt_69d0591d84cf","evt_1bb4682c7bd2","evt_a0f759030cce","evt_aea884ee02ec","evt_d87c82c78606","evt_89152778c2a6"],"case_id":"case_eb4818945adbf2af","decision":"surface","entity_key":"equity:IR","theme_key":"entity_development"}...
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opportunity_case:case_eb4818945adbf2af:2026-04-05
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2026-04-05T03:38:20.821986+00:00
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opportunity_signal
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opportunity_finder
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_b69e65d5c {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_b69e65d5cf5b","evt_3a097558a279","evt_d348d0fc1b2f","evt_05fd54390958","evt_806aaa9a6fcd","evt_145a5a8bb0ab","evt_efb7335de739","evt_e2ef6a40f1f7","evt_251b1bd641c8","evt_05fcb5767f3f","evt_d08632c15ecc","evt_a4d09bd1d3c9","evt_90452144a43f","evt_acc5a43a049d","evt_a88ecb6e5814","evt_0c91e61ed6f5","evt_47e285d42dcd","evt_c84efdc8dda6","evt_a76a77e42f96","evt_ec627a34c160","evt_2e5cfe9c444a","evt_12284d9d001c","evt_64cb2acd5b4a","evt_9d564d7572cd","evt_0c43bfbc87b0","evt_02c90c208554","evt_fb2c00d61af4","evt_f1792a3939ea"],"case_id":"case_11c2f28a44862b00","decision":"surface","entity_key":"commodity:us_oil_wti","theme_key":"entity_development"}...
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opportunity_case:case_11c2f28a44862b00:2026-04-05
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2026-04-05T14:09:35.933021+00:00
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opportunity_signal
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{"brief_artifact_id":"opp_case_brief:c 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Some view gold as an inflation hedge, although there is scant evidence of that behavior.; Gold prices are currently hesitant among bulls.; Covid-related supply chain disruptions are impacting market sentiment."},{"at":"2026-04-06T01:09:47.891999+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"research","headline":"Central banks are demanding an average of 585 tonnes of gold per quarter, while global debt has reached $340 trillion, reinforcing gold's role as a currency hedge.","magnitude":0.85,"signal_type":"opportunity_research_delta","source":"web_search","source_domain":"ainvest.com","summary":"- Central banks' 585 tonnes/quarter demand and $340T global debt reinforce gold's role as currency hedge and diversifier. - Key catalysts include Fed policy ...; Gold's price dropped to $4,603.44/oz, reflecting a correction from record highs.; Central banks are projected to demand 585 tonnes of gold per quarter in 2026."},{"at":"2026-04-06T01:09:47.891999+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"research","headline":"Gold Prices Face Pressure From Rates Despite $6000 Wall Street Targets","magnitude":0.28,"signal_type":"opportunity_research_snapshot","source":"web_search","source_domain":"investing.com","summary":"Several scheduled events this week carry the potential to break gold (XAU/USD) decisively out of its $4,360 to $4,550 range. 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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_202cd68de {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_202cd68de001","evt_70341d043875","evt_66a50731c6b3","evt_aeac507a3379","evt_24046ed7b8db","evt_eaa3d315cea9","evt_1267da1e0cc3","evt_b53f406a01e8","evt_7bf9e6cbf4ee","evt_1a382592c3b0","evt_9e8d24d28ecb","evt_839319014ba4","evt_2da8085a180b","evt_688ae9764fb8","evt_eb6d498f8958"],"case_id":"case_cc9c571fbc9e0620","decision":"surface","entity_key":"equity:XAU","theme_key":"entity_development"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_4be3e4cf0 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_4be3e4cf0671","evt_54237911ac65","evt_6d01d2ab2c2b","evt_c43725130639","evt_bd8f9b93925e","evt_fef4b442b073","evt_8c20a8bb3bf4","evt_556c3f1f9916","evt_38403f2f607e","evt_a1de6b7af0b2","evt_367bd147ee27","evt_f9b56fcb3798","evt_d9be951a874c","evt_bbfd98755aca","evt_2d8bdbb86622","evt_f7d78dbd8335","evt_656b655b47f7","evt_93ae73d34522","evt_62beee533592","evt_1e407408da67","evt_a4d1e7046ee5"],"case_id":"case_861b71ce83e1a691","decision":"surface","entity_key":"macro:nasdaq","theme_key":"entity_development"}...
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{"brief_artifact_id":"opp_case_brief:c 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situation.","signal_id":"sig_b64f0c3d4b29","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Barron's","source_domain":"barrons.com"},{"event_id":"evt_6eba025ca89d","headline":"Seyed Majid Khademi, Iranian Intelligence Chief, was killed in an overnight attack.","signal_id":"sig_a904c66cb662","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"The New York Times","source_domain":"nytimes.com"},{"event_id":"evt_d00559ed346d","headline":"Iran requires ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz to pay transit fees in cryptocurrency or Chinese yuan.","signal_id":"sig_73e1127e9a66","signal_type":"opportunity_research_delta","source":"web_search","source_domain":"facebook.com"},{"event_id":"evt_287c869e9c29","headline":"Airstrikes have killed more than 25 people in Iranian cities.","signal_id":"sig_6cc7cdb109c4","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Yahoo","source_domain":"yahoo.com"},{"event_id":"evt_8dfbfb3079c9","headline":"Stock markets are battling volatility linked to the Iran war.","signal_id":"sig_ea326b3f5a42","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Barron's","source_domain":"barrons.com"},{"event_id":"evt_61bd2194f90f","headline":"Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a 40% increase in oil prices and disrupted 20% of global oil flows.","signal_id":"sig_50a0544a4f4a","signal_type":"opportunity_research_delta","source":"web_search","source_domain":"ainvest.com"},{"event_id":"evt_0dcb1a59697c","headline":"Stock markets are battling volatility linked to the Iran war.","signal_id":"sig_3a9fd7a4b0c7","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Barron's","source_domain":"barrons.com"}],"headline":"The closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran has significantly impacted global oil prices and supply chains, leading to a 40% increase in oil prices.","impact_score":1.0,"named_entities":["Iran","Middle Eastern oil states","The","Strait","Hormuz","Middle Eastern","Reuters The Iran","War","Making","American Economy More","United 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detected."],"factors":[{"matched_assets":[],"max_exposure":0.0,"name":"asset_linkage","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"theme_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"fallback_theme_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"role_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"location_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"goal_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"project_alignment","score":0.0},{"hits":[],"name":"commitment_alignment","score":0.0},{"name":"event_magnitude","score":0.1,"value":10.0},{"kind":"opportunity_case","name":"urgency_context","score":0.0}],"kind":"boost_only","matched_assets":[],"matched_keywords":[],"no_personalization_reason":"insufficient_profile_context","profile_confidence":0.0,"rationale":"No strong personal linkage detected.","score":0.1,"why_you":""},"personal_relevance_score":0.1,"personalization_applied":false,"profile_confidence":0.0,"recommended_checks":["Monitor oil price trends closely","Assess geopolitical developments regarding Iran","Evaluate impacts on global supply chains"],"recommended_investigation_action":"Investigate the potential for further escalation in the region and its impact on oil markets.","related_assets":["IR","US","TRUMP","IL","BZ=F","IAEA"],"risk":{"reasons":["high_impact_requires_validation","The geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran and oil supply disruptions pose a high risk to market stability."],"risk_level":"high","risk_score":0.36},"signal_families":["news","research","market"],"summary":"Multiple independent sources confirm the closure's impact on oil prices and global supply, with no significant contradictions noted.","theme_key":"entity_development","thesis":"The closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran has significantly impacted global oil prices and supply chains, leading to a 40% increase in oil prices.","timeline":[{"at":"2026-04-05T19:11:39+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Iran warns that the region will 'burn' due to US threats of military action.","magnitude":0.85,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Hindustan Times","source_domain":"hindustantimes.com","summary":"\u2018Whole region is going to burn\u2019: Iran's \u2018living hell\u2019 warning to US amid Donald Trump's threats of striking power plants Hindustan Times Iran war live: Tehran rejects Trump\u2019s Hormuz deadline; 2 killed in Haifa Al Jazeera Middle East crisis live: Tehran warns Trump over strait of Hormuz threat; Netanyahu suggests Israel helped rescue downed US crew member The Guardian \"Our Whole Region Is Going To Burn Because...\": Iran On Trump's Actions NDTV Iran war live updates: Iran warns of 'devastating' retaliation after T..."},{"at":"2026-04-06T02:01:49+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Iran mediators are pushing for a 45-day ceasefire to end hostilities.","magnitude":0.8,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Axios","source_domain":"axios.com","summary":"Iran mediators make last-ditch push for 45-day ceasefire Axios Iran, U.S. receive plan to end hostilities, immediate ceasefire; source says Reuters Gold Falls as Trump Threatens Escalation of US Attacks on Iran Bloomberg.com US Israel Iran War News Live Updates: Iran says Hormuz will \u2018never return to former state\u2019 for US, Israel even as Trump sets deadline The Times of India End To Iran War In Sight? 45-Day Ceasefire Being Discussed, Says Report NDTV; Iran mediators are making a last-ditch effort for a ceasefire..."},{"at":"2026-04-06T05:19:00+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Airstrikes have killed more than 25 people in Iranian cities.","magnitude":0.9,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Yahoo","source_domain":"yahoo.com","summary":"The Latest: Airstrikes kill more than 25 people in Iranian cities as Trump\u2019s deadline looms Yahoo Iran Update Special Report, April 5, 2026 Institute for the Study of War Iran\u2019s top university bombed as US, Israel intensify attacks; 34 killed Al Jazeera Middle East war live: Israeli strikes hit Iran's largest petrochemical plant, defence minister says France 24 As Iran war enters 6th week, escalation looks the most likely scenario The Times of Israel; Over 25 people killed in airstrikes; Iran's top university bo..."},{"at":"2026-04-06T07:02:52+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"A new Trump deadline related to the Iran War is imminent, impacting market stability.","magnitude":0.8,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Bloomberg.com","source_domain":"bloomberg.com","summary":"Iran War: New Trump Deadline Looms as Ceasefire Push Keeps Markets on Edge Bloomberg.com; New Trump deadline approaching; Ceasefire efforts ongoing"},{"at":"2026-04-06T08:54:39+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Iran accuses the UN nuclear watchdog of inaction.","magnitude":0.8,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Reuters","source_domain":"reuters.com","summary":"Iran accuses UN nuclear watchdog of inaction, warns of risk from attacks Reuters View Full Coverage on Google News; Iran has expressed concerns over the UN nuclear watchdog's inaction.; Warnings of risks from potential attacks have been issued by Iran."},{"at":"2026-04-06T09:38:09+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Iran has formulated its response to ceasefire proposals and has rejected a temporary ceasefire.","magnitude":0.8,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Reuters","source_domain":"reuters.com","summary":"Iran has formulated its response to ceasefire proposals, foreign ministry spokesperson says Reuters Live updates: Iran rejects temporary ceasefire, as Trump sets deadline for reopening Strait of Hormuz CNN Live: The Latest: Israel attacks key Iranian petrochemical plant as Trump\u2019s deadline looms The Seattle Times Iran war live: Tehran says response to ceasefire proposals formulated Al Jazeera Mediators: Latest Efforts to Reach Cease-Fire Hit Dead End WSJ; Iran's foreign ministry spokesperson confirmed the formul..."},{"at":"2026-04-06T10:19:32+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Iran is pushing back against Trump's deadline regarding the Strait of Hormuz.","magnitude":0.8,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"NPR","source_domain":"npr.org","summary":"Iran pushes back against Trump\u2019s deadline NPR Live updates: Trump and Iran trade threats over Strait of Hormuz CNN Iran live updates: IRGC says Strait of Hormuz will 'never' revert to pre-war state ABC News Petronas-chartered tanker loaded with Iraqi crude passes through Hormuz Reuters Iran allows 15 ships through Strait of Hormuz Seatrade Maritime News; Iran's military stated the Strait of Hormuz will 'never' revert to pre-war state.; A Petronas-chartered tanker loaded with Iraqi crude passed through the Strait..."},{"at":"2026-04-06T10:31:58+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Iran's military presence in the Strait of Hormuz is bolstered by its control over nearby islands, impacting regional security and energy routes.","magnitude":0.8,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"The Washington Post","source_domain":"washingtonpost.com","summary":"From Oman, a waterfront view of the embattled Strait of Hormuz The Washington Post How Iran\u2019s Islands Strengthen Its Hold on the Strait of Hormuz The New York Times Much of Iran's military may be 'decimated,' but it's winning the energy war Fortune Exclusive: US intelligence warns Iran unlikely to ease Hormuz Strait chokehold soon, sources say Reuters Is China Plotting A Coup In Hormuz? Top Indian Fund Star Sounds Alarm NDTV; Iran controls several islands in the Strait of Hormuz.; The Strait is a critical chokep..."},{"at":"2026-04-06T10:47:00+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Stock markets are battling volatility linked to the Iran war.","magnitude":0.8,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Barron's","source_domain":"barrons.com","summary":"Stock Markets Are Battling Iran War Volatility. Why It\u2019s About to Get Real and 4 Other Things to Know Today. Barron's; Stock markets are facing volatility due to geopolitical tensions.; The situation is expected to escalate."},{"at":"2026-04-06T10:47:00+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Stock markets are battling volatility linked to the Iran war situation.","magnitude":0.8,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Barron's","source_domain":"barrons.com","summary":"Stock Markets Are Battling Iran War Volatility. Why It\u2019s About to Get Real and 4 Other Things to Know Today. Barron's; Stock markets are facing volatility due to the Iran war situation.; The situation is expected to escalate soon."}],"uncertainty":{"band":"low","reasons":["high_impact_case"],"score":0.1},"upcoming_events_14d":[],"why_now":"The situation is urgent due to Trump's impending deadline for a deal with Iran and the new transit fee requirements for ships, which could further escalate tensions.","why_you":"This case is critical for understanding market dynamics and potential investment risks.","window":{"end":"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","latest_observed_at":"2026-04-06T15:58:04Z","start":"2026-04-04T00:00:00Z"},"world_context":{"core_assets":[{"asset_id":"brent","change_pct":null,"confidence":0.62,"evidence_headlines":["How to trade the key earnings of the week from NYSE insider Jay Woods - CNBC","Live Updates: Trump's threat to blow \"everything up\" if Iran won't make a deal hangs over new ceasefire bid - CBS News","S&P 500 rises as investors await possible Iran and U.S. ceasefire: Live updates - CNBC","US stocks and oil prices flip-flop ahead of Trump\u2019s deadline to bomb Iranian power plants - AP News","2 Cash-Producing Stocks with Impressive Fundamentals and 1 We Brush Off - Yahoo Finance","Leaderboard Trimmed, But Cloudflare, Caterpillar On Watchlist - Investor's Business Daily","Latam currencies gain as markets balance Iran escalation and ceasefire chances - Reuters","Stocks Edge Higher to Start the Week - WSJ"],"families":["catalyst","filing","market","smart_money","news","macro","research"],"label":"Brent Crude","last_observed_at":"20260403","last_price":null,"matched_tickers":[],"seen":true,"source_domains":["gstatic.com","news.google.com","jpmorganchase.com","business.cch.com","imf.org","nysd.uscourts.gov","esma.europa.eu","spfi.bank"]}],"global_regime_notes":[],"tracked_count":10}}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_8eebc8c9a {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_8eebc8c9a2f1","evt_cf274330c843","evt_43ad011ee152","evt_357030a80b4b","evt_f9f6e0b2e27c","evt_2dc2e3af2dcc","evt_6eba025ca89d","evt_d00559ed346d","evt_287c869e9c29","evt_8dfbfb3079c9","evt_61bd2194f90f","evt_0dcb1a59697c","evt_a2bb1f3158d4","evt_2ff3ff0c52f8","evt_2c2de6165488","evt_88853284fa66","evt_0354cb61d44a","evt_0291015fceda","evt_8cfff01a8959","evt_9f96efcfa8ae","evt_1c469a04c3da","evt_b4dc4fc56159","evt_1bf6ffb0f114"],"case_id":"case_eb4818945adbf2af","decision":"surface","entity_key":"equity:IR","theme_key":"entity_development"}...
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international law experts warn that U.S. strikes on Iran may violate the UN Charter and could be classified as war crimes.","signal_id":"sig_5d91d1a39517","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Just Security","source_domain":"justsecurity.org"},{"event_id":"evt_5fe4e4ed0ba1","headline":"Iran has rejected a ceasefire proposal and emphasizes the need for a permanent end to the war.","signal_id":"sig_41a717a0824b","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Reuters","source_domain":"reuters.com"},{"event_id":"evt_b4361533c803","headline":"Iran is responding mockingly to Trump's threats over the Strait of Hormuz.","signal_id":"sig_24c22ebf24bc","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"ynetnews","source_domain":"ynetnews.com"},{"event_id":"evt_8eebc8c9a2f1","headline":"The closure of the Strait of Hormuz is affecting the economic fortunes of Middle Eastern oil 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34 killed Al Jazeera Middle East war live: Israeli strikes hit Iran's largest petrochemical plant, defence minister says France 24 As Iran war enters 6th week, escalation looks the most likely scenario The Times of Israel; Over 25 people killed in airstrikes; Iran's top university bo..."},{"at":"2026-04-06T08:54:39+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Iran accuses the UN nuclear watchdog of inaction.","magnitude":0.8,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Reuters","source_domain":"reuters.com","summary":"Iran accuses UN nuclear watchdog of inaction, warns of risk from attacks Reuters View Full Coverage on Google News; Iran has expressed concerns over the UN nuclear watchdog's inaction.; Warnings of risks from potential attacks have been issued by Iran."},{"at":"2026-04-06T09:38:09+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Iran has formulated its response to ceasefire proposals and has rejected a temporary ceasefire.","magnitude":0.8,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"Reuters","source_domain":"reuters.com","summary":"Iran has formulated its response to ceasefire proposals, foreign ministry spokesperson says Reuters Live updates: Iran rejects temporary ceasefire, as Trump sets deadline for reopening Strait of Hormuz CNN Live: The Latest: Israel attacks key Iranian petrochemical plant as Trump\u2019s deadline looms The Seattle Times Iran war live: Tehran says response to ceasefire proposals formulated Al Jazeera Mediators: Latest Efforts to Reach Cease-Fire Hit Dead End WSJ; Iran's foreign ministry spokesperson confirmed the formul..."},{"at":"2026-04-06T10:19:32+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Iran is pushing back against Trump's deadline regarding the Strait of Hormuz.","magnitude":0.8,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"NPR","source_domain":"npr.org","summary":"Iran pushes back against Trump\u2019s deadline NPR Live updates: Trump and Iran trade threats over Strait of Hormuz CNN Iran live updates: IRGC says Strait of Hormuz will 'never' revert to pre-war state ABC News Petronas-chartered tanker loaded with Iraqi crude passes through Hormuz Reuters Iran allows 15 ships through Strait of Hormuz Seatrade Maritime News; Iran's military stated the Strait of Hormuz will 'never' revert to pre-war state.; A Petronas-chartered tanker loaded with Iraqi crude passed through the Strait..."},{"at":"2026-04-06T10:31:58+00:00","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Iran's military presence in the Strait of Hormuz is bolstered by its control over nearby islands, impacting regional security and energy routes.","magnitude":0.8,"signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"The Washington Post","source_domain":"washingtonpost.com","summary":"From Oman, a waterfront view of the embattled Strait of Hormuz The Washington Post How Iran\u2019s Islands Strengthen Its Hold on the Strait of Hormuz The New York Times Much of Iran's military may be 'decimated,' but it's winning the energy war Fortune Exclusive: US intelligence warns Iran unlikely to ease Hormuz Strait chokehold soon, sources say Reuters Is China Plotting A Coup In Hormuz? 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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_fd6136318 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_fd6136318413","evt_5948ec52c1a6","evt_52a09153b3af","evt_5fe4e4ed0ba1","evt_b4361533c803","evt_8eebc8c9a2f1","evt_cf274330c843","evt_43ad011ee152","evt_357030a80b4b","evt_f9f6e0b2e27c","evt_6eba025ca89d","evt_d00559ed346d","evt_287c869e9c29","evt_8dfbfb3079c9","evt_61bd2194f90f","evt_0dcb1a59697c","evt_a2bb1f3158d4","evt_2ff3ff0c52f8","evt_2c2de6165488","evt_88853284fa66","evt_0354cb61d44a","evt_0291015fceda","evt_8cfff01a8959","evt_9f96efcfa8ae"],"case_id":"case_eb4818945adbf2af","decision":"surface","entity_key":"equity:IR","theme_key":"entity_development"}...
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{"case_id":"case_11c2f28a44862b00" {"case_id":"case_11c2f28a44862b00","confidence":0.6,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":14,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.5816,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["market","news"],"case_source_domains":["msn.com","marketbeat.com","morningstar.com","stockstory.org","fool.com","apnews.com","1011now.com","kbtx.com","wsaw.com","kptv.com","washingtonpost.com","nbcnews.com","chron.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_d2a131e960ac19f7","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.551,"source_coverage":3,"source_trust":0.66,"statement":"Compagnie Lombard Odier SCmA Trims Stake in Colgate-Palmolive Company $CL - MarketBeat","strength":0.594},{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_eb63f04a05318718","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.5468,"source_coverage":10,"source_trust":0.618,"statement":"Spotting Winners: HighPeak Energy (NASDAQ:HPK) And U.S. Shale E&P Stocks In Q4 - StockStory","strength":0.6216}],"coverage":{"claim_count":2,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_d2a131e960ac19f7","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":2},"score":0.5996},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":[],"evidence_event_count":2,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":2,"independent_source_coverage":13,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.5976,"signal_family_coverage":2,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.6314,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"apnews.com","score":0.86,"source":"apnews.com"},{"count":1,"domain":"morningstar.com","score":0.82,"source":"Morningstar"},{"count":2,"domain":"stockstory.org","score":0.68,"source":"StockStory"},{"count":1,"domain":"msn.com","score":0.58,"source":"MSN"},{"count":1,"domain":"marketbeat.com","score":0.58,"source":"MarketBeat"},{"count":1,"domain":"fool.com","score":0.58,"source":"The Motley Fool"},{"count":1,"domain":"1011now.com","score":0.58,"source":"KOLN | Nebraska Local News, Weather, Sports | Lincoln, NE"},{"count":1,"domain":"kbtx.com","score":0.58,"source":"KBTX News 3"},{"count":1,"domain":"wsaw.com","score":0.58,"source":"WSAW"},{"count":1,"domain":"kptv.com","score":0.58,"source":"KPTV"},{"count":1,"domain":"washingtonpost.com","score":0.58,"source":"The Washington Post"},{"count":1,"domain":"nbcnews.com","score":0.58,"source":"NBC News"},{"count":1,"domain":"chron.com","score":0.58,"source":"Chron"}],"high_trust_domains":["apnews.com","morningstar.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":13,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.758},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"commodity:us_oil_wti","evidence_event_count":2,"headline":"There is a developing narrative around HighPeak Energy and U.S. shale stocks, but corroboration is limited and uncertainty remains low.","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"entity_development","why_now":"Signal convergence indicates potential interest in these stocks, but the evidence is not robust enough for a stronger decision."}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_e0296a87d {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_e0296a87d828","evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_11c2f28a44862b00","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"commodity:us_oil_wti","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"entity_development"}...
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{"case_id":"case_3bbdc04bda3f1177" {"case_id":"case_3bbdc04bda3f1177","confidence":0.5,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":6,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3686,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["finance.yahoo.com","stockstory.org","reuters.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_38fa565af51e70af","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.557,"source_coverage":3,"source_trust":0.72,"statement":"Q4 Earnings Highlights: IAC (NASDAQ:IAC) Vs The Rest Of The Digital Media & Content Platforms Stocks - Yahoo Finance","strength":0.6216}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_38fa565af51e70af","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":1},"score":0.6028},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":3,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4998,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.6667,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"reuters.com","score":0.9,"source":"Reuters"},{"count":2,"domain":"stockstory.org","score":0.68,"source":"StockStory"},{"count":3,"domain":"finance.yahoo.com","score":0.58,"source":"Yahoo Finance"}],"high_trust_domains":["reuters.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":3,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.643},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"macro:nasdaq","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"The information surrounding this case is unclear and requires further investigation to determine its relevance.","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"entity_development","why_now":"The current lack of clarity and conflicting signals necessitate ongoing observation."}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_3bbdc04bda3f1177","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"macro:nasdaq","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"entity_development"}...
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{"case_id":"case_fb55316ecb0f6fdd" {"case_id":"case_fb55316ecb0f6fdd","confidence":0.65,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.392,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["reuters.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_e389eab4a33edc01","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4283,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.9,"statement":"Wall St Week Ahead Inflation in focus for markets jostled by Middle East war signals - Reuters","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_e389eab4a33edc01","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3313},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4868,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.9,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"reuters.com","score":0.9,"source":"Reuters"}],"high_trust_domains":["reuters.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.76},"decision":"digest","entity_key":"news_snapshot:1d172ff0db22ccdd","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"There are emerging trends that warrant attention, but the evidence is still developing and requires further analysis.","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Recent developments suggest potential shifts in the market that could be significant."}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_fb55316ecb0f6fdd","decision":"digest","entity_key":"news_snapshot:1d172ff0db22ccdd","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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{"case_id":"case_1d7a3b908f22c391" {"case_id":"case_1d7a3b908f22c391","confidence":0.55,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3907,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["bloomberg.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_92bc2f738a6b286f","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4273,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.89,"statement":"Iran Strikes More Gulf Targets as Trump Warns of Further Attacks - bloomberg.com","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_92bc2f738a6b286f","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3309},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4838,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.89,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"bloomberg.com","score":0.89,"source":"bloomberg.com"}],"high_trust_domains":["bloomberg.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.7535},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:b309506828ecdf7e","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"The situation is unclear and requires ongoing observation to determine its significance.","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Current evidence is insufficient to make a definitive decision, necessitating further monitoring."}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_1d7a3b908f22c391","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:b309506828ecdf7e","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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{"case_id":"case_a7071f10534f4455" {"case_id":"case_a7071f10534f4455","confidence":0.5,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3868,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["apnews.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_90e943903598591c","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4243,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.86,"statement":"French and South Korean leaders say they\u2019ll work together on the Strait of Hormuz - apnews.com","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_90e943903598591c","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3297},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4749,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.86,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"apnews.com","score":0.86,"source":"apnews.com"}],"high_trust_domains":["apnews.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.734},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:f6dc6082eed76a13","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"The evidence is weak and requires further investigation to clarify its relevance.","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Current signals are unclear, necessitating ongoing observation."}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_a7071f10534f4455","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:f6dc6082eed76a13","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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{"case_id":"case_5cc23abea8c9c718" {"case_id":"case_5cc23abea8c9c718","confidence":0.65,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3881,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["ft.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_f2bef21a651dc1f5","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4253,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.87,"statement":"Prediction markets: the hunt for the new \u2018dumb money\u2019 - Financial Times","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_f2bef21a651dc1f5","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3301},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4779,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.87,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"ft.com","score":0.87,"source":"Financial Times"}],"high_trust_domains":["ft.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.7405},"decision":"digest","entity_key":"news_snapshot:dbe663059c33a52f","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"Emerging trends suggest potential significance, but the evidence is still developing.","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Recent developments indicate shifts that could impact the market."}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_5cc23abea8c9c718","decision":"digest","entity_key":"news_snapshot:dbe663059c33a52f","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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{"case_id":"case_073892b0448a6a6d" {"case_id":"case_073892b0448a6a6d","confidence":0.55,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3868,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["apnews.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_edffcb3c77c03964","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4243,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.86,"statement":"How we came to be: Scientists get first look at the evolution of early complex animals - apnews.com","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_edffcb3c77c03964","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3297},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4749,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.86,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"apnews.com","score":0.86,"source":"apnews.com"}],"high_trust_domains":["apnews.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.734},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:0ae5d9e052c98afe","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"The situation is unclear and requires ongoing observation to determine its significance.","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Current evidence is insufficient to make a definitive decision, necessitating further monitoring."}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_073892b0448a6a6d","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:0ae5d9e052c98afe","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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{"case_id":"case_18ace0698861fed0" {"case_id":"case_18ace0698861fed0","confidence":0.5,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3816,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["barrons.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_4d6ece38dc84cb65","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4203,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.82,"statement":"The AI Trade Is Steaming Ahead, at Least in Private Markets - barrons.com","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_4d6ece38dc84cb65","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3281},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4631,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.82,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"barrons.com","score":0.82,"source":"barrons.com"}],"high_trust_domains":["barrons.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.708},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:2f15e81404e02f88","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"The evidence is weak and requires further investigation to clarify its relevance.","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Current signals are unclear, necessitating ongoing observation."}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_18ace0698861fed0","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:2f15e81404e02f88","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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{"case_id":"case_3d0f397592b76c09" {"case_id":"case_3d0f397592b76c09","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.392,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["reuters.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_37710601242b76af","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4283,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.9,"statement":"Under global spotlight, Australia plays hardball on social media ban - Reuters","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_37710601242b76af","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3313},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4868,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.9,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"reuters.com","score":0.9,"source":"Reuters"}],"high_trust_domains":["reuters.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.76},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:0b1ddca3a4caf156","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"Under global spotlight, Australia plays hardball on social media ban - Reuters","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: Under global spotlight, Australia plays hardball on social media ban - Reuters [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_3d0f397592b76c09","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:0b1ddca3a4caf156","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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opportunity_case_memory:case_3d0f397592b76c09:moni opportunity_case_memory:case_3d0f397592b76c09:monitor:2026-04-03T10...
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{"case_id":"case_3fcccbb1fa5ecd1d" {"case_id":"case_3fcccbb1fa5ecd1d","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3751,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["axios.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_7862adc4c9f294b0","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4153,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.77,"statement":"Trump threatens to break NATO's promise over Iran war - Axios","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_7862adc4c9f294b0","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3261},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4483,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.77,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"axios.com","score":0.77,"source":"Axios"}],"high_trust_domains":["axios.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.6755},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:6d66e4229c796cdd","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"Trump threatens to break NATO's promise over Iran war - Axios","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: Trump threatens to break NATO's promise over Iran war - Axios [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_3fcccbb1fa5ecd1d","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:6d66e4229c796cdd","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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{"case_id":"case_aac61f2866d21d15" {"case_id":"case_aac61f2866d21d15","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.392,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["reuters.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_b34f8bbc13dc8752","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4283,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.9,"statement":"Wall Street ends mixed as worries linger before Good Friday break - Reuters","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_b34f8bbc13dc8752","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3313},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4868,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.9,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"reuters.com","score":0.9,"source":"Reuters"}],"high_trust_domains":["reuters.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.76},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:7cf560b15e4fcc4a","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"Wall Street ends mixed as worries linger before Good Friday break - Reuters","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: Wall Street ends mixed as worries linger before Good Friday break - Reuters [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_aac61f2866d21d15","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:7cf560b15e4fcc4a","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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{"case_id":"case_e92f52bdf18fa5ec" {"case_id":"case_e92f52bdf18fa5ec","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3816,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["morningstar.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_fa81f48236bffb5e","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4203,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.82,"statement":"33 Undervalued Stocks to Buy in a Volatile Market - Morningstar","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_fa81f48236bffb5e","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3281},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4631,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.82,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"morningstar.com","score":0.82,"source":"Morningstar"}],"high_trust_domains":["morningstar.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.708},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:28f80686140ccfda","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"33 Undervalued Stocks to Buy in a Volatile Market - Morningstar","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: 33 Undervalued Stocks to Buy in a Volatile Market - Morningstar [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_e92f52bdf18fa5ec","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:28f80686140ccfda","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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{"case_id":"case_88f7efe5bf7f8ed1" {"case_id":"case_88f7efe5bf7f8ed1","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":1.0,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":1.0,"majority_direction":"up","neutral_count":0,"score":1.0,"up_count":1},"base_score":0.34,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["macro"],"case_source_domains":[],"claims":[{"agreement_score":1.0,"claim_id":"claim_acc2a34f9277ffeb","conflict":false,"direction":"up","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.345,"source_coverage":0,"source_trust":0.0,"statement":"US yield curve update","strength":0.4712}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_acc2a34f9277ffeb","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.298},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","no_independent_source","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":0,"independent_source_coverage":0,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.3546,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.46,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"","score":0.46,"source":"treasury"}],"high_trust_domains":[],"independent_high_trust_sources":0,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.0},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"macro:us_yield_curve","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"US yield curve update","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"yield_curve","why_now":"Signal convergence: US yield curve update [up]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_57d302ea9 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_57d302ea9eaf"],"case_id":"case_88f7efe5bf7f8ed1","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"macro:us_yield_curve","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"yield_curve"}...
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{"case_id":"case_e5296c41a158d9fc" {"case_id":"case_e5296c41a158d9fc","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3751,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["axios.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_96f011f74a54c8ae","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4153,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.77,"statement":"U.S. bombs Iran's civilian infrastructure for first time after \"Stone Ages\" threat - Axios","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_96f011f74a54c8ae","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3261},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4483,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.77,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"axios.com","score":0.77,"source":"Axios"}],"high_trust_domains":["axios.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.6755},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:d7aa4f7a48cb46b6","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"U.S. bombs Iran's civilian infrastructure for first time after \"Stone Ages\" threat - Axios","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: U.S. bombs Iran's civilian infrastructure for first time after \"Stone Ages\" threat - Axios [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_e5296c41a158d9fc","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:d7aa4f7a48cb46b6","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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opportunity_case_memory:case_e5296c41a158d9fc:moni opportunity_case_memory:case_e5296c41a158d9fc:monitor:2026-04-03T10...
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{"case_id":"case_ec3adc88cab0229d" {"case_id":"case_ec3adc88cab0229d","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3751,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["axios.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_3bd74ebc677409ea","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4153,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.77,"statement":"Trump administration announces new tariffs on drugmakers - Axios","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_3bd74ebc677409ea","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3261},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4483,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.77,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"axios.com","score":0.77,"source":"Axios"}],"high_trust_domains":["axios.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.6755},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:3425d06d6726caac","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"Trump administration announces new tariffs on drugmakers - Axios","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: Trump administration announces new tariffs on drugmakers - Axios [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_ec3adc88cab0229d","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:3425d06d6726caac","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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{"case_id":"case_1b73045667bb8055" {"case_id":"case_1b73045667bb8055","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3907,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["bloomberg.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_516b805efa2ca461","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4273,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.89,"statement":"SpaceX Targets More Than $2 Trillion Valuation in IPO - bloomberg.com","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_516b805efa2ca461","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3309},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4838,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.89,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"bloomberg.com","score":0.89,"source":"bloomberg.com"}],"high_trust_domains":["bloomberg.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.7535},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:20b79374a05246a4","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"SpaceX Targets More Than $2 Trillion Valuation in IPO - bloomberg.com","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: SpaceX Targets More Than $2 Trillion Valuation in IPO - bloomberg.com [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_1b73045667bb8055","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:20b79374a05246a4","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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opportunity_case_memory:case_1b73045667bb8055:moni opportunity_case_memory:case_1b73045667bb8055:monitor:2026-04-03T10...
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{"case_id":"case_24316d1b26efff8c" {"case_id":"case_24316d1b26efff8c","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3816,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["cnbc.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_1e555cb6129fdaa7","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4203,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.82,"statement":"Asia-Pacific markets mostly rise in Easter trade on hopes for Hormuz reopening - CNBC","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_1e555cb6129fdaa7","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3281},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4631,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.82,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"cnbc.com","score":0.82,"source":"CNBC"}],"high_trust_domains":["cnbc.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.708},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:f237e470efca0238","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"Asia-Pacific markets mostly rise in Easter trade on hopes for Hormuz reopening - CNBC","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: Asia-Pacific markets mostly rise in Easter trade on hopes for Hormuz reopening - CNBC [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_24316d1b26efff8c","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:f237e470efca0238","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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opportunity_case_memory:case_24316d1b26efff8c:moni opportunity_case_memory:case_24316d1b26efff8c:monitor:2026-04-03T10...
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{"case_id":"case_c925a57f7de38c60" {"case_id":"case_c925a57f7de38c60","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3907,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["market"],"case_source_domains":["bloomberg.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_03ddca38816828fa","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4273,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.89,"statement":"Asian Equities May Open Higher After US Rebound: Markets Wrap - bloomberg.com","strength":0.414}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_03ddca38816828fa","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3309},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4838,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.89,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"bloomberg.com","score":0.89,"source":"bloomberg.com"}],"high_trust_domains":["bloomberg.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.7535},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"market_headline:12f76981c47fb3dd","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"Asian Equities May Open Higher After US Rebound: Markets Wrap - bloomberg.com","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"market_headline","why_now":"Signal convergence: Asian Equities May Open Higher After US Rebound: Markets Wrap - bloomberg.com [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_e0296a87d {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_e0296a87d828"],"case_id":"case_c925a57f7de38c60","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"market_headline:12f76981c47fb3dd","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"market_headline"}...
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opportunity_case_memory:case_c925a57f7de38c60:moni opportunity_case_memory:case_c925a57f7de38c60:monitor:2026-04-03T10...
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{"case_id":"case_b25b5632a7bedf59" {"case_id":"case_b25b5632a7bedf59","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3816,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["cnbc.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_6ea620f4191a5ff3","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4203,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.82,"statement":"Cramer\u2019s week ahead: Two key economic reports and earnings from Levi's, Delta - CNBC","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_6ea620f4191a5ff3","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3281},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4631,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.82,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"cnbc.com","score":0.82,"source":"CNBC"}],"high_trust_domains":["cnbc.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.708},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:32ea7975f1857218","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"Cramer\u2019s week ahead: Two key economic reports and earnings from Levi's, Delta - CNBC","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: Cramer\u2019s week ahead: Two key economic reports and earnings from Levi's, Delta - CNBC [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_b25b5632a7bedf59","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:32ea7975f1857218","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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{"case_id":"case_350cf949fab2dd55" {"case_id":"case_350cf949fab2dd55","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3868,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["wsj.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_790d6cf906e6b81b","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4243,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.86,"statement":"U.S. Regulator Sues Three States in Defense of Prediction Markets - WSJ","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_790d6cf906e6b81b","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3297},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4749,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.86,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"wsj.com","score":0.86,"source":"WSJ"}],"high_trust_domains":["wsj.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.734},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:ec14ef82a88f42be","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"U.S. Regulator Sues Three States in Defense of Prediction Markets - WSJ","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: U.S. Regulator Sues Three States in Defense of Prediction Markets - WSJ [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_350cf949fab2dd55","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:ec14ef82a88f42be","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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{"case_id":"case_dd3d312639016d52" {"case_id":"case_dd3d312639016d52","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3284,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["stockstory.org"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_2bf5ca971c6c36a2","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4063,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.68,"statement":"3 Consumer Stocks We Find Risky - StockStory","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_2bf5ca971c6c36a2","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3225},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":0,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4041,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.68,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"stockstory.org","score":0.68,"source":"StockStory"}],"high_trust_domains":[],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.442},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:f2f0f9714825fc37","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"3 Consumer Stocks We Find Risky - StockStory","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: 3 Consumer Stocks We Find Risky - StockStory [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_dd3d312639016d52","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:f2f0f9714825fc37","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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{"case_id":"case_9f72ba5720e93405" {"case_id":"case_9f72ba5720e93405","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3284,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["stockstory.org"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_6a695a3ac098df77","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4063,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.68,"statement":"Werner (WERN): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q4 Earnings? - StockStory","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_6a695a3ac098df77","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3225},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":0,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4041,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.68,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"stockstory.org","score":0.68,"source":"StockStory"}],"high_trust_domains":[],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.442},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"equity:WERN","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"Werner (WERN): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q4 Earnings? - StockStory","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"entity_development","why_now":"Signal convergence: Werner (WERN): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q4 Earnings? - StockStory [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_9f72ba5720e93405","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"equity:WERN","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"entity_development"}...
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{"case_id":"case_40340dbb853fa5cc" {"case_id":"case_40340dbb853fa5cc","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3284,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["stockstory.org"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_bf91e00e5304b313","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4063,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.68,"statement":"CoStar (CSGP): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q4 Earnings? - StockStory","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_bf91e00e5304b313","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3225},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":0,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4041,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.68,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"stockstory.org","score":0.68,"source":"StockStory"}],"high_trust_domains":[],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.442},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"equity:CSGP","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"CoStar (CSGP): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q4 Earnings? - StockStory","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"entity_development","why_now":"Signal convergence: CoStar (CSGP): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q4 Earnings? - StockStory [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_40340dbb853fa5cc","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"equity:CSGP","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"entity_development"}...
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{"case_id":"case_350999c6b1a40670" {"case_id":"case_350999c6b1a40670","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3284,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["pulitzercenter.org"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_cce77c53933562a4","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4063,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.68,"statement":"Surfaced: Tracking Arctic Wildlife from Legal Harvest to Illegal Markets - Pulitzer Center","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_cce77c53933562a4","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3225},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":0,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4041,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.68,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"pulitzercenter.org","score":0.68,"source":"Pulitzer Center"}],"high_trust_domains":[],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.442},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:a2125dab8fea31d2","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"Surfaced: Tracking Arctic Wildlife from Legal Harvest to Illegal Markets - Pulitzer Center","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: Surfaced: Tracking Arctic Wildlife from Legal Harvest to Illegal Markets - Pulitzer Center [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_350999c6b1a40670","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:a2125dab8fea31d2","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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{"case_id":"case_f2a76203d8f0ec9a" {"case_id":"case_f2a76203d8f0ec9a","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3284,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["minneapolisfed.org"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_8c51dc723f8aa291","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4063,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.68,"statement":"How a population boom changed North Dakota\u2019s housing markets - Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_8c51dc723f8aa291","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3225},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":0,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4041,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.68,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"minneapolisfed.org","score":0.68,"source":"Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis"}],"high_trust_domains":[],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.442},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:c3a070facc901af9","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"How a population boom changed North Dakota\u2019s housing markets - Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: How a population boom changed North Dakota\u2019s housing markets - Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_f2a76203d8f0ec9a","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:c3a070facc901af9","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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{"case_id":"case_1943ea674fbe63ea" {"case_id":"case_1943ea674fbe63ea","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3154,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["agweek.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_04963bb36d7353f7","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.3963,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.58,"statement":"Making sense of a market without conviction - Agweek","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_04963bb36d7353f7","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3185},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":0,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.3745,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.58,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"agweek.com","score":0.58,"source":"Agweek"}],"high_trust_domains":[],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.377},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:d459ca3f2d8e9806","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"Making sense of a market without conviction - Agweek","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: Making sense of a market without conviction - Agweek [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_1943ea674fbe63ea","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:d459ca3f2d8e9806","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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{"case_id":"case_87e67f509622faca" {"case_id":"case_87e67f509622faca","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3154,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["finance.yahoo.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_d0e4cdad934ed709","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.3963,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.58,"statement":"The best markets for first-time homebuyers are almost all in the South and Midwest - Yahoo Finance","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_d0e4cdad934ed709","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3185},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":0,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.3745,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.58,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"finance.yahoo.com","score":0.58,"source":"Yahoo Finance"}],"high_trust_domains":[],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.377},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:f579baa34c2bd568","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"The best markets for first-time homebuyers are almost all in the South and Midwest - Yahoo Finance","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: The best markets for first-time homebuyers are almost all in the South and Midwest - Yahoo Finance [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_87e67f509622faca","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:f579baa34c2bd568","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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opportunity_case_memory:case_87e67f509622faca:moni opportunity_case_memory:case_87e67f509622faca:monitor:2026-04-03T10...
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{"case_id":"case_b7851b7f5054b06f" {"case_id":"case_b7851b7f5054b06f","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3154,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["finance.yahoo.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_818f53d2fbc64e56","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.3963,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.58,"statement":"Q4 Earnings Outperformers: Core Natural Resources (NYSE:CNR) And The Rest Of The Mixed or Offshore Upstream E&P Stocks - Yahoo Finance","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_818f53d2fbc64e56","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3185},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":0,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.3745,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.58,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"finance.yahoo.com","score":0.58,"source":"Yahoo Finance"}],"high_trust_domains":[],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.377},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:f29044122e54a483","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"Q4 Earnings Outperformers: Core Natural Resources (NYSE:CNR) And The Rest Of The Mixed or Offshore Upstream E&P Stocks - Yahoo Finance","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: Q4 Earnings Outperformers: Core Natural Resources (NYSE:CNR) And The Rest Of The Mixed or Offshore Upstream E&P Stocks - Yahoo Finance [neutral]"}...
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_b7851b7f5054b06f","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:f29044122e54a483","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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opportunity_case_memory:case_b7851b7f5054b06f:moni opportunity_case_memory:case_b7851b7f5054b06f:monitor:2026-04-03T10...
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sig_488f382e3ed8
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evt_1b25218981ae
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opportunity_case_memory
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{"case_id":"case_5c8f7891bbce31e3" {"case_id":"case_5c8f7891bbce31e3","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3154,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["finance.yahoo.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_567a03ed5a1ad943","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.3963,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.58,"statement":"Unpacking Q4 Earnings: Ally Financial (NYSE:ALLY) In The Context Of Other Consumer Finance Stocks - Yahoo Finance","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_567a03ed5a1ad943","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3185},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":0,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.3745,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.58,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"finance.yahoo.com","score":0.58,"source":"Yahoo Finance"}],"high_trust_domains":[],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.377},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:07959e01a89fee97","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"Unpacking Q4 Earnings: Ally Financial (NYSE:ALLY) In The Context Of Other Consumer Finance Stocks - Yahoo Finance","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: Unpacking Q4 Earnings: Ally Financial (NYSE:ALLY) In The Context Of Other Consumer Finance Stocks - Yahoo Finance [neutral]"}...
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opportunity_finder
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_5c8f7891bbce31e3","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:07959e01a89fee97","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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opportunity_case_memory:case_5c8f7891bbce31e3:moni opportunity_case_memory:case_5c8f7891bbce31e3:monitor:2026-04-03T10...
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2026-04-03T10:53:43.507470+00:00
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sig_019a9809335b
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opportunity_case_memory
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{"case_id":"case_80854f8ec7da8abd" {"case_id":"case_80854f8ec7da8abd","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3154,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["finance.yahoo.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_4014618dec431827","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.3963,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.58,"statement":"Morning Brief: Hope for Hormuz lifts markets - Yahoo Finance","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_4014618dec431827","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3185},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":0,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.3745,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.58,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"finance.yahoo.com","score":0.58,"source":"Yahoo Finance"}],"high_trust_domains":[],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.377},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:a4f155e15bfa7f22","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"Morning Brief: Hope for Hormuz lifts markets - Yahoo Finance","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: Morning Brief: Hope for Hormuz lifts markets - Yahoo Finance [neutral]"}...
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opportunity_finder
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_80854f8ec7da8abd","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:a4f155e15bfa7f22","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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opportunity_case_memory:case_80854f8ec7da8abd:moni opportunity_case_memory:case_80854f8ec7da8abd:monitor:2026-04-03T10...
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3600
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2026-04-03T10:53:43.507470+00:00
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sig_ff17203004b4
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evt_d214d6ec0f58
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opportunity_case_memory
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{"case_id":"case_69d03343ec5ec4ad" {"case_id":"case_69d03343ec5ec4ad","confidence":0.3,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":2,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3154,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["fool.com","insight.factset.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_154e37f7abf1f582","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4697,"source_coverage":2,"source_trust":0.58,"statement":"Top 2 S&P 500 Stocks to Watch This Week After Nike's Surprise Move - The Motley Fool","strength":0.5016}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_154e37f7abf1f582","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":1},"score":0.5679},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":0,"independent_source_coverage":2,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4443,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.58,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"fool.com","score":0.58,"source":"The Motley Fool"},{"count":1,"domain":"insight.factset.com","score":0.58,"source":"FactSet Insight"}],"high_trust_domains":[],"independent_high_trust_sources":2,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.377},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"macro:sp500","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"Top 2 S&P 500 Stocks to Watch This Week After Nike's Surprise Move - The Motley Fool","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"entity_development","why_now":"Signal convergence: Top 2 S&P 500 Stocks to Watch This Week After Nike's Surprise Move - The Motley Fool [neutral]"}...
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opportunity_finder
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_69d03343ec5ec4ad","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"macro:sp500","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"entity_development"}...
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opportunity_case_memory:case_69d03343ec5ec4ad:moni opportunity_case_memory:case_69d03343ec5ec4ad:monitor:2026-04-03T10...
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3600
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2026-04-03T10:58:44.486707+00:00
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sig_b887a483afa2
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evt_967b5912606f
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opportunity_case_memory
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{"case_id":"case_f7e2e7e635632a3a" {"case_id":"case_f7e2e7e635632a3a","confidence":0.3,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3816,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["cnbc.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_7354a683621729d8","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4203,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.82,"statement":"CFTC sues Arizona, Connecticut, Illinois over prediction market regulation - CNBC","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_7354a683621729d8","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3281},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4631,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.82,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"cnbc.com","score":0.82,"source":"CNBC"}],"high_trust_domains":["cnbc.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.708},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:e108f0d6642e9e17","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"CFTC sues Arizona, Connecticut, Illinois over prediction market regulation - CNBC","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: CFTC sues Arizona, Connecticut, Illinois over prediction market regulation - CNBC [neutral]"}...
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low
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opportunity_finder
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_f7e2e7e635632a3a","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:e108f0d6642e9e17","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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opportunity_case_memory:case_f7e2e7e635632a3a:moni opportunity_case_memory:case_f7e2e7e635632a3a:monitor:2026-04-03T10...
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3600
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2026-04-03T10:58:44.486707+00:00
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sig_aa159b18615d
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evt_a8be8c4108d2
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opportunity_case_memory
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{"case_id":"case_fb55316ecb0f6fdd" {"case_id":"case_fb55316ecb0f6fdd","confidence":0.3,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.392,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["reuters.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_e389eab4a33edc01","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4283,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.9,"statement":"Wall St Week Ahead Inflation in focus for markets jostled by Middle East war signals - Reuters","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_e389eab4a33edc01","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3313},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4868,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.9,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"reuters.com","score":0.9,"source":"Reuters"}],"high_trust_domains":["reuters.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.76},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:1d172ff0db22ccdd","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"Wall St Week Ahead Inflation in focus for markets jostled by Middle East war signals - Reuters","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: Wall St Week Ahead Inflation in focus for markets jostled by Middle East war signals - Reuters [neutral]"}...
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opportunity_finder
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_fb55316ecb0f6fdd","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:1d172ff0db22ccdd","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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opportunity_case_memory:case_fb55316ecb0f6fdd:moni opportunity_case_memory:case_fb55316ecb0f6fdd:monitor:2026-04-03T10...
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3600
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2026-04-03T10:58:44.486707+00:00
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sig_6bf7095a7245
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evt_9dcb82148fe3
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opportunity_case_memory
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{"case_id":"case_53b9481ecbc4283f" {"case_id":"case_53b9481ecbc4283f","confidence":0.3,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3154,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["timesofisrael.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_ff2b2971bbdbfc71","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.3963,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.58,"statement":"IDF official says disarming Hezbollah unrealistic, not a goal of Lebanon operation - The Times of Israel","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_ff2b2971bbdbfc71","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3185},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":0,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.3745,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.58,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"timesofisrael.com","score":0.58,"source":"The Times of Israel"}],"high_trust_domains":[],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.377},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:7845e1a2d96a150c","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"IDF official says disarming Hezbollah unrealistic, not a goal of Lebanon operation - The Times of Israel","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: IDF official says disarming Hezbollah unrealistic, not a goal of Lebanon operation - The Times of Israel [neutral]"}...
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opportunity_finder
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_53b9481ecbc4283f","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:7845e1a2d96a150c","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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opportunity_case_memory:case_53b9481ecbc4283f:moni opportunity_case_memory:case_53b9481ecbc4283f:monitor:2026-04-03T10...
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3600
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2026-04-03T10:58:44.486707+00:00
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sig_1180a7132aec
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evt_f78f3ea910f8
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opportunity_case_memory
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{"case_id":"case_c0a87d16909a935d" {"case_id":"case_c0a87d16909a935d","confidence":0.3,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":1,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.3154,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["news"],"case_source_domains":["finance.yahoo.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_86a3f989d370da4d","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.3963,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.58,"statement":"High Growth Tech Stocks To Watch In April 2026 - Yahoo Finance","strength":0.4116}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_86a3f989d370da4d","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3185},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage","thin_evidence"],"evidence_event_count":1,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":0,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.3745,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.58,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"finance.yahoo.com","score":0.58,"source":"Yahoo Finance"}],"high_trust_domains":[],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.377},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:80d68b40570d4e9b","evidence_event_count":1,"headline":"High Growth Tech Stocks To Watch In April 2026 - Yahoo Finance","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"news_snapshot","why_now":"Signal convergence: High Growth Tech Stocks To Watch In April 2026 - Yahoo Finance [neutral]"}...
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opportunity_finder
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{"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958 {"_evidence_event_ids":["evt_11f03d958176"],"case_id":"case_c0a87d16909a935d","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"news_snapshot:80d68b40570d4e9b","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"news_snapshot"}...
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opportunity_case_memory:case_c0a87d16909a935d:moni opportunity_case_memory:case_c0a87d16909a935d:monitor:2026-04-03T10...
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3600
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2026-04-03T10:58:44.486707+00:00
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