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{"aggregator_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/11-words-march-fed-minutes-may-come-back-haunt-wall-street","as_of":"2026-04-12T13:46:53.258496+00:00","canonical_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/04/12/11-words-from-march-fed-minutes-haunt-wall-street/","enrichment":{"aggregator_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/11-words-march-fed-minutes-may-come-back-haunt-wall-street","article_chars":5000,"article_truncated":true,"blocked_reason":null,"candidate_id":"sc_a0a52e30d41c046c","canonical_host":"fool.com","canonical_is_aggregator":false,"canonical_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/04/12/11-words-from-march-fed-minutes-haunt-wall-street/","content_type":"text/html; charset=utf-8","enriched_at":"2026-04-12T13:47:58.270355+00:00","extraction_method":"trafilatura","fetched_description":"Key PointsDespite the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite outperforming for years, Wall Street's bull market may not be as bulletproof as it appears.","fetched_title":"11 Words From the March Fed Minutes That May Come Back to Haunt Wall Street | Nasdaq","final_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/11-words-march-fed-minutes-may-come-back-haunt-wall-street","html_truncated":false,"paywall_likely":false,"publisher_domain":"fool.com","publisher_resolution":"canonical_url","requested_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/11-words-march-fed-minutes-may-come-back-haunt-wall-street","source_event_id":"evt_7c83f664eb4b","source_quality":"high","status_code":200,"version":"signal_enrichment_v2"},"fp":"945fb901ecb55124","kind":"unusual_volume","published_at":"2026-04-12T13:26:00+00:00","publisher_domain":"fool.com","signal_understanding":{"analysis_basis":"article","claim_confidence":0.74,"dates_mentioned":["Feb. 28","early 2021","September 2024","2019-2021","2023-2025","three weeks after an FOMC meeting concludes","mid-March meeting minutes","April","2026","next year","December 17, 2004","April 15, 2005"],"entities":[{"asset_class":"macro/institution","name":"Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)","relevance":"high","symbol":"","type":"organization"},{"asset_class":"macro/institution","name":"Jerome Powell","relevance":"high","symbol":"","type":"person"},{"asset_class":"political/macro","name":"President Donald Trump","relevance":"medium","symbol":"","type":"person"},{"asset_class":"equity_index","name":"S&P 500","relevance":"medium","symbol":"^GSPC","type":"index"},{"asset_class":"equity_index","name":"Nasdaq Composite","relevance":"low","symbol":"^IXIC","type":"index"},{"asset_class":"equity_index","name":"Dow Jones Industrial Average","relevance":"low","symbol":"^DJI","type":"index"},{"asset_class":"macro/institution","name":"Cleveland Fed","relevance":"medium","symbol":"","type":"organization"},{"asset_class":"geopolitical","name":"Strait of Hormuz","relevance":"medium","symbol":"","type":"geographic_feature"},{"asset_class":"geopolitical","name":"Iran","relevance":"medium","symbol":"","type":"country"}],"event_type":"macro_policy","information_gaps":["No unusual trading volume data is provided in the supplied text (no ticker, no volume ratio vs average, no baseline volume).","The signal type requests \u201cconfirmed by news or unexplained\u201d and a \u201cmost likely catalyst hypothesis,\u201d but the article content provided is macro narrative rather than a specific volume event tied to a particular ticker.","The article references \u201c11 words\u201d from the minutes, but does not provide the full surrounding context beyond the quoted sentence."],"key_facts":["The article says the mid-March FOMC meeting minutes indicate policymakers held firm on a forecast for one rate cut in 2026 and an additional rate cut next year.","The article quotes the minutes as saying: \u201cinflation could prove to be more persistent than the staff anticipated.\u201d","The article attributes inflation persistence risk to potential inflationary effects of Middle East developments, specifically the Iran war.","The article states the Iran war began on Feb. 28 and led to the virtual closure of the Strait of Hormuz.","The article claims the Strait of Hormuz closure caused the largest energy supply disruption in modern history and drove crude oil prices higher.","The article states the inflation rate is estimated to come in close to 3.6% in April, citing a Cleveland Fed forecast.","The article argues that if Trump\u2019s tariffs remain \u201csticky\u201d in the goods sector, tariffs plus energy disruption could force the Fed to raise rates.","The article frames this as a reason investors may worry because markets were counting on several FOMC rate cuts in 2026."],"numeric_claims":[{"label":"rate cut forecast (2026)","value":"one (per article)"},{"label":"additional rate cut (next year)","value":"one (per article)"},{"label":"inflation estimate for April","value":"~3.6% (per article, Cleveland Fed forecast)"},{"label":"Iran war start date","value":"Feb. 28 (per article)"}],"primary_claim":"The March FOMC minutes state that inflation could prove more persistent than staff anticipated, raising the risk that the Fed may not deliver expected rate cuts.","relevance_score":0.62,"sentiment":"negative","source_quality":"high","summary":"The article argues that March FOMC minutes suggest inflation may be more persistent than expected, potentially limiting or reversing planned rate cuts. It links this risk to the Iran war\u2019s inflationary effects and the possibility that Trump\u2019s tariffs remain \u201csticky.\u201d","topics":["FOMC minutes","inflation persistence","interest rate outlook","Iran war energy disruption","tariffs","equity market risk sentiment"]},"source":"Nasdaq Markets","source_domain":"fool.com","summary":"Key PointsDespite the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite outperforming for years, Wall Street's bull market may not be as bulletproof as it appears.","tickers":[],"title":"11 Words From the March Fed Minutes That May Come Back to Haunt Wall Street","url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/04/12/11-words-from-march-fed-minutes-haunt-wall-street/"}

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event_store.db — signals

Update row sig_a80992a2d907 in signals