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{"created_at":"2026-04-20T22:38:30.834831+00:00","dedupe_key":"signal_enriched:discovery_unusual_volume_delta:b11e0e47ce757f61","evidence_event_ids":["evt_7dd5f469ad1f"],"signal_type":"discovery_unusual_volume_delta","source":"discovery_ingestor","value":{"aggregator_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/iran-tensions-are-heating-again-so-why-did-russell-2000-just-hit-all-time-high","as_of":"2026-04-20T22:38:30.834831+00:00","canonical_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/04/20/iran-tensions-are-heating-up-again-so-why-did-the/","enrichment":{"aggregator_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/iran-tensions-are-heating-again-so-why-did-russell-2000-just-hit-all-time-high","article_chars":4302,"article_truncated":false,"blocked_reason":null,"candidate_id":"sc_73eaf7ee395d4f14","canonical_host":"fool.com","canonical_is_aggregator":false,"canonical_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/04/20/iran-tensions-are-heating-up-again-so-why-did-the/","content_type":"text/html; charset=utf-8","enriched_at":"2026-04-21T18:48:18.925942+00:00","extraction_method":"trafilatura","fetched_description":"Key PointsThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both had winning streaks snapped.","fetched_title":"Iran Tensions Are Heating Up Again. So Why Did the Russell 2000 Just Hit an All-Time High? | Nasdaq","final_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/iran-tensions-are-heating-again-so-why-did-russell-2000-just-hit-all-time-high","html_truncated":false,"paywall_likely":false,"publisher_domain":"fool.com","publisher_resolution":"canonical_url","requested_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/iran-tensions-are-heating-again-so-why-did-russell-2000-just-hit-all-time-high","source_event_id":"evt_7dd5f469ad1f","source_quality":"high","status_code":200,"version":"signal_enrichment_v2"},"fp":"d6698cdb054e42e6","kind":"unusual_volume","published_at":"2026-04-20T21:38:08+00:00","publisher_domain":"fool.com","signal_understanding":{"analysis_basis":"article","claim_confidence":0.74,"dates_mentioned":["Wednesday","last week","over the weekend","Monday","end of the year","a month ago","December 17, 2004","April 15, 2005","April 20, 2026"],"entities":[{"asset_class":"equity_index","name":"Russell 2000","relevance":"high","symbol":"","type":"index"},{"asset_class":"ETF","name":"iShares Russell 2000 ETF","relevance":"high","symbol":"IWM","type":"ETF"},{"asset_class":"equity_index","name":"S&P 500","relevance":"medium","symbol":"^GSPC","type":"index"},{"asset_class":"equity_index","name":"Nasdaq Composite","relevance":"medium","symbol":"^IXIC","type":"index"},{"asset_class":"macro_indicator","name":"CME Group's FedWatch Tool","relevance":"medium","symbol":"","type":"tool"}],"event_type":"price_action","information_gaps":["Unusual volume delta details are missing: no baseline volume, no volume ratio, and no direction for the unusual volume signal are provided in the text.","The article does not explicitly confirm the Russell 2000 move via specific news volume; it frames the catalyst as rate-cut expectations and rotation, but does not provide volume-based confirmation.","No explicit ticker-level volume metrics are given for IWM or the Russell 2000 constituents.","catalyst_hypothesis_most_likely_from_text: The most likely catalyst hypothesis stated is improved interest-rate-cut expectations due to cooling Middle East/Iran tensions, plus rotation from large caps into small caps (IWM/Russell 2000)."],"key_facts":["The Russell 2000 finished the session up 0.6% while the S&P 500 declined 0.2% and the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.3%.","The Russell 2000 hit an all-time high on Monday.","The article links the move to rising expectations for an interest rate cut, citing CME Group's FedWatch Tool: 35% chance of one rate cut by end of year (vs 25% a month earlier).","The article suggests investors may be rotating from large caps into small caps, noting the Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) trades at a P/E of 20 versus the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF at 28.","The article provides geopolitical context: Iran reopened/closed the Strait of Hormuz in response to ceasefire/blockade developments, and a two-week ceasefire is scheduled to end on Wednesday with President Trump saying he is unlikely to extend it."],"numeric_claims":[{"label":"Russell 2000 move","value":"up 0.6%"},{"label":"S&P 500 move","value":"down 0.2%"},{"label":"Nasdaq Composite move","value":"down 0.3%"},{"label":"FedWatch Tool rate cut probability (end of year)","value":"35%"},{"label":"FedWatch Tool rate cut probability (one month ago)","value":"25%"},{"label":"IWM P/E","value":"20"},{"label":"Vanguard S&P 500 ETF P/E","value":"28"}],"primary_claim":"The Russell 2000 finished up 0.6% and hit an all-time high on Monday even as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite declined.","relevance_score":0.62,"sentiment":"mixed","source_quality":"high","summary":"The article says the Russell 2000 rose to an all-time high while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell, attributing the outperformance to improving expectations for interest-rate cuts and a rotation from large caps into small caps amid cooling Iran tensions.","topics":["Iran tensions","Strait of Hormuz","ceasefire","interest rate cut expectations","small-cap outperformance","rotation into small caps","Russell 2000 all-time high"]},"source":"Nasdaq Markets","source_domain":"fool.com","summary":"Key PointsThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both had winning streaks snapped.","tickers":[],"title":"Iran Tensions Are Heating Up Again. So Why Did the Russell 2000 Just Hit an All-Time High?","url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/04/20/iran-tensions-are-heating-up-again-so-why-did-the/"}}

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event_store.db — events

Update row 472447 in events