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{"artifact_id":"art_intel_alert_isk_3a5431c2beea0ba5_20260414_1401","confidence":0.748,"created_at":"2026-04-14T14:39:03.736933+00:00","evidence_event_ids":["evt_895460d58b7e","evt_1d2e26bf1403","evt_ff786f2a88df","evt_fd869635a4d0","evt_36b1860228e8","evt_20157e7158b8","evt_e139512b0dc3","evt_b94521dbc803","evt_cd50c28237f6","evt_f523aad0e394"],"kind":"intel_alert","meta":{"alert_class":"developing","bucket":"2026-04-14T06:00","fingerprint":"{\"alert_class\": \"developing\", \"confidence\": 0.748, \"corroboration\": 0.789, \"story_id\": \"intel_e5e5a06d1710f9fc\", \"story_key\": \"isk_3a5431c2beea0ba53cd8\"}","independent_source_count":9,"primary_source_count":0,"provenance_score":0.689,"source":"intel_runtime","story_id":"intel_e5e5a06d1710f9fc","story_key":"isk_3a5431c2beea0ba53cd8","uncertainty_state":"open"},"output_json":{"alert_class":"developing","confidence":0.748,"continuity":{"current_quality_score":0.7626,"hours_since_last_seen":3.52,"last_confidence":0.748,"last_decision":"alert","last_quality_score":0.7804,"last_seen_at":"2026-04-14T10:30:00+00:00","narrative_hint":"Persistent multi-day narrative.","prior_story_count_96h":8,"quality_delta":-0.0178,"re_emerging":false,"state":"persistent","story_key":"isk_3a5431c2beea0ba53cd8","trajectory":[{"confidence":0.748,"decision":"alert","headline":"Multiple outlets report a large Bitcoin purchase attributed to Michael Saylor\u2019s strategy, framed as a $1B acquisition at an average ~$71.9K/BTC; the broader market context also notes BTC strength tied to U.S.-Iran optimism, but the provided text does not establish a direct causal link between the geopolitical item and the purchase claim.","observed_at":"2026-04-14T10:30:00+00:00"},{"confidence":0.748,"decision":"alert","headline":"Multiple outlets report that Michael Saylor\u2019s strategy is purchasing $1B worth of Bitcoin at an average price around $71.9K per BTC, framed as funded via a stock sale. This is a market-moving corporate/strategy capital-allocation claim rather than a policy or geopolitical development.","observed_at":"2026-04-14T10:30:00+00:00"},{"confidence":0.56,"decision":"monitor","headline":"Michael Saylor\u2019s strategy bought $1B Bitcoin at $71.9K per BTC.","observed_at":"2026-04-14T01:40:00+00:00"},{"confidence":0.748,"decision":"alert","headline":"Multiple outlets are circulating a claim that Michael Saylor\u2019s strategy bought $1B of Bitcoin at an average price around $71.9K per BTC; however, the provided material does not include primary transaction documentation, so the development is best treated as a market/positioning update rather than an immediate, high-urgency global event.","observed_at":"2026-04-13T20:48:49+00:00"},{"confidence":0.56,"decision":"monitor","headline":"Strategy is using preferred stock sales to buy more Bitcoin (\u201cbuy the dip\u201d).","observed_at":"2026-04-13T20:03:45+00:00"},{"confidence":0.748,"decision":"alert","headline":"Multiple market-news outlets report that Michael Saylor\u2019s Strategy (a publicly traded company) is buying about $1B worth of Bitcoin, reportedly using preferred stock\u2014an event that is likely to be market-relevant but not clearly a systemic or immediate global shock based on the provided evidence.","observed_at":"2026-04-13T20:03:45+00:00"}]},"contradiction":{"claim_type_breakdown":{"geopolitical_event":{"count":1,"down":0,"neutral":1,"up":0},"market_news_development":{"count":14,"down":0,"neutral":12,"up":2},"market_price_development":{"count":9,"down":0,"neutral":7,"up":2},"policy_regulation_development":{"count":1,"down":0,"neutral":1,"up":0}},"down_count":0,"flags":[],"has_conflict":false,"neutral_count":21,"up_count":4},"corroborated_summary":"The dataset indicates strong agreement across many signals (high claim agreement ~0.91; no contradiction flags) that a $1B Bitcoin purchase at ~$71.9K/BTC is being reported. The evidence quality is only moderate (~0.58) and the timeline excerpts shown are headline/page references without transaction-level details, so the claim appears corroborated at the reporting level rather than fully verified at the source-document level.","corroboration":{"claim_agreement":0.9087,"claim_type_breakdown":{"geopolitical_event":{"count":1,"down":0,"neutral":1,"up":0},"market_news_development":{"count":14,"down":0,"neutral":12,"up":2},"market_price_development":{"count":9,"down":0,"neutral":7,"up":2},"policy_regulation_development":{"count":1,"down":0,"neutral":1,"up":0}},"claim_type_coverage":4,"contradiction_flags":[],"evidence_event_count":25,"evidence_quality":0.5768,"high_precision_pass":true,"independent_source_coverage":10,"score":0.7886,"signal_family_coverage":2},"decision":"alert","degraded":false,"degraded_reason":"","entity_key":"macro:bitcoin","followup_status":"none","headline":"Michael Saylor\u2019s strategy bought $1B Bitcoin at $71.9K per BTC.","impact_score":0.6313,"importance":{"band":"high","continuity_state":"persistent","family_breadth":0.5,"provenance_score":0.689,"reasons":["strong_corroboration","continuity_persistent","world_key_asset"],"score":0.8855,"theme_prior":0.84,"trust_avg":0.6422},"information_gaps":["No article text or source summary was provided, so the specific tickers for \u201cRobinhood\u201d and \u201cStrategy Stocks\u201d are not stated.","No timeframe, magnitude, or underlying drivers for the \u201cjump\u201d are provided.","The headline\u2019s claim about Bitcoin being \u201cback\u201d is interpretive and not supported by any concrete metrics in the provided text.","No actual price level or change is provided.","No specific news item or catalyst is described.","No timestamp/date for \u201ctoday\u201d is provided.","No additional tickers or market context are included.","No article text is provided, so the exact figures, whether this is based on reported holdings vs. market prices, and the date of the valuation are unknown.","Hyperscale Data\u2019s ticker/symbol is not provided in the provided text.","The headline does not specify whether the claim implies a valuation anomaly, trend continuation, or reversal beyond the comparison itself.","No article text provided, so the specific U.S.-Iran development(s) driving the optimism are not stated.","No exact price level, time of day, or percentage change is provided."],"latest_observed_at":"2026-04-14T14:01:00+00:00","named_entities":["Robinhood","Bitcoin","BTC","Strategy Stocks","Hyperscale Data","BTC-USD","BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky","BTC/USD","BTCUSD","Strategy","Michael Saylor\u2019s Strategy","Bitbo","Bank of Korea"],"normalized_claims":[{"claim":"Robinhood and Strategy Stocks are jumping, and the headline implies Bitcoin may finally be back.","claim_type":"market_price_development","confidence":0.55,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"03e31f1f027b3963","source_domain":"barrons.com"},{"claim":"Bitcoin(BTC) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - 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CoinDesk","claim_type":"market_news_development","confidence":0.6,"direction":"up","fact_id":"3c4d594802a41e13","source_domain":"coindesk.com"},{"claim":"BTC retook $73,000 while oil gave up gains and stocks advanced.","claim_type":"market_price_development","confidence":0.55,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"41fefba7f0bb4240","source_domain":"coindesk.com"},{"claim":"BTIG\u2019s Jonathan Krinsky believes Bitcoin\u2019s rebound suggests software stocks have bottomed.","claim_type":"market_price_development","confidence":0.55,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"7f110b5071a06876","source_domain":"cnbc.com"},{"claim":"The headline indicates a BTC/USD (BTCUSD) stock price quotes and news page on Moomoo.","claim_type":"market_price_development","confidence":0.55,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"0dae92cdde371d93","source_domain":"moomoo.com"},{"claim":"BTC/USD(BTCUSD) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - Moomoo","claim_type":"market_news_development","confidence":0.6,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"3c9e1185cd084f5f","source_domain":"moomoo.com"},{"claim":"Strategy is using preferred stock sales to buy more Bitcoin (\u201cbuy the dip\u201d).","claim_type":"market_price_development","confidence":0.55,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"56bc2df9570f3cf4","source_domain":"barrons.com"},{"claim":"Michael Saylor\u2019s Strategy buys $1B Bitcoin at $71.9K per BTC - Blockspace Media","claim_type":"market_news_development","confidence":0.6,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"77076257bf29557c","source_domain":"blockspace.media"}],"personal_relevance":{"applied":true,"boost":0.008,"matched_assets":[],"matched_keywords":[],"score":0.1,"why_you":"No strong personal linkage detected."},"priority_score":0.7837,"quality_delta":0.796,"quality_flags":[],"quality_score":0.796,"recency_score":1.0,"recommended_checks":["Add at least one primary source confirmation before escalation.","Increase independent source coverage to reduce provenance risk.","Locate the underlying primary/near-primary source for the $1B and $71.9K figures (e.g., filing, audited disclosure, or direct statement) rather than headline-only syndication.","Verify whether the $1B purchase is a single transaction or an aggregate over a defined time window, and confirm the exact entity/vehicle referenced as \u201cSaylor\u2019s strategy.\u201d","Check for follow-up reporting that includes methodology (how the average price was computed) and whether any corrections were issued."],"risk_counterfactuals":["The $1B/$71.9K figures could be estimates, aggregated buys over a period, or derived from secondary reporting rather than a single confirmed transaction.","The attribution to \u201cMichael Saylor\u2019s strategy\u201d may refer to an entity/vehicle associated with him, and the exact mapping may be unclear in the provided excerpts.","The average price figure may not match the actual execution prices if trades occurred across multiple timestamps or venues."],"signal_families":["market_news","news"],"source_domains":["barrons.com","moomoo.com","stocktitan.net","gurufocus.com","techinasia.com","coindesk.com","cnbc.com","blockspace.media","bitbo.io","theblock.co"],"source_refs":[{"domain":"barrons.com","event_id":"evt_895460d58b7e","family":"market_news","headline":"Robinhood and Strategy Stocks are jumping, and the headline implies Bitcoin may finally be back.","observed_at":"2026-04-14T14:01:00+00:00","signal_id":"sig_9891aefb27ce","signal_type":"market_headline_delta","source":"Barron's","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"domain":"cnbc.com","event_id":"evt_1d2e26bf1403","family":"news","headline":"BTIG\u2019s Jonathan Krinsky believes Bitcoin\u2019s rebound suggests software stocks have bottomed.","observed_at":"2026-04-13T19:46:31+00:00","signal_id":"sig_ee3d7bbd6657","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"CNBC","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"domain":"coindesk.com","event_id":"evt_ff786f2a88df","family":"market_news","headline":"BItcoin price news: BTC retakes $73,000 as oil gives up gains, stocks advance - 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No article details are provided.; Headline states \u201cRobinhood and Strategy Stocks Jump.\u201d; Headline states \u201cWhy Bitcoin May Finally Be Back.\u201d","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-14T12:54:13Z","claim":"Bitcoin(BTC) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - Moomoo","claim_type":"market_news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"Bitcoin(BTC) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - Moomoo","magnitude":0.5,"source":"Moomoo","summary":"Bitcoin(BTC) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - Moomoo","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinAJBVV95cUxOMHNQeXJtdDV0MjJURU0zUDFfRUgySk1LZldTdkNHRXMwRG9ibGx3Q0ZOTkZCXzNLRmF3U2hURGtkT1dXSlZPMXo0Z0RCZDlrUjVydEw2OG9Oa19UNUJrUFhDMkV0LW9xVklNN3h5YWtXb0NVRDd5Y0JROGJBMkRmMWxXZzJkWU5vcHVTNEFxbjA3ZFRXR3pYMDRLTDhHMHR4VzdDQ2lLUkhralNDVFpuT1JCd0VxYU1sUFVIcmpUT09OZEk0dkFUUHNaWFlxZm95d200R2NJMFBTUFNTYU9BaVVacm9PY1VLeDEzXzUwU0FZYnRhX21NdzlWMnl4ekE0aXh2VnF0S0xyQjB2VGlLeHNSQ3VzS2NnUmtNRA?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-14T12:54:13Z","claim":"Moomoo has a page titled \u201cBitcoin (BTC) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News.\u201d","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"Moomoo has a page titled \u201cBitcoin (BTC) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News.\u201d","magnitude":0.415,"source":"Moomoo","summary":"The provided headline indicates a page on Moomoo showing Bitcoin (BTC) stock price quotes and related news. No specific price movement, figures, or news items are included in the provided text.; Headline references Bitcoin (BTC).; Headline references \u201cStock Price Today,\u201d \u201cQuotes,\u201d and \u201cNews.\u201d","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-14T10:30:00Z","claim":"Cash and Bitcoin exceed Hyperscale Data's entire market value.","claim_type":"market_news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"Cash and Bitcoin exceed Hyperscale Data's entire market value.","magnitude":0.493,"source":"Stock Titan","summary":"The headline claims that the combined value of cash and Bitcoin held by Hyperscale Data exceeds Hyperscale Data\u2019s entire market value.; Headline states that cash and Bitcoin exceed Hyperscale Data's entire market value.; No additional details (amounts, dates, or methodology) are provided in the provided text.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-14T09:22:30Z","claim":"Bitcoin (BTC-USD) Hits Four-Week High Amid Optimism Over U.S.-Ir - GuruFocus","claim_type":"market_news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"Bitcoin (BTC-USD) Hits Four-Week High Amid Optimism Over U.S.-Ir - GuruFocus","magnitude":0.5,"source":"GuruFocus","summary":"Bitcoin (BTC-USD) Hits Four-Week High Amid Optimism Over U.S.-Ir - GuruFocus","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivAFBVV95cUxNNlRDeG1qeHdBamJKeTZVRWptSlpvSlRweGRSck9OTzFIcU1uWHU0S1ltcnVGcFBCZWpXM1VCbGNxQS1RaTBFNW42YzdLOTJ1SVJ2U21mWHZTaGRSYnkyZVl2YzJrZ1huamlrSEszYm84WXVyalBtOTJjY2NPdktoX3lRZnJTQWR2WWIyMm1ORFcyVnl6YWF6QTVsTWFoRDNTMlR5R1dSelFMZE9NVWdNYXlXWTdIZ3oyeEdEWg?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-14T09:22:30Z","claim":"BTC-USD hit a four-week high amid optimism over U.S.-Iran.","claim_type":"geopolitical_event","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"BTC-USD hit a four-week high amid optimism over U.S.-Iran.","magnitude":0.7036,"source":"GuruFocus","summary":"Bitcoin (BTC-USD) reached a four-week high, with the move attributed to optimism over U.S.-Iran developments, per the GuruFocus headline.; Headline states Bitcoin (BTC-USD) hits a four-week high.; Headline links the move to optimism over U.S.-Iran.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-14T01:40:00Z","claim":"A strategy will buy $1 billion in bitcoin through a stock sale.","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"up","family":"market_news","headline":"A strategy will buy $1 billion in bitcoin through a stock sale.","magnitude":0.7036,"source":"Tech in Asia","summary":"The headline claims a strategy is buying $1 billion worth of bitcoin using proceeds from a stock sale. No additional details are provided in the supplied text.; Headline states: \"Strategy buys $1b in bitcoin through stock sale\".; Amount mentioned: $1b.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T20:48:49Z","claim":"Bitcoin(BTC) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - Moomoo","claim_type":"market_news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"Bitcoin(BTC) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - Moomoo","magnitude":0.5,"source":"Moomoo","summary":"Bitcoin(BTC) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - Moomoo","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimwJBVV95cUxPNF9reGxuNjBvN2VnRlJzSHJ5OGMxTVEyUjdBaUI5cXhkRnBIa3IzUUFqR2h2UEdXVmtkMVVYSWp1SGJiM2F0dWNIRGJmYXZVQVFCQjZYYVc5N3BESTJvbGxydVg4M1pJQXp6ZWIwcVBwdUxGRGg5bDdGZ0pZUmJGOGdQcGNlekJPZHJqVHE5V0tFZVR4QlJSNEhLNDhzQWp6WmM1NzRVS1RwejlMUmpsc2VPRFdtR1c2emlOcmFyWWUtSXVvd1p0N2dPT3hnNE5WQTB5YjlRc2RFQTliNV9WNlF4T0pLZWlFVF9PXzJLSTBfVms3aTRieWRkWjNUM0lWNUJtZ0RqaVkzdDdhb0VqSHdHeEFNTUNyQXpz?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T20:48:49Z","claim":"Moomoo has a page titled \u201cBitcoin (BTC) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News.\u201d","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"Moomoo has a page titled \u201cBitcoin (BTC) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News.\u201d","magnitude":0.415,"source":"Moomoo","summary":"The provided headline indicates a page on Moomoo showing Bitcoin (BTC) stock price quotes and related news for today. No specific price movement, news item, or market-moving claim is included in the provided text.; Headline references Bitcoin (BTC).; Headline references \u201cStock Price Today | Quotes & News.\u201d","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T20:04:22Z","claim":"BItcoin price news: BTC retakes $73,000 as oil gives up gains, stocks advance - CoinDesk","claim_type":"market_news_development","direction":"up","family":"market_news","headline":"BItcoin price news: BTC retakes $73,000 as oil gives up gains, stocks advance - CoinDesk","magnitude":0.5,"source":"CoinDesk","summary":"BItcoin price news: BTC retakes $73,000 as oil gives up gains, stocks advance - CoinDesk","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiyAFBVV95cUxNNWtCZEVpVFBucS1OR2k3RlFjQXhGVUNENGN3dnZxcVZISktMY1NKVlRXRWQ0dkc0bWltMFlLeUZKZk9TbGdsaC1mSFBSaVNsOFRVbTJHWVFKTHR5QXFldGJjTzdsLWh1THoyaV9ZZXI1NnM2WmNZODBnOVNGbUpFU3lfY2kxT19VM1J6ekRqUUs0VFZDOEpoTmNzSnVVWHd0TXF1QlNGZXV0WHZjbmFIYjJVNGJvYW9lTUJDYlNkSmVYMHZSZDJTLQ?oc=5"}],"timing_hints":["today"],"uncertainty_state":"open","unresolved_questions":["No article text or source summary was provided, so the specific tickers for \u201cRobinhood\u201d and \u201cStrategy Stocks\u201d are not stated.","No timeframe, magnitude, or underlying drivers for the \u201cjump\u201d are provided.","The headline\u2019s claim about Bitcoin being \u201cback\u201d is interpretive and not supported by any concrete metrics in the provided text.","No actual price level or change is provided.","No specific news item or catalyst is described.","No timestamp/date for \u201ctoday\u201d is provided.","Add at least one primary source confirmation before escalation.","Increase independent source coverage to reduce provenance risk."],"urgency":"medium","what_changed":"The new/featured narrative is the specific scale ($1B) and the implied average purchase price ($71.9K/BTC) attributed to Saylor\u2019s strategy, presented alongside broader market optimism headlines.","why_now":"The claim is being surfaced in multiple news/market feeds at the same time, suggesting renewed attention to Bitcoin positioning and corporate/strategy buying narratives.","window_end":"2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","window_start":"2026-04-13T00:00:00Z","world_state_thesis":"A widely circulated market-news claim says Michael Saylor\u2019s strategy bought $1B of Bitcoin at an average price around $71.9K per BTC; however, the provided material is largely headline-level and does not include primary transaction documentation."},"output_mrkdwn":"","ready_at":"2026-04-14T14:39:03.736933+00:00","status":"ready","summary":"The claim is being surfaced in multiple news/market feeds at the same time, suggesting renewed attention to Bitcoin positioning and corporate/strategy buying narratives.","title":"A widely circulated market-news claim says Michael Saylor\u2019s strategy bought $1B of Bitcoin at an average price around $71.9K per BTC; however, the provided material is largely headline-level and does not include primary transaction documentation.","updated_at":"2026-04-14T14:39:03.736933+00:00"}

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event_store.db — events

Update row 43061 in events