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{"created_at":"2026-04-19T12:46:14.065812+00:00","dedupe_key":"signal_enriched:discovery_unusual_volume_delta:11f4fe3ca33de6e3","evidence_event_ids":["evt_8f32dc0f0a50"],"signal_type":"discovery_unusual_volume_delta","source":"discovery_ingestor","value":{"aggregator_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/recent-cpi-report-already-shifting-2027-cola-forecasts-what-retirees-should-know","as_of":"2026-04-19T12:46:14.065812+00:00","canonical_url":"https://www.fool.com/retirement/2026/04/19/todays-cpi-report-is-already-shifting-2027-cola-fo/","enrichment":{"aggregator_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/recent-cpi-report-already-shifting-2027-cola-forecasts-what-retirees-should-know","article_chars":4856,"article_truncated":false,"blocked_reason":null,"candidate_id":"sc_2e7a0315963ea629","canonical_host":"fool.com","canonical_is_aggregator":false,"canonical_url":"https://www.fool.com/retirement/2026/04/19/todays-cpi-report-is-already-shifting-2027-cola-fo/","content_type":"text/html; charset=utf-8","enriched_at":"2026-04-19T13:16:37.656221+00:00","extraction_method":"trafilatura","fetched_description":"Key PointsThe inflation rate accelerated in March, climbing 3.3%.","fetched_title":"The Recent CPI Report Is Already Shifting 2027 COLA Forecasts -- What Retirees Should Know | Nasdaq","final_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/recent-cpi-report-already-shifting-2027-cola-forecasts-what-retirees-should-know","html_truncated":false,"paywall_likely":false,"publisher_domain":"fool.com","publisher_resolution":"canonical_url","requested_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/recent-cpi-report-already-shifting-2027-cola-forecasts-what-retirees-should-know","source_event_id":"evt_8f32dc0f0a50","source_quality":"high","status_code":200,"version":"signal_enrichment_v2"},"fp":"7b6252706a934998","kind":"unusual_volume","published_at":"2026-04-19T11:26:00+00:00","publisher_domain":"fool.com","signal_understanding":{"analysis_basis":"article","claim_confidence":0.78,"dates_mentioned":["March","January","February","July","2027"],"entities":[{"asset_class":"government","name":"Social Security Administration (SSA)","relevance":"explains how COLA is calculated","symbol":"","type":"government agency"},{"asset_class":"macro","name":"Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W)","relevance":"inflation metric tied to COLA","symbol":"","type":"economic indicator"},{"asset_class":"government","name":"Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)","relevance":"commentary cited as influencing inflation expectations","symbol":"","type":"government body"},{"asset_class":"government","name":"Jerome Powell","relevance":"Chair Powell cited regarding inflation expectations","symbol":"","type":"person"},{"asset_class":"other","name":"The Senior Citizens League","relevance":"COLA forecast model cited","symbol":"","type":"organization"},{"asset_class":"other","name":"Mary Johnson","relevance":"independent analyst with COLA forecast cited","symbol":"","type":"person"},{"asset_class":"media","name":"Motley Fool","relevance":"article source","symbol":"","type":"publisher"}],"event_type":"macro_policy","information_gaps":["No ticker or tradable asset is mentioned in the provided text, so unusual volume ratio vs average cannot be extracted.","The signal type is discovery_unusual_volume_delta, but the provided article text does not include any volume/market microstructure data or confirmation of unusual trading volume.","The article does not provide a specific catalyst tied to a particular security; it discusses macro data (CPI-W) and forecast revisions only."],"key_facts":["The article states March CPI-W inflation increased by 3.3%.","The article states SSA uses the average year-over-year increase in CPI-W for the third quarter of each year to calculate COLA.","The article states March\u2019s 3.3% CPI-W increase will not directly impact next year\u2019s COLA because COLA is based on prior-year third-quarter averages.","The article says The Senior Citizens League estimates a 2027 COLA of 2.8%, unchanged from January and February.","The article says Mary Johnson updated her model and now expects a 2027 COLA of 3.2%.","The article says Mary Johnson\u2019s forecast was 1.7% last month and 1.2% in February.","The article says the discrepancy between models indicates significant uncertainty about where prices are headed.","The article says FOMC and Chair Powell indicated inflation expectations have climbed since the start of the year.","The article says futures traders\u2019 expectations for end-of-year interest rates have climbed since the start of the war in Iran (as stated in the article)."],"numeric_claims":[{"label":"March CPI-W inflation (YoY)","value":"3.3%"},{"label":"Senior Citizens League 2027 COLA estimate","value":"2.8%"},{"label":"Mary Johnson 2027 COLA estimate","value":"3.2%"},{"label":"Mary Johnson prior forecast (last month)","value":"1.7%"},{"label":"Mary Johnson prior forecast (February)","value":"1.2%"}],"primary_claim":"March CPI-W inflation rose 3.3%, leading to significant changes in some 2027 Social Security COLA forecasts, including Mary Johnson raising her forecast to 3.2%.","relevance_score":0.45,"sentiment":"neutral","source_quality":"high","summary":"The article says March CPI-W inflation accelerated to 3.3%, prompting analysts to revise 2027 Social Security COLA forecasts upward in some cases. It reports The Senior Citizens League\u2019s 2027 COLA estimate at 2.8% (unchanged) and Mary Johnson\u2019s revised estimate at 3.2% (up sharply from prior months).","topics":["CPI-W","inflation","Social Security COLA","retiree planning","FOMC inflation expectations","forecast revisions"]},"source":"Nasdaq Markets","source_domain":"fool.com","summary":"Key PointsThe inflation rate accelerated in March, climbing 3.3%.","tickers":[],"title":"The Recent CPI Report Is Already Shifting 2027 COLA Forecasts -- What Retirees Should Know","url":"https://www.fool.com/retirement/2026/04/19/todays-cpi-report-is-already-shifting-2027-cola-fo/"}}

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event_store.db — events

Update row 308331 in events