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{"created_at":"2026-04-20T10:08:18.324 {"created_at":"2026-04-20T10:08:18.324557+00:00","dedupe_key":"signal_enriched:discovery_unusual_volume_delta:e879e5aca375e9ab","evidence_event_ids":["evt_fadd91958663"],"signal_type":"discovery_unusual_volume_delta","source":"discovery_ingestor","value":{"aggregator_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/may-21-could-be-terrible-day-ai-titan-nvidia-based-what-history-tells-us","as_of":"2026-04-20T10:08:18.324557+00:00","canonical_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/04/20/may-21-terrible-day-ai-titan-nvda-based-on-history/","enrichment":{"aggregator_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/may-21-could-be-terrible-day-ai-titan-nvidia-based-what-history-tells-us","article_chars":5000,"article_truncated":true,"blocked_reason":null,"candidate_id":"sc_cd7ce21f6cb71438","canonical_host":"fool.com","canonical_is_aggregator":false,"canonical_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/04/20/may-21-terrible-day-ai-titan-nvda-based-on-history/","content_type":"text/html; charset=utf-8","enriched_at":"2026-04-20T10:10:11.428483+00:00","extraction_method":"trafilatura","fetched_description":"Key PointsNvidia will release its 2027 fiscal first-quarter operating results after the closing bell on May 20.","fetched_title":"May 21 Could Be a Terrible Day for AI Titan Nvidia, Based on What History Tells Us | Nasdaq","final_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/may-21-could-be-terrible-day-ai-titan-nvidia-based-what-history-tells-us","html_truncated":false,"paywall_likely":false,"publisher_domain":"fool.com","publisher_resolution":"canonical_url","requested_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/may-21-could-be-terrible-day-ai-titan-nvidia-based-what-history-tells-us","source_event_id":"evt_fadd91958663","source_quality":"high","status_code":200,"version":"signal_enrichment_v2"},"fp":"f5af37f3179d3406","kind":"unusual_volume","published_at":"2026-04-20T09:26:00+00:00","publisher_domain":"fool.com","signal_understanding":{"analysis_basis":"article","claim_confidence":0.74,"dates_mentioned":["May 20","May 21","late February","December 17, 2004","April 15, 2005","Q4 2026","Q3 2026","Q2 2026","Q1 2026","Q4 2025","Q3 2025","Q2 2025"],"entities":[{"asset_class":"equity","name":"Nvidia","relevance":"high","symbol":"NVDA","type":"company"},{"asset_class":"person","name":"Jensen Huang","relevance":"medium","symbol":"","type":"person"}],"event_type":"earnings","information_gaps":["No unusual volume ratio vs average is provided in the text (baseline volume, volume ratio, and direction are missing).","The signal type suggests unusual volume delta, but the article content provided does not mention volume changes or confirm any volume-related catalyst.","Catalyst hypothesis for the stock move is framed as historical expectation/market reaction rather than a specific new catalyst; no explicit catalyst beyond the upcoming earnings date is stated."],"key_facts":["Nvidia will release its fiscal 2027 first-quarter operating results after the closing bell on May 20.","The article states that Nvidia guided for $78 billion in first-quarter sales (plus or minus 2%) and a GAAP gross margin of 74.9% when it reported fiscal fourth-quarter results in late February.","The article claims Nvidia\u2019s shares have performed poorly the day following quarterly earnings releases, citing day-after returns for Q4 2026 (-5.5%), Q3 2026 (-3.2%), Q2 2026 (-0.8%), Q1 2026 (+3.2%), Q4 2025 (-8.5%), Q3 2025 (+0.5%), and Q2 2025 (-6.4%).","The article states that shares declined from their prior-day close following five of the last seven quarterly earnings releases.","The article states that, on average, Nvidia loses 3% of its value after unveiling its operating results."],"numeric_claims":[{"label":"first-quarter sales guidance (fiscal 2027 Q1)","value":"$78 billion (\u00b12%)"},{"label":"GAAP gross margin guidance","value":"74.9%"},{"label":"implied sales growth from comparable quarter","value":"77%"},{"label":"Blackwell + Vera Rubin lifetime sales target by end of 2027","value":"$1 trillion"},{"label":"average value loss after operating results (per article)","value":"3%"},{"label":"day-after return examples","value":"Q4 2026 -5.5%, Q3 2026 -3.2%, Q2 2026 -0.8%, Q1 2026 +3.2%, Q4 2025 -8.5%, Q3 2025 +0.5%, Q2 2025 -6.4%"}],"primary_claim":"Historically, Nvidia shares have declined from the prior-day close following five of the last seven quarterly earnings releases, averaging about a 3% loss after unveiling operating results.","relevance_score":0.62,"sentiment":"mixed","source_quality":"high","summary":"The article argues that Nvidia (NVDA) may see a negative stock reaction on May 21 based on historical performance after its quarterly operating results. It also notes Nvidia is scheduled to report fiscal 2027 Q1 operating results after the close on May 20.","topics":["earnings date","stock reaction history","AI GPU demand/supply","expectations risk"]},"source":"Nasdaq Markets","source_domain":"fool.com","summary":"Key PointsNvidia will release its 2027 fiscal first-quarter operating results after the closing bell on May 20.","tickers":[],"title":"May 21 Could Be a Terrible Day for AI Titan Nvidia, Based on What History Tells Us","url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/04/20/may-21-terrible-day-ai-titan-nvda-based-on-history/"}}... |