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{"artifact_id":"art_intel_2026-04-14T0 {"artifact_id":"art_intel_2026-04-14T06:00","confidence":0.668,"created_at":"2026-04-14T10:39:02.869417+00:00","evidence_event_ids":["evt_402531361fb6","evt_0bef5ea1206f","evt_f44a1ad3c63e","evt_4e8b0278e736","evt_a139087dd14d","evt_e2c82640108e","evt_22fa60c066f4","evt_b346f883c909","evt_3ade9c121650","evt_c11bb2f071b0","evt_83aaf71b9a55"],"kind":"intel_digest","meta":{"alert_class_counts":{"confirmed":0,"developing":0,"none":40},"bucket":"2026-04-14T06:00","continuity_counts":{"developing":30,"escalating":3,"new":0,"persistent":7},"digest_story_count":1,"fingerprint":"[{\"alert_class\":\"none\",\"confidence\":0.668,\"corroboration\":0.663,\"decision\":\"digest\",\"importance\":0.873,\"provenance\":0.767,\"story_id\":\"intel_9b919fb778a108ce\",\"story_key\":\"isk_687a0fff63613c597397\",\"why_now\":\"The timing aligns with fresh market updates and new macro/trade reporting circulating on the same day (CNBC live updates; Bloomberg/Reuters-style trade coverage), which can quickly change index/futures sentiment even if underlying geopolitical risk remains.\"}]","lane_counts":{"alert":0,"digest":1,"monitor":39},"lookback_h":24,"model":"gpt-5.4-nano","narrative_clusters":1,"source":"intel_runtime","story_count":40,"tz":"America/New_York"},"output_json":{"alert_class_counts":{"confirmed":0,"developing":0,"none":40},"all_stories":[{"alert_class":"none","confidence":0.668,"continuity":{"current_quality_score":0.7168,"hours_since_last_seen":5.04,"last_confidence":0.46,"last_decision":"monitor","last_quality_score":0.5731,"last_seen_at":"2026-04-14T05:19:44+00:00","narrative_hint":"Escalating multi-day narrative.","prior_story_count_96h":10,"quality_delta":0.1437,"re_emerging":false,"state":"escalating","story_key":"isk_687a0fff63613c597397","trajectory":[{"confidence":0.46,"decision":"monitor","headline":"China\u2019s Exports Stumble, Imports Soar in First Month of Iran War - Bloomberg.com","observed_at":"2026-04-14T05:19:44+00:00"},{"confidence":0.46,"decision":"monitor","headline":"China\u2019s Exports Stumble, Imports Soar in First Month of Iran War - Bloomberg.com","observed_at":"2026-04-14T05:19:44+00:00"},{"confidence":0.46,"decision":"monitor","headline":"China exports miss estimates in March, imports post best growth in more than four years - CNBC","observed_at":"2026-04-14T05:19:44+00:00"},{"confidence":0.46,"decision":"monitor","headline":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates - CNBC","observed_at":"2026-04-13T23:22:00+00:00"},{"confidence":0.46,"decision":"monitor","headline":"Jim Cramer says this is the real reason why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears - CNBC","observed_at":"2026-04-13T23:06:21+00:00"},{"confidence":0.46,"decision":"monitor","headline":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates - CNBC","observed_at":"2026-04-13T22:06:00+00:00"}]},"contradiction":{"claim_type_breakdown":{"geopolitical_event":{"count":4,"down":0,"neutral":3,"up":1},"news_development":{"count":22,"down":0,"neutral":17,"up":5}},"down_count":0,"flags":[],"has_conflict":false,"neutral_count":20,"up_count":6},"corroborated_summary":"CNBC reports stock futures ticking higher and European markets expected to rise on hopes Iran peace talks can resume. Separately, Bloomberg (and other linked items in the feed) report China\u2019s exports stumbling and imports rising in the first month of the Iran war, indicating the geopolitical shock is still affecting trade flows. Overall, the feed shows more \u201cup/positive\u201d news-development items than negative ones, but geopolitical items are fewer and not fully resolved.","corroboration":{"claim_agreement":0.7614,"claim_type_breakdown":{"geopolitical_event":{"count":4,"down":0,"neutral":3,"up":1},"news_development":{"count":22,"down":0,"neutral":17,"up":5}},"claim_type_coverage":2,"contradiction_flags":[],"evidence_event_count":26,"evidence_quality":0.6169,"high_precision_pass":false,"independent_source_coverage":6,"score":0.6633,"signal_family_coverage":1},"decision":"digest","degraded":false,"degraded_reason":"","entity_key":"equity:CNBC","followup_status":"none","headline":"Stock futures tick higher after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates - 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beyond \"right now\".","No evidence, data, or mechanism is provided in the available text.","No article body or additional details are provided, so there is no information on specific assets, tickers, market moves, or timing/catalysts beyond the general mention of \u201cearnings season\u201d and \u201cIran war.\u201d","No explicit directional impact (e.g., bullish/bearish) is stated in the provided text."],"latest_observed_at":"2026-04-14T10:22:00+00:00","named_entities":["European markets","Iran peace talks","Jim Cramer","CNBC","Tom Lee"],"normalized_claims":[{"claim":"Stock futures tick higher after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC View Full Coverage on Google News","claim_type":"news_development","confidence":0.62,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"24c96fbb302a3fd7","source_domain":"cnbc.com"},{"claim":"European markets are expected to rise due to hopes that Iran peace talks can 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soften amid Hormuz blockade South China Morning Post China\u2019s Exports Stumble, Imports Soar in First Month of Iran War Bloomberg.com China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March in a sharp slowdown KCRA","claim_type":"news_development","confidence":0.62,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"ab730d50971d1772","source_domain":"reuters.com"},{"claim":"China exports miss estimates in March, imports post best growth in more than four years CNBC China's March exports slow as Iran war wipes out AI-driven gains Reuters China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March in a sharp slowdown as Iran war raises uncertainty KXAN Austin China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March from a year ago, significantly slowing from the previous two months 10TV China\u2019s Export Growth Faltered in First Month of War in Iran Bloomberg","claim_type":"news_development","confidence":0.62,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"1406446422184edc","source_domain":"cnbc.com"},{"claim":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance Opinion | An Iran Cease-Fire Won\u2019t Help Gas Prices The New York Times Software Stock Rally Powers S&P 500 Through Hormuz-Blockade Tumult WSJ","claim_type":"news_development","confidence":0.62,"direction":"up","fact_id":"eadae95b688cfbf6","source_domain":"cnbc.com"},{"claim":"Jim Cramer says this is the real reason why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears CNBC","claim_type":"news_development","confidence":0.62,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"7ab0e34db0369a66","source_domain":"cnbc.com"},{"claim":"Jim Cramer said there is a \u201creal reason\u201d why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears.","claim_type":"geopolitical_event","confidence":0.6,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"1dc971958b82a6fe","source_domain":"cnbc.com"},{"claim":"S&P 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detected."},"priority_score":0.7505,"quality_delta":0.7397,"quality_flags":[],"quality_score":0.7397,"recency_score":1.0,"recommended_checks":["Add at least one primary source confirmation before escalation.","Increase independent source coverage to reduce provenance risk.","Verify whether the \u201cindex erases Iran war losses\u201d claim is tied to a specific index level/date and whether it reflects broad market breadth or a narrow sector move (using the original CNBC live update).","Check for corroborating reporting from Reuters/Bloomberg on Iran peace-talk resumption prospects (not just market hopes) and whether any official statements or negotiation milestones are cited.","Assess whether other major markets (rates, FX, oil) show consistent direction with the equity futures move, to gauge whether the move is genuinely risk-on tied to Iran developments."],"risk_counterfactuals":["If Iran peace-talk optimism proves unfounded or talks stall, the \u201cerasing losses\u201d sentiment could reverse quickly.","If trade data revisions or additional indicators show worsening global demand beyond China\u2019s exports, market stabilization could be temporary.","If the futures/index move is driven by technical factors or broader risk-on flows unrelated to Iran, the geopolitical linkage may be overstated."],"signal_families":["news"],"source_domains":["cnbc.com","bloomberg.com","reuters.com","washingtonpost.com","fortune.com","aljazeera.com"],"source_refs":[{"domain":"reuters.com","event_id":"evt_402531361fb6","family":"news","headline":"China's export engine stutters as Iran war chills global demand - 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News","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE03ZGpnREIteEV0Y0FlZlpGMTYwQU5kYlIxWWhDRzR4NjJQUGtyRXA0dmlGbXB5emxEaWp0QnJaWENPYTBydzlrTkFhTmdVTjFJLUZzM0h4NDYybVhHZmZsQjhuSHBablhHOVlaNmR3QTJLalQwVjFqedIBfkFVX3lxTE95VWVOM1JNTEV0SzB6a3daZlBfbDJZNUZZWmVfZlNMNm1qdlltSzVFVnAyRjJKVGoxMUxRVnh5TFRja0gxa2x2Q0lXRE1zRTRfX2w0WTg5Tk5XOFVWOE82WldORXh4NFp5MTVwVFhncnlGX01OajNiSEtOZXVMQQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-14T05:19:44Z","claim":"European markets are expected to rise due to hopes that Iran peace talks can resume.","claim_type":"geopolitical_event","direction":"up","family":"news","headline":"European markets are expected to rise due to hopes that Iran peace talks can resume.","magnitude":0.68,"source":"CNBC","summary":"European markets set to rise on hopes that Iran peace talks can resume CNBC; Headline states European markets are set to rise.; Reason given is hopes that Iran peace talks can resume.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-14T04:45:00Z","claim":"China\u2019s Exports Stumble, Imports Soar in First Month of Iran War Bloomberg.com China exports miss estimates in March, imports post best growth in more than four years CNBC China's exports set to lose momentum as Iran war undercuts AI-driven boom: Reuters poll Reuters China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March from a year ago, significantly slowing from the previous two months 10TV China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March in a sharp slowdown as Iran war raises uncertainty KXAN Austin","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"China\u2019s Exports Stumble, Imports Soar in First Month of Iran War - Bloomberg.com","magnitude":0.9,"source":"Bloomberg.com","summary":"China\u2019s Exports Stumble, Imports Soar in First Month of Iran War Bloomberg.com China exports miss estimates in March, imports post best growth in more than four years CNBC China's exports set to lose momentum as Iran war undercuts AI-driven boom: Reuters poll Reuters China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March from a year ago, significantly slowing from the previous two months 10TV China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March in a s...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitAFBVV95cUxNeGtGUUxjYzAtYThVd05tNmFLTlJMeXpuLWd2ZlAxQ0tuRDFvWWg4ZVhnRUJBMzBua1pLTmY2QVZiYXo5WEhraU1RNmFLUVlMc1BtVTF0WC03TVVsVFEwSHN5eVZkbU1Hd0paQ2FTdlZXS1poYkFkZ0E0SGdRd1JoUmRlXzVvZ2NibTEzOUN4cjE2YlBSODVzOFkzdnVhdlF4OE1XenNqNXVNdm9NdExybUFwaHM?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-14T03:27:00Z","claim":"China's export engine stutters as Iran war chills global demand Reuters China exports miss estimates in March, imports post best growth in more than four years CNBC Breaking | China\u2019s imports surge in March as exports soften amid Hormuz blockade South China Morning Post China\u2019s Exports Stumble, Imports Soar in First Month of Iran War Bloomberg.com China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March in a sharp slowdown KCRA","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"China's export engine stutters as Iran war chills global demand - Reuters","magnitude":0.9,"source":"Reuters","summary":"China's export engine stutters as Iran war chills global demand Reuters China exports miss estimates in March, imports post best growth in more than four years CNBC Breaking | China\u2019s imports surge in March as exports soften amid Hormuz blockade South China Morning Post China\u2019s Exports Stumble, Imports Soar in First Month of Iran War Bloomberg.com China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March in a sharp slowdown KCRA","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirAFBVV95cUxNLXhzMWhMLWxBWlF0NWZkb0RLQ3gtNXVYZmRVRng0MUw2clZ6dGVFbFdpeHR2UllHYmRmUHBWT29fNjA3aEQ2bDRzLUN6WGJTM19FVjdRMjQ3VGlLbjZKOEpLV1pRQmpJWnZ3ODRETWRvN2dqcHNYM1lCVUl4TVBEZ2t1SFAwbTd4RXVNVnZrOE9ZVnF4a0J3bnloNWJseGhWTGFJWEJtMnRGbmhX?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-14T03:07:00Z","claim":"China exports miss estimates in March, imports post best growth in more than four years CNBC China's March exports slow as Iran war wipes out AI-driven gains Reuters China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March in a sharp slowdown as Iran war raises uncertainty KXAN Austin China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March from a year ago, significantly slowing from the previous two months 10TV China\u2019s Export Growth Faltered in First Month of War in Iran Bloomberg","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"China exports miss estimates in March, imports post best growth in more than four years - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"China exports miss estimates in March, imports post best growth in more than four years CNBC China's March exports slow as Iran war wipes out AI-driven gains Reuters China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March in a sharp slowdown as Iran war raises uncertainty KXAN Austin China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March from a year ago, significantly slowing from the previous two months 10TV China\u2019s Export Growth Faltered in First Month...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiAFBVV95cUxPRk05RnE5b09xU1F4VmlMX3UtSWViUXZ5SGJpbHRnek9WUEJ3X05JUmF2ZTdHM0hfVWk3TUhINzN5NGNxSXlrWGpROUNxd3U4dUpfZ21OZzdmMnFSM2l4RkpFX2NhVnlMN0FxZVFPM29ZMDFWbUNnZWpkMUlVdHhGSDFwdklVWUF40gGOAUFVX3lxTE80MEx5UHNfX2xoNkk2NlN0YXR0QUxrdGFteFNJc2w4YkR1TS1HNVRaaU15YVJOdjhzNTVUNkUxVXcxV1dTVWlsOThtdXRuWDNoaUdNcGhQdXdJTnFhRWFBb3g0aU9xdGNjZmk1QXF0MldhUW5fYzBSRENvdWN1MFNtRGJtcHE5UG52bzB4ZkE?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T23:22:00Z","claim":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance Opinion | An Iran Cease-Fire Won\u2019t Help Gas Prices The New York Times Software Stock Rally Powers S&P 500 Through Hormuz-Blockade Tumult WSJ","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"up","family":"news","headline":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance Opinion | An Iran Cease-Fire Won\u2019t Help Gas Prices The New York Times Software Stock Rally Powers S&P 500 Through...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE03ZGpnREIteEV0Y0FlZlpGMTYwQU5kYlIxWWhDRzR4NjJQUGtyRXA0dmlGbXB5emxEaWp0QnJaWENPYTBydzlrTkFhTmdVTjFJLUZzM0h4NDYybVhHZmZsQjhuSHBablhHOVlaNmR3QTJLalQwVjFqedIBfkFVX3lxTE95VWVOM1JNTEV0SzB6a3daZlBfbDJZNUZZWmVfZlNMNm1qdlltSzVFVnAyRjJKVGoxMUxRVnh5TFRja0gxa2x2Q0lXRE1zRTRfX2w0WTg5Tk5XOFVWOE82WldORXh4NFp5MTVwVFhncnlGX01OajNiSEtOZXVMQQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T23:06:21Z","claim":"Jim Cramer says this is the real reason why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears CNBC","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Jim Cramer says this is the real reason why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Jim Cramer says this is the real reason why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears CNBC","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxPSWhfWl9TelFpQTVuSEJVTGNMN0FNZ0lnZTYtWl9wc3M5SXZuM2k5T01NQzZRbkZPT3JCWi1BbnNqcXlHX3QxSk1NV0dKTjVURDk4SXItdjYxWTV0QjlHMzVHMjYtZm9FUUJLWXNzbUl6MXF6MUVYLU1pMmJzSkM1ZGRNckY4SjJabFVHatIBkgFBVV95cUxPdC1OY0tRZnR0bEI3SG1Wc0szX2J3VEQ5SFNNZklieGN6SmxiWWRYd3laUWNCMkNVQVZtZGwtREV2SGNYMWE2blJ6RTRRbXdYSDl1bUIwUElWWEZpbGpaY3FwcFdCeHdjUm5CZVhlbkNQSHRaSHB5UWhwX0pLZGZvalBOZ2NRUjlJLUNOdEszbFJFZw?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T23:06:21Z","claim":"Jim Cramer said there is a \u201creal reason\u201d why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears.","claim_type":"geopolitical_event","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Jim Cramer said there is a \u201creal reason\u201d why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears.","magnitude":0.68,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Jim Cramer says this is the real reason why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears CNBC; Headline states Jim Cramer said there is a \u201creal reason\u201d stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears.; Source summary repeats the same claim.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T22:06:00Z","claim":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE03ZGpnREIteEV0Y0FlZlpGMTYwQU5kYlIxWWhDRzR4NjJQUGtyRXA0dmlGbXB5emxEaWp0QnJaWENPYTBydzlrTkFhTmdVTjFJLUZzM0h4NDYybVhHZmZsQjhuSHBablhHOVlaNmR3QTJLalQwVjFqedIBfkFVX3lxTE95VWVOM1JNTEV0SzB6a3daZlBfbDJZNUZZWmVfZlNMNm1qdlltSzVFVnAyRjJKVGoxMUxRVnh5TFRja0gxa2x2Q0lXRE1zRTRfX2w0WTg5Tk5XOFVWOE82WldORXh4NFp5MTVwVFhncnlGX01OajNiSEtOZXVMQQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T21:52:00Z","claim":"Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Wall Street is the biggest winner of the Iran war\u2014and the S&P 500 just turned positive for the year Fortune Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance US stocks rally and return to where they were before the US-Iran war AP News","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"up","family":"news","headline":"Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Wall Street is the biggest winner of the Iran war\u2014and the S&P 500 just turned positive for the year Fortune Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance US sto...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMid0FVX3lxTE15aXRHdmlfQXNxSmZVLWVpMkxMd2FEN1ZUUGR1Tzg2bHFBX084dzM2NGItZUx0cUFIUFFfQ0YzdmZ0VHFUc0c3dlFGNUNDaExGQXh3UnF4Ty1rVEVhYjZUSnZQMzJEaUZmUmQ2am9oeFRBM3RoNUsw0gF8QVVfeXFMTkxTcnBzUEVvYXJkU1hITWthanpSSlBwbmhWZHlvUDRDaUZrZU1Gb1JScktEQnA3Zmw0UEwxejZWMjE1cVpTeU1nUnZ1NG9qVTZhUkYyUEdIbzB3a1NtaFBTMEZjVjhzMURDUUk2MmRrMEYxOHNla1NHaWRfMw?oc=5"}],"timing_hints":[],"uncertainty_state":"open","unresolved_questions":["No article body provided, so no specifics on which European indices/sectors are expected to rise.","No timing details for when talks might resume or when the market move is expected to occur.","No information on the likelihood of resumption, negotiating parties, or any concrete policy developments.","The specific \u201creal reason\u201d Jim Cramer cited is not stated in the provided text.","No details on which stocks/indices are referenced.","No timing information (when the comment was made or expected market catalyst timing).","Add at least one primary source confirmation before escalation.","Increase independent source coverage to reduce provenance risk."],"urgency":"medium","what_changed":"The immediate market narrative in the provided items shifts toward \u201cindex erases Iran war losses\u201d and \u201chopes that Iran peace talks can resume,\u201d while at least one macro datapoint in the feed continues to show Iran-war-related strain in trade (China exports slowing, imports rising).","why_now":"The timing aligns with fresh market updates and new macro/trade reporting circulating on the same day (CNBC live updates; Bloomberg/Reuters-style trade coverage), which can quickly change index/futures sentiment even if underlying geopolitical risk remains.","window_end":"2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","window_start":"2026-04-13T00:00:00Z","world_state_thesis":"Market sentiment appears to be stabilizing/turning positive after Iran-war-related losses, with expectations that Iran peace talks could resume and with broader macro trade effects (e.g., China\u2019s trade mix) still reflecting the Iran-war backdrop."},{"alert_class":"none","confidence":0.56,"continuity":{"current_quality_score":0.7243,"hours_since_last_seen":4.03,"last_confidence":0.56,"last_decision":"monitor","last_quality_score":0.6729,"last_seen_at":"2026-04-14T06:06:02+00:00","narrative_hint":"Escalating multi-day narrative.","prior_story_count_96h":2,"quality_delta":0.0514,"re_emerging":false,"state":"escalating","story_key":"isk_944a5c3f6d397880948e","trajectory":[{"confidence":0.56,"decision":"monitor","headline":"JPMorgan Chase (JPM) reports Q1 results tomorrow, per Yahoo Finance.","observed_at":"2026-04-14T06:06:02+00:00"},{"confidence":0.56,"decision":"monitor","headline":"JPMorgan Chase (JPM) reports Q1 results tomorrow, per Yahoo 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expects.","corroboration":{"claim_agreement":1.0,"claim_type_breakdown":{"earnings_development":{"count":6,"down":0,"neutral":6,"up":0},"news_development":{"count":1,"down":0,"neutral":1,"up":0}},"claim_type_coverage":2,"contradiction_flags":[],"evidence_event_count":7,"evidence_quality":0.64,"high_precision_pass":false,"independent_source_coverage":5,"score":0.7291,"signal_family_coverage":1},"decision":"monitor","degraded":true,"degraded_reason":"llm_unavailable_or_invalid_verdict","entity_key":"equity:JPM","followup_status":"none","headline":"JPMorgan Chase is set to report first-quarter earnings, and CNBC presents expectations from the Street.","impact_score":0.6228,"importance":{"band":"high","continuity_state":"escalating","family_breadth":0.25,"provenance_score":0.6919,"reasons":["strong_corroboration","continuity_escalating"],"score":0.8179,"theme_prior":0.84,"trust_avg":0.6486},"information_gaps":["No earnings date/time is provided in the supplied text.","No specific Street expectations (e.g., EPS, revenue, guidance) are included.","No actual results or management commentary are provided.","No market reaction or estimates range is provided.","The scheduled reporting date/time for first-quarter earnings is not provided.","No specific analyst estimates (e.g., EPS/revenue) or guidance are included in the provided text.","No market reaction, consensus range, or key drivers are stated.","No additional entities (e.g., competitors, macro factors) are mentioned in the available text.","No article text is provided beyond the headline/source summary, so specific earnings figures, guidance, surprises, or dates are unknown.","No standardized ticker symbols are provided for Goldman Sachs or JPMorgan in the provided text.","No information is available on which other banks are referenced or what the expected catalyst timing is.","The expected magnitude of the stock move (e.g., percentage or dollar amount) is not provided."],"latest_observed_at":"2026-04-14T10:08:01+00:00","named_entities":["JPMorgan Chase","JPM","Goldman Sachs","JPMorgan","Other banks","Jamie Dimon"],"normalized_claims":[{"claim":"JPMorgan Chase is set to report first-quarter earnings, and CNBC says it includes expectations from the Street.","claim_type":"earnings_development","confidence":0.62,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"faa7f42870d085a2","source_domain":"cnbc.com"},{"claim":"JPMorgan Chase is set to report first-quarter earnings, and CNBC presents expectations from the Street.","claim_type":"earnings_development","confidence":0.76,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"e2fd64d2332cca5d","source_domain":"cnbc.com"},{"claim":"The headline suggests Goldman Sachs\u2019s bank earnings are setting the tone, while JPMorgan and other banks may have an opportunity to surprise.","claim_type":"earnings_development","confidence":0.55,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"ad10e00d611558bb","source_domain":"tastylive.com"},{"claim":"JPMorgan 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noise."],"signal_families":["news"],"source_domains":["cnbc.com","tastylive.com","investopedia.com","investors.com","finance.yahoo.com"],"source_refs":[{"domain":"cnbc.com","event_id":"evt_cb7b707aba33","family":"news","headline":"JPMorgan Chase is set to report first-quarter earnings, and CNBC says it includes expectations from the Street.","observed_at":"2026-04-14T10:08:01+00:00","signal_id":"sig_7f6d8ef8ae39","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"CNBC","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"domain":"cnbc.com","event_id":"evt_eccc62f3ba02","family":"news","headline":"JPMorgan Chase is set to report first-quarter earnings, and CNBC presents expectations from the 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Asia","summary":"The headline claims a strategy is buying $1 billion worth of bitcoin using proceeds from a stock sale. No additional details are provided in the supplied text.; Headline states: \"Strategy buys $1b in bitcoin through stock sale\".; Amount mentioned: $1b.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T20:48:49Z","claim":"Bitcoin(BTC) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - Moomoo","claim_type":"market_news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"Bitcoin(BTC) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - Moomoo","magnitude":0.5,"source":"Moomoo","summary":"Bitcoin(BTC) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - Moomoo","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMimwJBVV95cUxPNF9reGxuNjBvN2VnRlJzSHJ5OGMxTVEyUjdBaUI5cXhkRnBIa3IzUUFqR2h2UEdXVmtkMVVYSWp1SGJiM2F0dWNIRGJmYXZVQVFCQjZYYVc5N3BESTJvbGxydVg4M1pJQXp6ZWIwcVBwdUxGRGg5bDdGZ0pZUmJGOGdQcGNlekJPZHJqVHE5V0tFZVR4QlJSNEhLNDhzQWp6WmM1NzRVS1RwejlMUmpsc2VPRFdtR1c2emlOcmFyWWUtSXVvd1p0N2dPT3hnNE5WQTB5YjlRc2RFQTliNV9WNlF4T0pLZWlFVF9PXzJLSTBfVms3aTRieWRkWjNUM0lWNUJtZ0RqaVkzdDdhb0VqSHdHeEFNTUNyQXpz?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T20:48:49Z","claim":"Moomoo has a page titled \u201cBitcoin (BTC) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News.\u201d","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"Moomoo has a page titled \u201cBitcoin (BTC) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News.\u201d","magnitude":0.415,"source":"Moomoo","summary":"The provided headline indicates a page on Moomoo showing Bitcoin (BTC) stock price quotes and related news for today. 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slipped and stocks gained amid investor optimism about a possible path to peace.","magnitude":0.68,"source":"The New York Times","summary":"Oil Prices Slip and Stocks Gain as Investors Eye Possible Path to Peace The New York Times; Oil prices slipped.; Stocks gained.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T20:46:00Z","claim":"Crude oil physical markets remain elevated.","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Crude oil physical markets remain elevated.","magnitude":0.493,"source":"stonex.com","summary":"Crude Oil Physical Markets Remain Elevated stonex.com; stonex.com headline states that crude oil physical markets remain elevated.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T20:03:01Z","claim":"Oil prices eased back from their morning spurts while US stocks rallied on a hopeful Wall Street.","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Oil prices eased back from their morning spurts while US stocks rallied on a hopeful Wall Street.","magnitude":0.571,"source":"KTVN","summary":"Oil prices ease back from their morning spurts as US stocks rally on a still hopeful Wall Street KTVN; Oil prices eased back from their morning spurts.; US stocks rallied.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T19:35:10Z","claim":"Oil prices gave back much of their morning jump while U.S. stocks climbed on a still-hopeful Wall Street.","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"Oil prices gave back much of their morning jump while U.S. stocks climbed on a still-hopeful Wall Street.","magnitude":0.649,"source":"PBS","summary":"The headline says oil prices reversed much of their earlier morning gains as U.S. stocks rose, reflecting a still-hopeful Wall Street.; Oil prices gave back much of their morning jump.; U.S. stocks climbed.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T19:35:10Z","claim":"Oil prices gave back much of their morning jump while U.S. stocks climbed amid a still-hopeful Wall Street.","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Oil prices gave back much of their morning jump while U.S. stocks climbed amid a still-hopeful Wall Street.","magnitude":0.571,"source":"PBS","summary":"Oil prices give back much of their morning jump as U.S. stocks climb on a still hopeful Wall Street PBS; Oil prices gave back much of their morning jump.; U.S. stocks climbed.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T14:37:16Z","claim":"Geopolitical tensions are impacting markets amid an oil price surge.","claim_type":"geopolitical_event","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"Geopolitical tensions are impacting markets amid an oil price surge.","magnitude":0.68,"source":"GuruFocus","summary":"The headline claims that geopolitical tensions are affecting markets, coinciding with an oil price surge.; Headline states geopolitical tensions are impacting markets.; Headline states oil prices are surging.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"}],"timing_hints":[],"uncertainty_state":"open","unresolved_questions":["No specific country/party or conflict is named for the \u201cpossible path to peace.\u201d","No magnitude (percent/points) of oil price or stock moves is provided.","No specific stock index or tickers are identified.","No timing details (e.g., intraday vs. multi-day) are provided beyond the headline framing.","No article text is provided beyond the headline/source summary, so the magnitude, drivers, and specific measures of \u201celevated\u201d are unknown.","No timing/catalyst window is stated in the provided text.","Validate the primary claim against at least one primary source.","Confirm the same claim type across another independent source family."],"urgency":"low","what_changed":"Oil Prices Slip and Stocks Gain as Investors Eye Possible Path to Peace The New York Times; Oil prices slipped.; Stocks gained.","why_now":"2 signal families across 5 sources converged within the last few hours (latest signal at 2026-04-14T09:08:55+00:00).","window_end":"2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","window_start":"2026-04-13T00:00:00Z","world_state_thesis":"Oil prices slipped and stocks gained amid investor optimism about a possible path to peace."},{"alert_class":"none","confidence":0.56,"continuity":{"current_quality_score":0.6909,"hours_since_last_seen":3.17,"last_confidence":0.56,"last_decision":"monitor","last_quality_score":0.6993,"last_seen_at":"2026-04-14T06:57:40+00:00","narrative_hint":"Persistent multi-day narrative.","prior_story_count_96h":7,"quality_delta":-0.0084,"re_emerging":false,"state":"persistent","story_key":"isk_6263128b26c25edb3ad8","trajectory":[{"confidence":0.56,"decision":"monitor","headline":"Jim Cramer says this is the real reason why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears - 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Cramer CNBC","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi2AFBVV95cUxQVkthakFROEVCQ2cwbXZjOWNZdTZiTmpEWWtBdDgyQ3V2N085RnFZUFdpYXlOcDN0OXg5NnNHbk1GbTdvaGM0bUpHNl9ibFVkSmcyNlg0Y3l6empCdWg2aklNYjBjUVR1WW1fM0otaU5LTGRCYnhwcU1UdGRqVHpsU0FoTzBPZWhqMllLaVlqQjRlSEtBUTFwRTl3UVAwMlNkWGIyb0lZZEtEYTB5WUlScDdDaWtWbmQyNVhVQUlDQ2xBeHFzRGpfNDRrVlhCdUhqNjBYR1BQQkU?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T23:28:12Z","claim":"Jim Cramer said the president\u2019s moves may be erratic but have had very limited impact on stocks.","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Jim Cramer said the president\u2019s moves may be erratic but have had very limited impact on stocks.","magnitude":0.493,"source":"CNBC","summary":"The president's moves may be erratic but the impact on stocks has been very limited, says Jim Cramer CNBC; Headline attributes a quote to Jim Cramer on CNBC.; Cramer characterizes the president\u2019s moves as potentially 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No specific assets, figures, or policy details are provided in the available text.; Headline: \u201cStock Market Outlook: Economist Warns of Lower Returns After Strong Decade.\u201d; No article body or additional details were provided.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T10:19:28Z","claim":"US Stock Market Today: S&P 500 Futures Slip As Inflation And Energy Worries Build - simplywall.st","claim_type":"market_news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"US Stock Market Today: S&P 500 Futures Slip As Inflation And Energy Worries Build - simplywall.st","magnitude":0.72,"source":"simplywall.st","summary":"US Stock Market Today: S&P 500 Futures Slip As Inflation And Energy Worries Build - 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falls on hopes of renewed US-Iran talks abcnews.com; Asian stocks gained.; Oil fell.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-14T07:48:15Z","claim":"Stock markets gained and oil fell due to hopes of renewed US-Iran talks.","claim_type":"geopolitical_event","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Stock markets gained and oil fell due to hopes of renewed US-Iran talks.","magnitude":0.68,"source":"Euronews.com","summary":"Stock markets gain and oil falls on hopes of renewed US-Iran talks Euronews.com; Stock markets gained.; Oil fell.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-14T07:43:47Z","claim":"Major Gulf markets climbed on 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volatility.","magnitude":0.68,"source":"InvestmentNews","summary":"Markets brace for prolonged volatility as Middle East tensions reshape global investment outlook InvestmentNews; The headline states markets are bracing for prolonged volatility.; The headline attributes the volatility to Middle East tensions.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-14T06:08:53Z","claim":"Live updates: Pakistan proposes new US-Iran talks as Vance and Trump hint at progress AP News Iran Update Special Report, April 13, 2026 Institute for the Study of War Live Updates: In Iran war, push to resume U.S.-Iran talks intensifies as U.S. blockade of Iran's ports enters Day 2 CBS News Middle East war live: China\u2019s Xi warns Iran conflict leaves world \u2018beset by disarray\u2019 Financial Times Live: Several ships seen passing 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erases Iran war losses: Live updates - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"S&P 500 futures tick higher after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Oil Prices Slip and Stocks Gain as Investors Eye Possible Path to Peace The New York Times Oil prices fall as supply concerns ease on hopes for US-Iran talks Reuters Stock Market News, April 13, 2026: Nasdaq, S&P 500 and Dow Push Higher;...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE03ZGpnREIteEV0Y0FlZlpGMTYwQU5kYlIxWWhDRzR4NjJQUGtyRXA0dmlGbXB5emxEaWp0QnJaWENPYTBydzlrTkFhTmdVTjFJLUZzM0h4NDYybVhHZmZsQjhuSHBablhHOVlaNmR3QTJLalQwVjFqedIBfkFVX3lxTE95VWVOM1JNTEV0SzB6a3daZlBfbDJZNUZZWmVfZlNMNm1qdlltSzVFVnAyRjJKVGoxMUxRVnh5TFRja0gxa2x2Q0lXRE1zRTRfX2w0WTg5Tk5XOFVWOE82WldORXh4NFp5MTVwVFhncnlGX01OajNiSEtOZXVMQQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-14T06:56:15Z","claim":"China\u2019s exports slow as Middle East turmoil weighs on trade Financial Times China exports growth in March misses estimates, imports surge most in over four years CNBC China's export engine stutters as Iran war chills global demand Reuters China exports stumble, imports surge amid Iran war; US shipments down 26.5% The Times of India China\u2019s Exports Stumble, Imports Soar in First Month of Iran War Bloomberg.com","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"China\u2019s exports slow as Middle East turmoil weighs on trade - Financial Times","magnitude":0.9,"source":"Financial Times","summary":"China\u2019s exports slow as Middle East turmoil weighs on trade Financial Times China exports growth in March misses estimates, imports surge most in over four years CNBC China's export engine stutters as Iran war chills global demand Reuters China exports stumble, imports surge amid Iran war; US shipments down 26.5% The Times of India China\u2019s Exports Stumble, Imports Soar in First Month of Iran War 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erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance CNBC Daily Open: S&P stages a comeback, erasing all Iran war losses CNBC Stocks rally, oil dips below $100 a barrel as investors signal hope for swift end to Iran war CBS News Software Stock Rally Powers S&P 500...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE03ZGpnREIteEV0Y0FlZlpGMTYwQU5kYlIxWWhDRzR4NjJQUGtyRXA0dmlGbXB5emxEaWp0QnJaWENPYTBydzlrTkFhTmdVTjFJLUZzM0h4NDYybVhHZmZsQjhuSHBablhHOVlaNmR3QTJLalQwVjFqedIBfkFVX3lxTE95VWVOM1JNTEV0SzB6a3daZlBfbDJZNUZZWmVfZlNMNm1qdlltSzVFVnAyRjJKVGoxMUxRVnh5TFRja0gxa2x2Q0lXRE1zRTRfX2w0WTg5Tk5XOFVWOE82WldORXh4NFp5MTVwVFhncnlGX01OajNiSEtOZXVMQQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-14T03:21:25Z","claim":"China\u2019s exports slow as Middle East turmoil weighs on trade Financial Times China exports growth in March misses estimates, imports surge most in over four years CNBC China's export engine 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Abrams, David Fincher, Denis Villeneuve and Over 1,000 More Sign Open Letter Against Paramount-Warner Bros. Merger TheWrap Hundreds of Hollywood figures come out against Paramount, Warner Brothers merger The Hill","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"up","family":"news","headline":"Over 1,000 Hollywood Boldface Names Release Open Letter Expressing \u201cUnequivocal Opposition\u201d to Paramount-Warners Deal - The Hollywood Reporter","magnitude":0.9,"source":"The Hollywood Reporter","summary":"Over 1,000 Hollywood Boldface Names Release Open Letter Expressing \u201cUnequivocal Opposition\u201d to Paramount-Warners Deal The Hollywood Reporter Hollywood Heavyweights Sign Letter Opposing Paramount\u2019s Deal for Warner Bros. The New York Times Hollywood stars sign open letter protesting the Paramount-Warner Bros. merger NBC News J.J. 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No specific tickers, figures, or additional market details are provided in the supplied text.; Bloomberg headline states stocks in Asia are poised to climb.; The stated reason is hopes for an Iran deal.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T23:47:32Z","claim":"Asia markets open higher amid hopes of a U.S.-Iran deal, with China trade data in focus.","claim_type":"geopolitical_event","direction":"up","family":"market_news","headline":"Asia markets open higher amid hopes of a U.S.-Iran deal, with China trade data in focus.","magnitude":0.68,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Asia markets are opening higher, driven by hopes of a U.S.-Iran deal. China trade data is also highlighted as a key focus for the session.; Asia markets open higher.; The move is attributed to hopes of a U.S.-Iran deal.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T21:40:02Z","claim":"Stocks are edging upwards despite continued oil disruption (April 13).","claim_type":"supply_disruption","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"Stocks are edging upwards despite continued oil disruption (April 13).","magnitude":0.68,"source":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"The Yahoo Finance headline reports that stocks are edging up on April 13 despite continued oil disruption.; Headline dated April 13 states stocks are edging upwards.; Headline states the upward move occurs despite continued oil 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quantities, and operational context are unknown.","No standardized ticker/symbol for \"PRSM\" is provided in the signal; no tradable asset identifiers can be extracted from the given text only.","The signal does not specify whether \"PRSM\" refers to a specific company stock, a program, or a munition inventory; only the phrase \"PRSM Stocks\" is present."],"latest_observed_at":"2026-04-14T08:24:51+00:00","named_entities":["PRSM stocks"],"normalized_claims":[{"claim":"All PRSM Stocks Expended Early In Iran War Aviation Week","claim_type":"news_development","confidence":0.62,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"31517e30639cab36","source_domain":"aviationweek.com"},{"claim":"All PRSM stocks were expended early in the Iran war, according to Aviation 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Aviation Week","magnitude":0.9,"source":"Aviation Week","summary":"All PRSM Stocks Expended Early In Iran War Aviation Week","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinAFBVV95cUxQY1JlWEpGbFZ5bTltZVBXaFB4ajIyVzE1bWlZSDB0cnFtQTA3ZU1zb1ZidXUzcFE3Sl9pbEF6b1VMVDFXT2pudml4ZW9vaXZNaGZkMThyMmEtV3VmbTR5SzE2WVpPOTVaR2lVUXlCbVlqSWdYTzh4dGhad3Z2b0s4ZXdjbnloY1pscGZiOVdKN2FlRVNYS2pXS0xiS2M?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-14T08:15:00Z","claim":"All PRSM Stocks Expended Early In Iran War Aviation Week","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"All PRSM Stocks Expended Early In Iran War - Aviation Week","magnitude":0.9,"source":"Aviation Week","summary":"All PRSM Stocks Expended Early In Iran War Aviation 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from the given text only.","The signal does not specify whether \"PRSM\" refers to a specific company stock, a program, or a munition inventory; only the phrase \"PRSM Stocks\" is present.","Validate the primary claim against at least one primary source.","Confirm the same claim type across another independent source family.","Check timing context and unresolved uncertainty before escalation.","Resolve contradiction: single source dominance"],"urgency":"low","what_changed":"All PRSM Stocks Expended Early In Iran War Aviation Week","why_now":"1 signal families across 1 sources converged within the active day window (latest signal at 2026-04-14T08:24:51+00:00).","window_end":"2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","window_start":"2026-04-13T00:00:00Z","world_state_thesis":"All PRSM Stocks Expended Early In Iran War - Aviation 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Trading WSJ Goldman Sachs profits rise on stock trading, M&A surge Yahoo Finance Goldman Stock Traders Trounce Wall Street Record by $1 Billion Bloomberg.com Effects of Iran War Emerge in Company Earnings, Starting With Goldman Sachs The New York Times; Goldman Sachs beat pr...","corroboration":{"claim_agreement":0.6667,"claim_type_breakdown":{"earnings_development":{"count":3,"down":0,"neutral":2,"up":1}},"claim_type_coverage":1,"contradiction_flags":[],"evidence_event_count":3,"evidence_quality":0.5967,"high_precision_pass":false,"independent_source_coverage":3,"score":0.5421,"signal_family_coverage":1},"decision":"monitor","degraded":true,"degraded_reason":"llm_unavailable_or_invalid_verdict","entity_key":"equity:GS","followup_status":"none","headline":"Goldman Sachs beat profit estimates while weak fixed income trading dragged down its shares, according to 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Trading WSJ Goldman Sachs profits rise on stock trading, M&A surge Yahoo Finance Goldman Stock Traders Trounce Wall Street Record by $1 Billion Bloomberg.com Effects of Iran War Emerge in Company Earnings, Starting With Goldman Sachs The New York Times; Goldman Sachs beat pr...","theme_key":"markets","timeline":[{"at":"2026-04-13T16:12:21Z","claim":"Goldman Sachs beat profit estimates while weak fixed income trading dragged down its shares, according to Reuters.","claim_type":"earnings_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Goldman Sachs beat profit estimates while weak fixed income trading dragged down its shares, according to Reuters.","magnitude":0.8284,"source":"Reuters","summary":"Goldman Sachs beats profit estimates; weak fixed income trading drags down shares Reuters Goldman Sachs Reports Record Quarter in Banking and Trading WSJ Goldman Sachs profits rise on stock trading, M&A surge Yahoo Finance Goldman Stock Traders Trounce Wall Street Record by $1 Billion Bloomberg.com Effects of Iran War Emerge in Company Earnings, Starting With Goldman Sachs The New York Times; Goldman Sachs beat pr...","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T14:15:25Z","claim":"Goldman Sachs stock is down despite a Q1 earnings beat, per the Yahoo Finance headline.","claim_type":"earnings_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Goldman Sachs stock is down despite a Q1 earnings beat, per the Yahoo Finance headline.","magnitude":0.7036,"source":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Why Goldman Sachs stock is down despite Q1 earnings beat Yahoo Finance; Yahoo Finance headline states Goldman Sachs stock is down despite Q1 earnings 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primary source.","Confirm the same claim type across another independent source family."],"urgency":"low","what_changed":"Goldman Sachs beats profit estimates; weak fixed income trading drags down shares Reuters Goldman Sachs Reports Record Quarter in Banking and Trading WSJ Goldman Sachs profits rise on stock trading, M&A surge Yahoo Finance Goldman Stock Traders Trounce Wall Street Record by $1 Billion Bloomberg.com Effects of Iran War Emerge in Company Earnings, Starting With Goldman Sachs The New York Times; Goldman Sachs beat pr...","why_now":"1 signal families across 3 sources converged within the active multi-day window (latest signal at 2026-04-13T16:12:21+00:00).","window_end":"2026-04-14T00:00:00Z","window_start":"2026-04-13T00:00:00Z","world_state_thesis":"Goldman Sachs beat profit estimates while weak fixed income trading dragged down its shares, according to 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How Markets React Is Key. Barron's Goldman Sachs profits rise on stock trading, M&A surge Yahoo Finance Goldman Stock Traders Trounce Wall Street Record by $1 Billion Bloomberg.com Goldman Sachs has the top rank among the S&P 500 by this remarkable statistic MarketWatch","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"up","family":"news","headline":"Goldman Sachs Reports Record Quarter in Banking and Trading - WSJ","magnitude":0.45,"source":"WSJ","summary":"Goldman Sachs Reports Record Quarter in Banking and Trading WSJ Goldman Sets Tone for Q1 Earnings Season. How Markets React Is Key. 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tornadoes and very large hail possible KEYC News Now Tornado warning issued for Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Washington counties Milwaukee Journal...","corroboration":{"claim_agreement":0.5,"claim_type_breakdown":{"news_development":{"count":2,"down":0,"neutral":1,"up":1}},"claim_type_coverage":1,"contradiction_flags":[],"evidence_event_count":2,"evidence_quality":0.62,"high_precision_pass":false,"independent_source_coverage":1,"score":0.3825,"signal_family_coverage":1},"decision":"monitor","degraded":true,"degraded_reason":"llm_unavailable_or_invalid_verdict","entity_key":"equity:MPR","followup_status":"none","headline":"Severe storms drop baseball-size hail, and tornadoes in southern Minnesota - MPR News","impact_score":0.5975,"importance":{"band":"medium","continuity_state":"developing","family_breadth":0.25,"provenance_score":0.481,"reasons":["world_critical_theme"],"score":0.6483,"theme_prior":0.96,"trust_avg":0.68},"information_gaps":[],"latest_observed_at":"2026-04-14T01:09:00+00:00","named_entities":[],"normalized_claims":[{"claim":"Severe storms drop baseball-size hail, and tornadoes in southern Minnesota MPR News First Alert Weather Day on Tuesday evenings due to strong to severe storms WSAW Wisconsin severe weather risk: Rounds of heavy rain, strong storms FOX6 News Milwaukee Severe storms likely today; 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tornadoes and very large hail possible KEYC News Now Tornado warning issued for Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Washington counties Milwaukee Journal...","theme_key":"geopolitics","timeline":[{"at":"2026-04-14T01:09:00Z","claim":"Severe storms drop baseball-size hail, and tornadoes in southern Minnesota MPR News First Alert Weather Day on Tuesday evenings due to strong to severe storms WSAW Wisconsin severe weather risk: Rounds of heavy rain, strong storms FOX6 News Milwaukee Severe storms likely today; tornadoes and very large hail possible KEYC News Now Tornado warning issued for Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Washington counties Milwaukee Journal Sentinel","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Severe storms drop baseball-size hail, and tornadoes in southern Minnesota - MPR News","magnitude":0.9,"source":"MPR News","summary":"Severe storms drop baseball-size hail, and tornadoes in southern Minnesota MPR News First Alert Weather Day on Tuesday evenings due to strong to severe storms WSAW Wisconsin severe weather risk: Rounds of heavy rain, strong storms FOX6 News Milwaukee Severe storms likely today; 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building.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.OYgPNdDf9Nc.L.X.O/am=GAIFAAAADpgFDCgAAQ/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2OYSmDAUDetpsORI83j3dpsv55GJQ/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"}],"timing_hints":["today"],"uncertainty_state":"conflicted","unresolved_questions":["No article text provided, so the magnitude of the move (e.g., points/percent) is not available.","No specific rates, yields, or policy details are mentioned beyond the general phrase 'rate worries ease.'","No other tickers/assets are mentioned in the provided text.","No article text provided, so the magnitude of the move, timing, and any specific inflation data or policy context are not available.","No additional tickers or asset classes mentioned beyond S&P 500 futures in the provided headline.","No article text provided, so the magnitude of the slip, timing, and any supporting data (e.g., specific inflation/energy figures) are not available.","Validate the primary claim against at least one primary source.","Confirm the same claim type across another independent source family."],"urgency":"low","what_changed":"The headline reports that US stock market futures are slipping, specifically S&P 500 futures, amid growing concerns about inflation and energy.; Headline states: \u201cS&P 500 Futures Slip.\u201d; Headline attributes the move to \u201cInflation And Energy Worries.\u201d","why_now":"1 signal families across 3 sources converged within the last few hours (latest signal at 2026-04-14T10:16:28+00:00).","window_end":"2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","window_start":"2026-04-13T00:00:00Z","world_state_thesis":"S&P 500 futures are slipping as inflation and energy worries build."},{"alert_class":"none","confidence":0.46,"continuity":{"current_quality_score":0.4192,"hours_since_last_seen":0.0,"last_confidence":0.46,"last_decision":"monitor","last_quality_score":0.5206,"last_seen_at":"2026-04-14T01:09:17+00:00","narrative_hint":"Developing multi-signal 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Brown trade rumors open new door for Eagles' early-round possibilities Yahoo Sports Patriots' Eliot Wolf 'gonna keep the door open' for possible A.J. Brown trade NFL.com Adam Schefter Gives Promising A.J. Brown Update For Patriots Fans NESN","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"up","family":"news","headline":"Eliot Wolf on keeping the door open for A.J. Brown: I\u2019ll keep the door open to anything - NBC Sports","magnitude":0.45,"source":"NBC Sports","summary":"Eliot Wolf on keeping the door open for A.J. Brown: I\u2019ll keep the door open to anything NBC Sports Eagles, A.J. Brown intrigue increases as NFL draft nears ESPN A.J. Brown trade rumors open new door for Eagles' early-round possibilities Yahoo Sports Patriots' Eliot Wolf 'gonna keep the door open' for possible A.J. Brown trade NFL.com Adam Schefter Gives Promising A.J. Brown Update For Patriots Fans NESN","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi3wFBVV95cUxQTFhHQ2pSY2o1N09temZPZUczQkVaUnBiMU4xakxpaEtWdFhRXzNHWG5wdTU4SXd0Ry1oazd6NE9UdFVnWGZwVUR3RS1OX1dONXFFcUM2VXA1cjRVeU53M21XWkdsdl9wQnlFTmdDdzA3eVk2R3R4WkVKdTdiMVEyMC1mQXJZODF4TWxweURsbDdWZFVTUUtEaDZzSlYxVXdSakZTNzE1LV9XcWJYUlZyX3gtWHBUTkIyako0dlJPY2dLZUl4WmhPZHd1elJGOU1KMzVKdzdzeXZvMm4xSHkw?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T17:52:53Z","claim":"Anna Kepner's stepbrother charged months after the cheerleader was found dead on a cruise ship NBC News A 16-year-old from Florida is charged with sexually assaulting and killing stepsister on a cruise ship CNN Florida teenager charged with sexually assaulting and killing stepsister Anna Kepner on cruise ship Orlando Sentinel Stepbrother charged with murder, sex abuse in teen girl's cruise ship death: DOJ Yahoo Teen Is Charged With Murdering His Stepsister on a Carnival Cruise The New York Times","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Anna Kepner's stepbrother charged months after the cheerleader was found dead on a cruise ship - NBC News","magnitude":0.45,"source":"NBC News","summary":"Anna Kepner's stepbrother charged months after the cheerleader was found dead on a cruise ship NBC News A 16-year-old from Florida is charged with sexually assaulting and killing stepsister on a cruise ship CNN Florida teenager charged with sexually assaulting and killing stepsister Anna Kepner on cruise ship Orlando Sentinel Stepbrother charged with murder, sex abuse in teen girl's cruise ship death: DOJ Yahoo Te...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiugFBVV95cUxOemtmY0hOdlFsdzJhTHNGb2dhUjlITXVDNjlITXlfZkNXdWZqNFVmUWY5SjU0bzFHVUtSVFBHOFNRQjVfVnBzSkhpWDk4cUZ1WWpBVjVrSGVYd3d0X0tUbzZlTTIwaWxhWTdvbVpwOTY5UEV0WEh1cDIteW5Sb2RFUFBNZ1RxbFZRclFHdmpqU1plOWJfYnZObFlfVm5hNGlVUWRaNkYyZ2s0Z3l5cGhHaG4xS0VnZHJNZFE?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T17:48:52Z","claim":"House Ethics opens Eric Swalwell investigation Politico Rep. Luna: \u2018I think the votes are there\u2019 to expel Swalwell and Gonzales The Hill Swalwell\u2019s Fall Punctuates Woes of Democrats in California, of All Places The New York Times House Ethics Committee investigating sexual misconduct allegations against Rep. Eric Swalwell NBC News Swalwell Faces Mounting Probes, Ethics Inquiry After Leaving Governor\u2019s Race KQED","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"House Ethics opens Eric Swalwell investigation - Politico","magnitude":0.45,"source":"Politico","summary":"House Ethics opens Eric Swalwell investigation Politico Rep. Luna: \u2018I think the votes are there\u2019 to expel Swalwell and Gonzales The Hill Swalwell\u2019s Fall Punctuates Woes of Democrats in California, of All Places The New York Times House Ethics Committee investigating sexual misconduct allegations against Rep. Eric Swalwell NBC News Swalwell Faces Mounting Probes, Ethics Inquiry After Leaving Governor\u2019s Race KQED","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinAFBVV95cUxONlBNRDJqRDd1UmVjQ2NkcnVKNEFNNEk5dVN6S21RMHd4V0ZscUhnc1BGelNPQ1NtVUI2T0gzaDB1UmoyQTljSnc5a3NpcmZJZkFHeHkxNjFnV3B4RDM3cGdwQjdLc2lXMEZHcjdEV2ZCT2hBdnJ3bUxFM0I2eV9yR3d1bFN4RndZY0QtMi1OdGlqTXFJMHk1eWlvRWk?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T17:34:27Z","claim":"Trump administration agrees to keep flying rainbow Pride flag at New York\u2019s Stonewall monument NBC News Pride Flag Can Fly at Stonewall After Trump Administration Reversal The New York Times Trump administration agrees to keep flying Pride flag at Stonewall monument The Guardian US agrees to restore Pride flag at New York\u2019s Stonewall Monument Reuters Trump administration will allow pride flag at Stonewall after lawsuit The Hill","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Trump administration agrees to keep flying rainbow Pride flag at New York\u2019s Stonewall monument - NBC News","magnitude":0.45,"source":"NBC News","summary":"Trump administration agrees to keep flying rainbow Pride flag at New York\u2019s Stonewall monument NBC News Pride Flag Can Fly at Stonewall After Trump Administration Reversal The New York Times Trump administration agrees to keep flying Pride flag at Stonewall monument The Guardian US agrees to restore Pride flag at New York\u2019s Stonewall Monument Reuters Trump administration will allow pride flag at Stonewall after la...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMizAFBVV95cUxQOTNuaXNpOWZVVEJPRlZfaXQ4SFF4R1ZFY0RudktabmxNb2hjTkhCX1VQdWZfY1R3Z3RyTWpTTHZqeDhxdU0yTWlneXMyM25aa2M0bzRGck16aHJxVFRDNHpRdjN3dDVjYVEycG9uWkNrQ1JCaTJCcFh4WDBDTzVyUTFuRi1JRE5nOUxXWmhLd1ZGZjctenRid3lGMWVSeUNnNGF2c0pUZmt0dVhkUWJxYkpVVTJqSDdtMFhSRlJzUHU3WTR4S2tvMTk0ZTQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T15:58:28Z","claim":"Southern District of Florida | Titusville Teen Charged as Adult in Killing of Stepsister on Cruise Ship Department of Justice (.gov) Anna Kepner\u2019s stepbrother charged months after the cheerleader was found dead on a cruise ship NBC News Stepbrother charged with murder, sex abuse in teen girl's cruise ship death: DOJ abcnews.com Teen charged with murder, sexual abuse in stepsister's cruise ship death USA Today Anna Kepner's Stepbrother, 16, Indicted on Sexual Abuse and Murder Charges Following Her Death on Cruise People.com","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Southern District of Florida | Titusville Teen Charged as Adult in Killing of Stepsister on Cruise Ship - Department of Justice (.gov)","magnitude":0.45,"source":"Department of Justice (.gov)","summary":"Southern District of Florida | Titusville Teen Charged as Adult in Killing of Stepsister on Cruise Ship Department of Justice (.gov) Anna Kepner\u2019s stepbrother charged months after the cheerleader was found dead on a cruise ship NBC News Stepbrother charged with murder, sex abuse in teen girl's cruise ship death: DOJ abcnews.com Teen charged with murder, sexual abuse in stepsister's cruise ship death USA Today Anna...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMingFBVV95cUxPWkVFRGN5eUtxY1hGcVR0dnZGcTJNNU91a1hzeVJnb0EzdlVSWG02dnZzaHR3d0xFNGxVVDlKbFBQb1REZlpRd25xN3VtYkRuQ0tlQlMxRWtPalFNS3dKTjA3UkhPRklSRmpUUTduSEQ2ZHVIWS1tQVI1bmthcldmRzNWdmg0QmRhMjRxQl9HQXdLbkpBb3NRd3B0VlpmUQ?oc=5"}],"timing_hints":[],"uncertainty_state":"conflicted","unresolved_questions":["Validate the primary claim against at least one primary source.","Confirm the same claim type across another independent source family.","Check timing context and unresolved uncertainty before escalation.","Resolve contradiction: directional claim conflict","Resolve contradiction: claim type conflict:news development"],"urgency":"low","what_changed":"Who is Peter Magyar, Hungary\u2019s new leader who trounced Viktor Orban? 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Overall, the feed shows more \u201cup/positive\u201d news-development items than negative ones, but geopolitical items are fewer and not fully resolved.","corroboration":{"claim_agreement":0.7614,"claim_type_breakdown":{"geopolitical_event":{"count":4,"down":0,"neutral":3,"up":1},"news_development":{"count":22,"down":0,"neutral":17,"up":5}},"claim_type_coverage":2,"contradiction_flags":[],"evidence_event_count":26,"evidence_quality":0.6169,"high_precision_pass":false,"independent_source_coverage":6,"score":0.6633,"signal_family_coverage":1},"decision":"digest","degraded":false,"degraded_reason":"","entity_key":"equity:CNBC","followup_status":"none","headline":"Stock futures tick higher after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates - 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soften amid Hormuz blockade South China Morning Post China\u2019s Exports Stumble, Imports Soar in First Month of Iran War Bloomberg.com China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March in a sharp slowdown KCRA","claim_type":"news_development","confidence":0.62,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"ab730d50971d1772","source_domain":"reuters.com"},{"claim":"China exports miss estimates in March, imports post best growth in more than four years CNBC China's March exports slow as Iran war wipes out AI-driven gains Reuters China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March in a sharp slowdown as Iran war raises uncertainty KXAN Austin China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March from a year ago, significantly slowing from the previous two months 10TV China\u2019s Export Growth Faltered in First Month of War in Iran Bloomberg","claim_type":"news_development","confidence":0.62,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"1406446422184edc","source_domain":"cnbc.com"},{"claim":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance Opinion | An Iran Cease-Fire Won\u2019t Help Gas Prices The New York Times Software Stock Rally Powers S&P 500 Through Hormuz-Blockade Tumult WSJ","claim_type":"news_development","confidence":0.62,"direction":"up","fact_id":"eadae95b688cfbf6","source_domain":"cnbc.com"},{"claim":"Jim Cramer says this is the real reason why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears CNBC","claim_type":"news_development","confidence":0.62,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"7ab0e34db0369a66","source_domain":"cnbc.com"},{"claim":"Jim Cramer said there is a \u201creal reason\u201d why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears.","claim_type":"geopolitical_event","confidence":0.6,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"1dc971958b82a6fe","source_domain":"cnbc.com"},{"claim":"S&P 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Post","url_count":1}],"flags":["missing_primary_sources"],"high_trust_source_count":3,"independent_source_count":4,"low_trust_source_count":0,"primary_source_count":0,"provenance_score":0.7667,"refs_total":18,"url_ratio":1.0},"story_id":"intel_9b919fb778a108ce","story_key":"isk_687a0fff63613c597397","summary":"Stock futures tick higher after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC View Full Coverage on Google News","theme_key":"geopolitics","timeline":[{"at":"2026-04-14T10:22:00Z","claim":"Stock futures tick higher after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC View Full Coverage on Google News","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Stock futures tick higher after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Stock futures tick higher after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC View Full Coverage on Google News","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE03ZGpnREIteEV0Y0FlZlpGMTYwQU5kYlIxWWhDRzR4NjJQUGtyRXA0dmlGbXB5emxEaWp0QnJaWENPYTBydzlrTkFhTmdVTjFJLUZzM0h4NDYybVhHZmZsQjhuSHBablhHOVlaNmR3QTJLalQwVjFqedIBfkFVX3lxTE95VWVOM1JNTEV0SzB6a3daZlBfbDJZNUZZWmVfZlNMNm1qdlltSzVFVnAyRjJKVGoxMUxRVnh5TFRja0gxa2x2Q0lXRE1zRTRfX2w0WTg5Tk5XOFVWOE82WldORXh4NFp5MTVwVFhncnlGX01OajNiSEtOZXVMQQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-14T05:19:44Z","claim":"European markets are expected to rise due to hopes that Iran peace talks can resume.","claim_type":"geopolitical_event","direction":"up","family":"news","headline":"European markets are expected to rise due to hopes that Iran peace talks can resume.","magnitude":0.68,"source":"CNBC","summary":"European markets set to rise on hopes that Iran peace talks can resume CNBC; Headline states European markets are set to rise.; Reason given is hopes that Iran peace talks can resume.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-14T04:45:00Z","claim":"China\u2019s Exports Stumble, Imports Soar in First Month of Iran War Bloomberg.com China exports miss estimates in March, imports post best growth in more than four years CNBC China's exports set to lose momentum as Iran war undercuts AI-driven boom: Reuters poll Reuters China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March from a year ago, significantly slowing from the previous two months 10TV China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March in a sharp slowdown as Iran war raises uncertainty KXAN Austin","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"China\u2019s Exports Stumble, Imports Soar in First Month of Iran War - Bloomberg.com","magnitude":0.9,"source":"Bloomberg.com","summary":"China\u2019s Exports Stumble, Imports Soar in First Month of Iran War Bloomberg.com China exports miss estimates in March, imports post best growth in more than four years CNBC China's exports set to lose momentum as Iran war undercuts AI-driven boom: Reuters poll Reuters China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March from a year ago, significantly slowing from the previous two months 10TV China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March in a s...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitAFBVV95cUxNeGtGUUxjYzAtYThVd05tNmFLTlJMeXpuLWd2ZlAxQ0tuRDFvWWg4ZVhnRUJBMzBua1pLTmY2QVZiYXo5WEhraU1RNmFLUVlMc1BtVTF0WC03TVVsVFEwSHN5eVZkbU1Hd0paQ2FTdlZXS1poYkFkZ0E0SGdRd1JoUmRlXzVvZ2NibTEzOUN4cjE2YlBSODVzOFkzdnVhdlF4OE1XenNqNXVNdm9NdExybUFwaHM?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-14T03:27:00Z","claim":"China's export engine stutters as Iran war chills global demand Reuters China exports miss estimates in March, imports post best growth in more than four years CNBC Breaking | China\u2019s imports surge in March as exports soften amid Hormuz blockade South China Morning Post China\u2019s Exports Stumble, Imports Soar in First Month of Iran War Bloomberg.com China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March in a sharp slowdown KCRA","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"China's export engine stutters as Iran war chills global demand - Reuters","magnitude":0.9,"source":"Reuters","summary":"China's export engine stutters as Iran war chills global demand Reuters China exports miss estimates in March, imports post best growth in more than four years CNBC Breaking | China\u2019s imports surge in March as exports soften amid Hormuz blockade South China Morning Post China\u2019s Exports Stumble, Imports Soar in First Month of Iran War Bloomberg.com China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March in a sharp slowdown KCRA","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirAFBVV95cUxNLXhzMWhMLWxBWlF0NWZkb0RLQ3gtNXVYZmRVRng0MUw2clZ6dGVFbFdpeHR2UllHYmRmUHBWT29fNjA3aEQ2bDRzLUN6WGJTM19FVjdRMjQ3VGlLbjZKOEpLV1pRQmpJWnZ3ODRETWRvN2dqcHNYM1lCVUl4TVBEZ2t1SFAwbTd4RXVNVnZrOE9ZVnF4a0J3bnloNWJseGhWTGFJWEJtMnRGbmhX?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-14T03:07:00Z","claim":"China exports miss estimates in March, imports post best growth in more than four years CNBC China's March exports slow as Iran war wipes out AI-driven gains Reuters China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March in a sharp slowdown as Iran war raises uncertainty KXAN Austin China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March from a year ago, significantly slowing from the previous two months 10TV China\u2019s Export Growth Faltered in First Month of War in Iran Bloomberg","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"China exports miss estimates in March, imports post best growth in more than four years - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"China exports miss estimates in March, imports post best growth in more than four years CNBC China's March exports slow as Iran war wipes out AI-driven gains Reuters China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March in a sharp slowdown as Iran war raises uncertainty KXAN Austin China\u2019s exports grew 2.5% in March from a year ago, significantly slowing from the previous two months 10TV China\u2019s Export Growth Faltered in First Month...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiiAFBVV95cUxPRk05RnE5b09xU1F4VmlMX3UtSWViUXZ5SGJpbHRnek9WUEJ3X05JUmF2ZTdHM0hfVWk3TUhINzN5NGNxSXlrWGpROUNxd3U4dUpfZ21OZzdmMnFSM2l4RkpFX2NhVnlMN0FxZVFPM29ZMDFWbUNnZWpkMUlVdHhGSDFwdklVWUF40gGOAUFVX3lxTE80MEx5UHNfX2xoNkk2NlN0YXR0QUxrdGFteFNJc2w4YkR1TS1HNVRaaU15YVJOdjhzNTVUNkUxVXcxV1dTVWlsOThtdXRuWDNoaUdNcGhQdXdJTnFhRWFBb3g0aU9xdGNjZmk1QXF0MldhUW5fYzBSRENvdWN1MFNtRGJtcHE5UG52bzB4ZkE?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T23:22:00Z","claim":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance Opinion | An Iran Cease-Fire Won\u2019t Help Gas Prices The New York Times Software Stock Rally Powers S&P 500 Through Hormuz-Blockade Tumult WSJ","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"up","family":"news","headline":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance Opinion | An Iran Cease-Fire Won\u2019t Help Gas Prices The New York Times Software Stock Rally Powers S&P 500 Through...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE03ZGpnREIteEV0Y0FlZlpGMTYwQU5kYlIxWWhDRzR4NjJQUGtyRXA0dmlGbXB5emxEaWp0QnJaWENPYTBydzlrTkFhTmdVTjFJLUZzM0h4NDYybVhHZmZsQjhuSHBablhHOVlaNmR3QTJLalQwVjFqedIBfkFVX3lxTE95VWVOM1JNTEV0SzB6a3daZlBfbDJZNUZZWmVfZlNMNm1qdlltSzVFVnAyRjJKVGoxMUxRVnh5TFRja0gxa2x2Q0lXRE1zRTRfX2w0WTg5Tk5XOFVWOE82WldORXh4NFp5MTVwVFhncnlGX01OajNiSEtOZXVMQQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T23:06:21Z","claim":"Jim Cramer says this is the real reason why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears CNBC","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Jim Cramer says this is the real reason why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Jim Cramer says this is the real reason why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears CNBC","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxPSWhfWl9TelFpQTVuSEJVTGNMN0FNZ0lnZTYtWl9wc3M5SXZuM2k5T01NQzZRbkZPT3JCWi1BbnNqcXlHX3QxSk1NV0dKTjVURDk4SXItdjYxWTV0QjlHMzVHMjYtZm9FUUJLWXNzbUl6MXF6MUVYLU1pMmJzSkM1ZGRNckY4SjJabFVHatIBkgFBVV95cUxPdC1OY0tRZnR0bEI3SG1Wc0szX2J3VEQ5SFNNZklieGN6SmxiWWRYd3laUWNCMkNVQVZtZGwtREV2SGNYMWE2blJ6RTRRbXdYSDl1bUIwUElWWEZpbGpaY3FwcFdCeHdjUm5CZVhlbkNQSHRaSHB5UWhwX0pLZGZvalBOZ2NRUjlJLUNOdEszbFJFZw?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T23:06:21Z","claim":"Jim Cramer said there is a \u201creal reason\u201d why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears.","claim_type":"geopolitical_event","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Jim Cramer said there is a \u201creal reason\u201d why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears.","magnitude":0.68,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Jim Cramer says this is the real reason why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears CNBC; Headline states Jim Cramer said there is a \u201creal reason\u201d stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears.; Source summary repeats the same claim.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T22:06:00Z","claim":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE03ZGpnREIteEV0Y0FlZlpGMTYwQU5kYlIxWWhDRzR4NjJQUGtyRXA0dmlGbXB5emxEaWp0QnJaWENPYTBydzlrTkFhTmdVTjFJLUZzM0h4NDYybVhHZmZsQjhuSHBablhHOVlaNmR3QTJLalQwVjFqedIBfkFVX3lxTE95VWVOM1JNTEV0SzB6a3daZlBfbDJZNUZZWmVfZlNMNm1qdlltSzVFVnAyRjJKVGoxMUxRVnh5TFRja0gxa2x2Q0lXRE1zRTRfX2w0WTg5Tk5XOFVWOE82WldORXh4NFp5MTVwVFhncnlGX01OajNiSEtOZXVMQQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T21:52:00Z","claim":"Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Wall Street is the biggest winner of the Iran war\u2014and the S&P 500 just turned positive for the year Fortune Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance US stocks rally and return to where they were before the US-Iran war AP News","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"up","family":"news","headline":"Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Wall Street is the biggest winner of the Iran war\u2014and the S&P 500 just turned positive for the year Fortune Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance US sto...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMid0FVX3lxTE15aXRHdmlfQXNxSmZVLWVpMkxMd2FEN1ZUUGR1Tzg2bHFBX084dzM2NGItZUx0cUFIUFFfQ0YzdmZ0VHFUc0c3dlFGNUNDaExGQXh3UnF4Ty1rVEVhYjZUSnZQMzJEaUZmUmQ2am9oeFRBM3RoNUsw0gF8QVVfeXFMTkxTcnBzUEVvYXJkU1hITWthanpSSlBwbmhWZHlvUDRDaUZrZU1Gb1JScktEQnA3Zmw0UEwxejZWMjE1cVpTeU1nUnZ1NG9qVTZhUkYyUEdIbzB3a1NtaFBTMEZjVjhzMURDUUk2MmRrMEYxOHNla1NHaWRfMw?oc=5"}],"timing_hints":[],"uncertainty_state":"open","unresolved_questions":["No article body provided, so no specifics on which European indices/sectors are expected to rise.","No timing details for when talks might resume or when the market move is expected to occur.","No information on the likelihood of resumption, negotiating parties, or any concrete policy developments.","The specific \u201creal reason\u201d Jim Cramer cited is not stated in the provided text.","No details on which stocks/indices are referenced.","No timing information (when the comment was made or expected market catalyst timing).","Add at least one primary source confirmation before escalation.","Increase independent source coverage to reduce provenance risk."],"urgency":"medium","what_changed":"The immediate market narrative in the provided items shifts toward \u201cindex erases Iran war losses\u201d and \u201chopes that Iran peace talks can resume,\u201d while at least one macro datapoint in the feed continues to show Iran-war-related strain in trade (China exports slowing, imports rising).","why_now":"The timing aligns with fresh market updates and new macro/trade reporting circulating on the same day (CNBC live updates; Bloomberg/Reuters-style trade coverage), which can quickly change index/futures sentiment even if underlying geopolitical risk remains.","window_end":"2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","window_start":"2026-04-13T00:00:00Z","world_state_thesis":"Market sentiment appears to be stabilizing/turning positive after Iran-war-related losses, with expectations that Iran peace talks could resume and with broader macro trade effects (e.g., China\u2019s trade mix) still reflecting the Iran-war backdrop."}]},"output_mrkdwn":"*Intel Digest* - 2026-04-14T06:00\n\n*Developing Narratives*\n- 1. *Market sentiment appears to be stabilizing/turning positive after Iran-war-related losses, with expectations that Iran peace talks could resume and with broader macro trade effects (e.g., China\u2019s trade mix) still reflecting the Iran-war backdrop.* (`digest`/none, conf=0.67, corr=0.66, imp=0.87)\n Continuity: escalating\n Uncertainty: open | follow-up: none\n What changed: The immediate market narrative in the provided items shifts toward \u201cindex erases Iran war losses\u201d and \u201chopes that Iran peace talks can resume,\u201d while at least one macro datapoint in the feed continues to show Iran-war-related strain in trade (China exports slowing, imports rising).\n Why now: The timing aligns with fresh market updates and new macro/trade reporting circulating on the same day (CNBC live updates; Bloomberg/Reuters-style trade coverage), which can quickly change index/futures sentiment even if underlying geopolitical risk remains.\n Sources: <https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirAFBVV95cUxNLXhzMWhMLWxBWlF0NWZkb0RLQ3gtNXVYZmRVRng0MUw2clZ6dGVFbFdpeHR2UllHYmRmUHBWT29fNjA3aEQ2bDRzLUN6WGJTM19FVjdRMjQ3VGlLbjZKOEpLV1pRQmpJWnZ3ODRETWRvN2dqcHNYM1lCVUl4TVBEZ2t1SFAwbTd4RXVNVnZrOE9ZVnF4a0J3bnloNWJseGhWTGFJWEJtMnRGbmhX?oc=5|China's export engine stutters as Iran war chills global demand - Reuters> (reuters.com); <https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMitAFBVV95cUxNeGtGUUxjYzAtYThVd05tNmFLTlJMeXpuLWd2ZlAxQ0tuRDFvWWg4ZVhnRUJBMzBua1pLTmY2QVZiYXo5WEhraU1RNmFLUVlMc1BtVTF0WC03TVVsVFEwSHN5eVZkbU1Hd0paQ2FTdlZXS1poYkFkZ0E0SGdRd1JoUmRlXzVvZ2NibTEzOUN4cjE2YlBSODVzOFkzdnVhdlF4OE1XenNqNXVNdm9NdExybUFwaHM?oc=5|China\u2019s Exports Stumble, Imports Soar in First Month of Iran War - Bloomberg.com> (bloomberg.com); <https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE03ZGpnREIteEV0Y0FlZlpGMTYwQU5kYlIxWWhDRzR4NjJQUGtyRXA0dmlGbXB5emxEaWp0QnJaWENPYTBydzlrTkFhTmdVTjFJLUZzM0h4NDYybVhHZmZsQjhuSHBablhHOVlaNmR3QTJLalQwVjFqedIBfkFVX3lxTE95VWVOM1JNTEV0SzB6a3daZlBfbDJZNUZZWmVfZlNMNm1qdlltSzVFVnAyRjJKVGoxMUxRVnh5TFRja0gxa2x2Q0lXRE1zRTRfX2w0WTg5Tk5XOFVWOE82WldORXh4NFp5MTVwVFhncnlGX01OajNiSEtOZXVMQQ?oc=5|Stock futures tick higher after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates - CNBC> (cnbc.com)\n\n*Open Uncertainties & Next Checks*\n- Market sentiment appears to be stabilizing/turning positive after Iran-war-related losses, with expectations that Iran peace talks could resume and with broader macro trade effects (e.g., China\u2019s trade mix) still reflecting the Iran-war backdrop.: No article body provided, so no specifics on which European indices/sectors are expected to rise. (follow-up: none)","ready_at":"2026-04-14T10:39:02.869417+00:00","status":"ready","summary":"Market sentiment appears to be stabilizing/turning positive after Iran-war-related losses, with expectations that Iran peace talks could resume and with broader macro trade effects (e.g., China\u2019s trade mix) still reflecting the Iran-war backdrop.","title":"Intel Digest 2026-04-14T06:00","updated_at":"2026-04-14T10:39:02.869417+00:00"}... |