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{"created_at":"2026-04-06T22:34:24.548 {"created_at":"2026-04-06T22:34:24.548125+00:00","dedupe_key":"signal_enriched:discovery_crypto_extremes_delta:df5fa5ef3ca09260","evidence_event_ids":["evt_24f3df37bab7"],"signal_type":"discovery_crypto_extremes_delta","source":"discovery_ingestor","value":{"aggregator_url":"https://news.bitcoin.com/prediction-market-boom-continues-with-polymarket-and-kalshi-leading-25-7b-month/","as_of":"2026-04-06T22:34:24.548125+00:00","canonical_url":"https://news.bitcoin.com/prediction-market-boom-continues-with-polymarket-and-kalshi-leading-25-7b-month/","enrichment":{"aggregator_url":"https://news.bitcoin.com/prediction-market-boom-continues-with-polymarket-and-kalshi-leading-25-7b-month/","article_chars":3649,"article_truncated":false,"blocked_reason":null,"candidate_id":"sc_8139f99ae90babf3","canonical_host":"news.bitcoin.com","canonical_is_aggregator":false,"canonical_url":"https://news.bitcoin.com/prediction-market-boom-continues-with-polymarket-and-kalshi-leading-25-7b-month/","content_type":"text/html; charset=utf-8","enriched_at":"2026-04-07T17:18:45.253528+00:00","extraction_method":"heuristic","fetched_description":"Prediction markets hit $25.7B in March as Polymarket and Kalshi dominate volume despite rising regulatory pressure.","fetched_title":"Prediction Market Boom Continues With Polymarket and Kalshi Leading $25.7B Month \u2013 Bitcoin News","final_url":"https://news.bitcoin.com/prediction-market-boom-continues-with-polymarket-and-kalshi-leading-25-7b-month/","html_truncated":true,"paywall_likely":false,"publisher_domain":"news.bitcoin.com","publisher_resolution":"canonical_url","requested_url":"https://news.bitcoin.com/prediction-market-boom-continues-with-polymarket-and-kalshi-leading-25-7b-month/","source_event_id":"evt_24f3df37bab7","source_quality":"high","status_code":200,"version":"signal_enrichment_v2"},"fp":"f3fb09ff38d7c04d","kind":"crypto_extremes","published_at":"2026-04-06T21:33:51+00:00","publisher_domain":"news.bitcoin.com","signal_understanding":{"analysis_basis":"article","claim_confidence":0.95,"dates_mentioned":["March 2026","January 2026","February 2026"],"entities":[{"asset_class":"crypto","name":"Polymarket","relevance":"dominant player in prediction markets","symbol":"N/A","type":"platform"},{"asset_class":"crypto","name":"Kalshi","relevance":"dominant player in prediction markets","symbol":"N/A","type":"platform"}],"event_type":"price_action","information_gaps":["No specific details on the nature of CFTC scrutiny or legislative actions against prediction markets."],"key_facts":["March 2026 recorded $25.7 billion in notional volume across seven platforms.","Polymarket accounted for $13 billion and Kalshi for $10 billion of the total volume.","Polymarket had 115 million trades, while Kalshi had 88 million in March 2026.","Prediction markets collectively hold about $939.86 million in open interest."],"numeric_claims":[{"label":"March 2026 notional volume","value":"$25.7 billion"},{"label":"Polymarket trades in March","value":"115 million"},{"label":"Kalshi trades in March","value":"88 million"},{"label":"Total open interest","value":"$939.86 million"}],"primary_claim":"Prediction markets recorded $25.7 billion in notional volume in March 2026, marking their second-highest volume in two years.","relevance_score":0.9,"sentiment":"positive","source_quality":"high","summary":"Prediction markets experienced a significant surge in activity, with a total notional volume of $25.7 billion in March 2026, primarily driven by Polymarket and Kalshi.","topics":["prediction markets","Polymarket","Kalshi","notional volume","CFTC scrutiny"]},"source":"Bitcoin.com News","source_domain":"news.bitcoin.com","summary":"By the numbers, prediction markets recorded their second-highest notional volume over a two-year period. Data compiled by Dune Analytics shows that roughly seven platforms tallied $25.7 billion in notional volume in March, with most of that activity concentrated on Polymarket and Kalshi. Key Takeaways: Dune Analytics logs $25.7B March volume; Polymarket, Kalshi dominate as activity [\u2026]","tickers":[],"title":"Prediction Market Boom Continues With Polymarket and Kalshi Leading $25.7B Month","url":"https://news.bitcoin.com/prediction-market-boom-continues-with-polymarket-and-kalshi-leading-25-7b-month/"}}... |