| payload |
{"created_at":"2026-04-11T10:38:56.745 {"created_at":"2026-04-11T10:38:56.745219+00:00","dedupe_key":"signal_enriched:discovery_unusual_volume_delta:48d2523df70eaacd","evidence_event_ids":["evt_6d1bb8894e8e"],"signal_type":"discovery_unusual_volume_delta","source":"discovery_ingestor","value":{"aggregator_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/could-we-be-looking-worst-case-scenario-social-security-cola","as_of":"2026-04-11T10:38:56.745219+00:00","canonical_url":"https://www.fool.com/retirement/2026/04/11/could-we-be-looking-at-a-worst-case-scenario-for-t/","enrichment":{"aggregator_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/could-we-be-looking-worst-case-scenario-social-security-cola","article_chars":4018,"article_truncated":false,"blocked_reason":null,"candidate_id":"sc_f8e6730acfbf85fb","canonical_host":"fool.com","canonical_is_aggregator":false,"canonical_url":"https://www.fool.com/retirement/2026/04/11/could-we-be-looking-at-a-worst-case-scenario-for-t/","content_type":"text/html; charset=utf-8","enriched_at":"2026-04-11T17:07:44.704611+00:00","extraction_method":"trafilatura","fetched_description":"Key PointsEarly projections are out for the 2027 cost-of-living adjustment.","fetched_title":"Could We Be Looking at a Worst-Case Scenario for the Social Security COLA? | Nasdaq","final_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/could-we-be-looking-worst-case-scenario-social-security-cola","html_truncated":false,"paywall_likely":false,"publisher_domain":"fool.com","publisher_resolution":"canonical_url","requested_url":"https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/could-we-be-looking-worst-case-scenario-social-security-cola","source_event_id":"evt_6d1bb8894e8e","source_quality":"high","status_code":200,"version":"signal_enrichment_v2"},"fp":"c5321711cc0270b5","kind":"unusual_volume","published_at":"2026-04-11T09:18:00+00:00","publisher_domain":"fool.com","signal_understanding":{"analysis_basis":"article","claim_confidence":0.74,"dates_mentioned":[],"entities":[{"asset_class":"","name":"Senior Citizens League","relevance":"source of the 2027 COLA projection","symbol":"","type":"advocacy group"},{"asset_class":"","name":"Federal Reserve","relevance":"inflation target referenced for context","symbol":"","type":"institution"},{"asset_class":"","name":"Social Security","relevance":"subject of COLA projections","symbol":"","type":"government program"}],"event_type":"macro_policy","information_gaps":["No unusual trading volume data is provided in the text (baseline volume, volume ratio, ticker, and direction are missing).","The article does not provide a specific ticker or any market/price context.","The article does not confirm the projection via official Social Security release; it is described as an early projection by an advocacy group.","The headline\u2019s \u201cworst-case scenario\u201d framing is interpretive; the text does not quantify a worst-case impact beyond the stated 2.8% vs expectations."],"key_facts":["Official Social Security COLA is still months away because it is calculated using data from the third quarter of the year.","The article states the COLA formula uses a measure of inflation reported each month, allowing early projections.","Based on current inflation numbers, the Senior Citizens League projects a 2027 COLA of 2.8%.","A 2.8% COLA would mean retirees receive a benefits increase exactly the same as the cost-of-living adjustment they received this year (as stated in the article).","The article characterizes 2.8% as a \u201cworst-case scenario\u201d because the Federal Reserve targets 2.0% inflation and because retirees may face higher price increases.","The article notes that in the post-pandemic era, COLAs have been as high as 8.7% and 5.9%, while the 2026 COLA was described as relatively modest.","The article says the numbers could change if price growth slows (inflation drops) or if oil prices rise (inflation worsens)."],"numeric_claims":[{"label":"2027 COLA projection","value":"2.8%"}],"primary_claim":"Senior Citizens League projections indicate the 2027 Social Security COLA could be 2.8%, resulting in the same benefits increase as 2026.","relevance_score":0.42,"sentiment":"mixed","source_quality":"high","summary":"The article discusses early projections for the 2027 Social Security COLA, suggesting it could be 2.8% and equal to the 2026 COLA. It frames this as a potential \u201cworst-case\u201d outcome for retirees if inflation remains around that level.","topics":["Social Security COLA","inflation projections","retirement benefits","Senior Citizens League","Federal Reserve inflation target"]},"source":"Nasdaq Markets","source_domain":"fool.com","summary":"Key PointsEarly projections are out for the 2027 cost-of-living adjustment.","tickers":[],"title":"Could We Be Looking at a Worst-Case Scenario for the Social Security COLA?","url":"https://www.fool.com/retirement/2026/04/11/could-we-be-looking-at-a-worst-case-scenario-for-t/"}}... |