| payload |
{"created_at":"2026-04-05T20:00:12.589 {"created_at":"2026-04-05T20:00:12.589329+00:00","dedupe_key":"opportunity_case_memory:case_971aa9f87db94f19:monitor:2026-04-05T20","evidence_event_ids":["evt_54bfaf71a2e5","evt_153bb8a1475d","evt_be110e3bba70"],"reason_trace":{"case_id":"case_971aa9f87db94f19","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"macro:index:gspc","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"entity_development"},"severity":"low","signal_type":"opportunity_case_memory","source":"opportunity_finder","throttle_s":3600,"value":{"case_id":"case_971aa9f87db94f19","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":3,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.6228,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["market","news"],"case_source_domains":["fool.com","marketwatch.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_a69c469ccf88988b","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":2,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4413,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.58,"statement":"S&P 500 earnings growth is expected to be 17% in 2026, which may reduce the likelihood of a market crash.","strength":0.63},{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_d03f21d1ab3240a8","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":1,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.4153,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.77,"statement":"Three factors jeopardize the market rebound in April, which is usually a strong month for stocks.","strength":0.6}],"coverage":{"claim_count":2,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_a69c469ccf88988b","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3313},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":[],"evidence_event_count":3,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":1,"independent_source_coverage":2,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.5457,"signal_family_coverage":2,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.6433,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"marketwatch.com","score":0.77,"source":"marketwatch.com"},{"count":2,"domain":"fool.com","score":0.58,"source":"Nasdaq Markets"}],"high_trust_domains":["marketwatch.com"],"independent_high_trust_sources":2,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.6138},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"macro:index:gspc","evidence_event_count":3,"headline":"S&P 500 earnings growth is expected to be 17% in 2026, which may reduce the likelihood of a market crash.","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"entity_development","why_now":"Signal convergence: S&P 500 earnings growth is expected to be 17% in 2026, which may reduce the likelihood of a market crash. [neutral]; Three factors jeopardize the market rebound in April, which is usually a strong..."}}... |