| payload |
{"created_at":"2026-04-04T22:22:46.235 {"created_at":"2026-04-04T22:22:46.235821+00:00","dedupe_key":"opportunity_case_memory:case_0b5cfe271127a4dd:monitor:2026-04-04T22","evidence_event_ids":["evt_f6004518bc52","evt_df3a4a21c64c","evt_b20516def7ba","evt_2ec1d7ee11ab","evt_cbb0f02aa7ff","evt_535953d420b4"],"reason_trace":{"case_id":"case_0b5cfe271127a4dd","decision":"monitor","entity_key":"research:yield curve conflicting reports resolution prima:087bf343da2751e3","memory_only":true,"theme_key":"yield curve conflicting reports resolution prima"},"severity":"low","signal_type":"opportunity_case_memory","source":"opportunity_finder","throttle_s":3600,"value":{"case_id":"case_0b5cfe271127a4dd","confidence":0.32,"corroboration":{"agreement":{"count_score":0.5,"down_count":0,"magnitude_weighted_score":0.5,"majority_direction":"neutral","neutral_count":6,"score":0.5,"up_count":0},"base_score":0.4354,"claim_graph":{"case_signal_families":["research"],"case_source_domains":["agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com"],"claims":[{"agreement_score":0.6,"claim_id":"claim_9eb5ede7fcf51eef","conflict":false,"direction":"neutral","evidence_count":6,"family_coverage":1,"quality_score":0.5313,"source_coverage":1,"source_trust":0.58,"statement":"Quantifying Sources of Subseasonal Prediction Skill in CESM2 ...","strength":0.4876}],"coverage":{"claim_count":1,"conflicting_claims":0,"dominant_claim_id":"claim_9eb5ede7fcf51eef","multi_family_claims":0,"multi_source_claims":0},"score":0.3725},"contradiction":{"flags":[],"has_unresolved_conflict":false,"resolved_claims":[],"resolved_count":0,"score":0.0,"unresolved_claims":[],"unresolved_count":0},"contradiction_flags":["single_family_evidence","thin_independent_source_coverage"],"evidence_event_count":6,"high_precision_pass":false,"high_trust_source_coverage":0,"independent_source_coverage":1,"low_trust_source_coverage":0,"score":0.4496,"signal_family_coverage":1,"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.58,"domains":[{"count":6,"domain":"agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com","score":0.58,"source":"web_search"}],"high_trust_domains":[],"independent_high_trust_sources":1,"low_trust_domains":[]},"source_trust_score":0.377},"decision":"monitor","entity_key":"research:yield curve conflicting reports resolution prima:087bf343da2751e3","evidence_event_count":6,"headline":"Quantifying Sources of Subseasonal Prediction Skill in CESM2 ...","personal_relevance_score":0.1,"theme_key":"yield curve conflicting reports resolution prima","why_now":"Signal convergence: Quantifying Sources of Subseasonal Prediction Skill in CESM2 ... [neutral] Near-term catalyst: Quantifying Sources of Subseasonal Prediction Skill in CESM2 ... (2026-04-04T16:48:30Z)."}}... |