|
1949
|
evt_c1a1757d29a1
|
artifact_upsert
|
2026-04-08T00:23:15.840016+00:00
|
intel_digest
|
[]
|
{"artifact_id":"art_intel_2026-04-07&# {"artifact_id":"art_intel_2026-04-07","confidence":0.628,"created_at":"2026-04-08T00:23:15.840016+00:00","evidence_event_ids":["evt_3c008e7538d7"],"kind":"intel_digest","meta":{"bucket":"2026-04-07","continuity_counts":{"developing":0,"escalating":0,"new":40,"persistent":0},"digest_story_count":1,"fingerprint":"[{\"confidence\":0.628,\"corroboration\":0.533,\"decision\":\"digest\",\"importance\":0.727,\"provenance\":0.739,\"story_id\":\"intel_dab5704a1523da0d\",\"why_now\":\"The update is timestamped 2026-04-07T23:54:56Z and reflects a fresh snapshot of Treasury yields across the curve; however, the dataset does not include prior-point deltas or independent corroboration within the provided materials.\"}]","lane_counts":{"alert":0,"digest":1,"monitor":39},"lookback_h":24,"model":"gpt-5.4-nano","narrative_clusters":1,"source":"intel_runtime","story_count":40,"tz":"America/New_York"},"output_json":{"all_stories":[{"confidence":0.628,"continuity":{"current_quality_score":0.5095,"hours_since_last_seen":null,"last_confidence":0.0,"last_decision":"","last_quality_score":0.0,"last_seen_at":"","narrative_hint":"Newly emerging narrative.","prior_story_count_96h":0,"quality_delta":0.5095,"re_emerging":false,"state":"new","trajectory":[]},"contradiction":{"claim_type_breakdown":{"macro_rate_structure":{"count":14,"down":0,"neutral":0,"up":14}},"down_count":0,"flags":["single_source_dominance"],"has_conflict":false,"neutral_count":0,"up_count":14},"corroborated_summary":"The claim is internally consistent across the provided timeline entries (all maturities shown as 'up') and is sourced from home.treasury.gov. 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snapshot could be incomplete or stale.","If the yields correspond to a specific auction/settlement context not captured in the summary, the macro interpretation could be misleading."],"signal_families":["macro"],"source_domains":["home.treasury.gov"],"source_refs":[{"domain":"home.treasury.gov","event_id":"evt_3c008e7538d7","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 1 Mo yield at 3.72%","observed_at":"01/02/2026","signal_id":"sig_8cee22080a83","signal_type":"macro_yield_curve_snapshot","source":"treasury","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"domain":"home.treasury.gov","event_id":"evt_3c008e7538d7","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 1 Yr yield at 3.47%","observed_at":"01/02/2026","signal_id":"sig_8cee22080a83","signal_type":"macro_yield_curve_snapshot","source":"treasury","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"domain":"home.treasury.gov","event_id":"evt_3c008e7538d7","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 1.5 Month yield at 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Affect the Brain The New York Times An international mega-analysis of psychedelic drug effects on brain circuit function Nature Scientists identify \u2018neural fingerprint\u2019 of psychedelic drugs in the brain The Guardian This is your brain on psychedelics: Neuroimaging study sheds light on cortical network effects Medical Xpress Here's what psychedelics actually do to the brain National Geographic","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMifkFVX3lxTE5sUVY3SURpUFl4cWpQNDd0MndpdVdEbkduZ21pSmVPTG51aWo1c0Fxd1RWSlhubGR4R0VQMzZjbHZGR0pKbmh4eXNlZHhEbU5mSXVMM0R1TThBRW5tYlc0bnlTNVJ2VXZMdXN1b0YwajFmVnVla0R6Q0xjRzVwdw?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-07T20:44:00Z","claim":"Gemini overlay and Gemini Live start rolling out big Android redesign [Gallery] 9to5Google Google Gemini is testing a potentially controversial design revision Android Police Gemini deep dive reveals some major changes for the overlay and Live experience Android Authority Google updates Gemini and Gemini Live with Android interface redesign NewsBytes Gemini Rolls Out Temporary Chat to All Users jetstream.blog","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Gemini overlay and Gemini Live start rolling out big Android redesign [Gallery] - 9to5Google","magnitude":0.45,"source":"9to5Google","summary":"Gemini overlay and Gemini Live start rolling out big Android redesign [Gallery] 9to5Google Google Gemini is testing a potentially controversial design revision Android Police Gemini deep dive reveals some major changes for the overlay and Live experience Android Authority Google updates Gemini and Gemini Live with Android interface redesign NewsBytes Gemini Rolls Out Temporary Chat to All Users jetstream.blog","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMicEFVX3lxTFB2TDc5REVnQUpfMVFwUnEwaURyT0ozRXEwRi1BbXNQS2lDTzVHUEJBNF82YW0wLXhzSEdJbGdwVl9VUE9Fbjg2R2E5TThYbGJlZDlSLUlERWZzVXltVjhMVUVDc2JHdDVBNmVZZllmclo?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-07T20:40:00Z","claim":"An Eddie Murphy comedy shaped insider trading law for prediction markets marketplace.org","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"An Eddie Murphy comedy shaped insider trading law for prediction markets - marketplace.org","magnitude":0.45,"source":"marketplace.org","summary":"An Eddie Murphy comedy shaped insider trading law for prediction markets marketplace.org","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMinwFBVV95cUxOOE0wUTh6NjE0dkctYUd3dkZreGh1VFBzcHVoMUEyeE5ZMGRKTjRQSXBRSXlVbTFJZE9vWjBlNnU2akRJY3lialJUZnpPUnhROWI2OUwxVkNFem14VlJwVWRnVFJtQThNekpuaGR1aEdfZ2hRSjJQcGdjZGJkMVgySDlVVm9KUDdRY3hQUFZZekRfb291UVJLS0ZuZEJlR3c?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-07T20:32:00Z","claim":"Chicago Atlantic targets emerging markets in private credit push Crain's Chicago Business","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Chicago Atlantic targets emerging markets in private credit push - Crain's Chicago Business","magnitude":0.45,"source":"Crain's Chicago Business","summary":"Chicago Atlantic targets emerging markets in private credit push Crain's Chicago Business","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixAFBVV95cUxNMGhOemI4c0FFcXJram1xakxoajFJZUl6OGUwQmtBc1dSaUoxWHU5UXZ0OC1wUU5lUXhoLUstYVBGRFh6ai1iRG5tVkNUQXFMY1k4YzQ4NFJhNDVSYmMtdmg5c1RPWTUwV3YzQzhoSGxJT05FSXV1QVFDWmQ2dXpnaTdNaGpJZVl4aXJVSC14TDRyMUpzbEdpQmk0RDRrVUp4Rk5Gd2J1QnBXNlJUZXZ5NnRxbzAxbUROX2RCU3pUVGVNeVlQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-07T19:20:13Z","claim":"Venture Global cashing in as gas markets tighten Baton Rouge Business Report","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Venture Global cashing in as gas markets tighten - Baton Rouge Business Report","magnitude":0.45,"source":"Baton Rouge Business Report","summary":"Venture Global cashing in as gas markets tighten Baton Rouge Business 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hpherald.com"},{"confidence":0.46,"continuity":{"current_quality_score":0.5263,"hours_since_last_seen":null,"last_confidence":0.0,"last_decision":"","last_quality_score":0.0,"last_seen_at":"","narrative_hint":"Newly emerging narrative.","prior_story_count_96h":0,"quality_delta":0.5263,"re_emerging":false,"state":"new","trajectory":[]},"contradiction":{"claim_type_breakdown":{"corporate_event_development":{"count":1,"down":0,"neutral":0,"up":1}},"down_count":0,"flags":[],"has_conflict":false,"neutral_count":0,"up_count":1},"corroborated_summary":"Form 8-K \u00b7 UFP INDUSTRIES INC \u00b7 Filed 20260406; UFP Industries filed a Form 8-K with the SEC with the date of earliest event reported as April 6, 2026.; Item 7.01: On April 6, 2026, UFP Industries issued a press release announcing the acquisition of Oldcastle APG\u2019s MoistureShield decking operating 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INC \u00b7 Filed 20260406; UFP Industries filed a Form 8-K with the SEC with the date of earliest event reported as April 6, 2026.; Item 7.01: On April 6, 2026, UFP Industries issued a press release announcing the acquisition of Oldcastle APG\u2019s MoistureShield decking operating assets.","why_now":"1 signal families across 1 sources converged within the active multi-day window (latest signal at 20260406).","window_end":"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","window_start":"2026-04-06T00:00:00Z","world_state_thesis":"On April 6, 2026, UFP Industries issued a press release (attached as Exhibit 99.1) announcing its acquisition of Oldcastle APG\u2019s MoistureShield decking operating assets to expand Deckorators\u00ae composite decking capacity."},{"confidence":0.46,"continuity":{"current_quality_score":0.5263,"hours_since_last_seen":null,"last_confidence":0.0,"last_decision":"","last_quality_score":0.0,"last_seen_at":"","narrative_hint":"Newly emerging narrative.","prior_story_count_96h":0,"quality_delta":0.5263,"re_emerging":false,"state":"new","trajectory":[]},"contradiction":{"claim_type_breakdown":{"discovery_development":{"count":1,"down":0,"neutral":1,"up":0}},"down_count":0,"flags":[],"has_conflict":false,"neutral_count":1,"up_count":0},"corroborated_summary":"Form 8-K \u00b7 TripAdvisor, Inc. \u00b7 Filed 20260406; Form 8-K filed for Tripadvisor, Inc. with date of earliest event reported as April 1, 2026.; Item 7.01: On April 6, 2026, Tripadvisor issued a press release regarding its 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026 (2026 Senior Notes).","corroboration":{"claim_agreement":1.0,"claim_type_breakdown":{"discovery_development":{"count":1,"down":0,"neutral":1,"up":0}},"claim_type_coverage":1,"contradiction_flags":[],"evidence_event_count":1,"evidence_quality":0.86,"high_precision_pass":false,"independent_source_coverage":1,"score":0.5509,"signal_family_coverage":1},"decision":"monitor","degraded":true,"degraded_reason":"llm_unavailable_or_invalid_verdict","entity_key":"equity:TRIP","impact_score":0.5324,"importance":{"band":"medium","continuity_state":"new","family_breadth":0.25,"provenance_score":0.6865,"reasons":["has_primary_sources"],"score":0.6309,"theme_prior":0.84,"trust_avg":0.97},"information_gaps":["The signal does not include the full prior known state or the specific delta versus an earlier filing; only the current 8-K contents are provided.","The text does not specify whether any redemption mechanics beyond \u201crepaid at maturity\u201d occurred (e.g., any settlement details) beyond the stated amount and funding source.","No additional financial statement impacts or accounting treatment are disclosed in the provided excerpt beyond the repayment description."],"latest_observed_at":"20260406","named_entities":["Tripadvisor, Inc.","TRIP","0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026","Michael Noonan"],"normalized_claims":[{"claim":"Tripadvisor repaid its 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026 at maturity for $345.4 million, funded by cash on hand, with no conversions and no equity issued.","claim_type":"discovery_development","confidence":0.86,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"b916b16656e9cdb4","source_domain":"sec.gov"}],"personal_relevance":{"applied":true,"boost":0.008,"matched_assets":[],"matched_keywords":[],"score":0.1,"why_you":"No strong personal linkage detected."},"priority_score":0.5072,"quality_flags":["degraded_reasoning_mode"],"recency_score":0.36,"recommended_checks":["Validate the primary claim against at least one primary source.","Confirm the same claim type across another independent source family.","Check timing context and unresolved uncertainty before escalation."],"risk_counterfactuals":["If independent sources diverge on the core claim, downgrade to monitor.","If no follow-on confirmation appears in the next cycle, treat this as transient noise."],"signal_families":["discovery"],"source_domains":["sec.gov"],"source_refs":[{"domain":"sec.gov","event_id":"evt_f9b951c2470c","family":"discovery","headline":"Tripadvisor repaid its 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026 at maturity for $345.4 million, funded by cash on hand, with no conversions and no equity issued.","observed_at":"20260406","signal_id":"sig_bf3a1445ef04","signal_type":"discovery_sec_filing_delta","source":"sec_edgar","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1526520/0001193125-26-143696.txt"}],"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.97,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"sec.gov","primary":true,"score":0.97,"source":"sec_edgar","url_count":1}],"flags":["thin_independent_coverage"],"high_trust_source_count":1,"independent_source_count":1,"low_trust_source_count":0,"primary_source_count":1,"provenance_score":0.6865,"refs_total":1,"url_ratio":1.0},"story_id":"intel_58691cf37f0634eb","theme_key":"markets","timeline":[{"at":"2026-04-06T00:00:00Z","claim":"Tripadvisor repaid its 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026 at maturity for $345.4 million, funded by cash on hand, with no conversions and no equity issued.","claim_type":"discovery_development","direction":"neutral","family":"discovery","headline":"Tripadvisor repaid its 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026 at maturity for $345.4 million, funded by cash on hand, with no conversions and no equity issued.","magnitude":0.7816,"source":"sec_edgar","summary":"Form 8-K \u00b7 TripAdvisor, Inc. \u00b7 Filed 20260406; Form 8-K filed for Tripadvisor, Inc. with date of earliest event reported as April 1, 2026.; Item 7.01: On April 6, 2026, Tripadvisor issued a press release regarding its 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026 (2026 Senior Notes).","url":"https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1526520/0001193125-26-143696.txt"}],"timing_hints":["2026-04-01; 2026-04-06; 2026-04-07"],"urgency":"low","what_changed":"Form 8-K \u00b7 TripAdvisor, Inc. \u00b7 Filed 20260406; Form 8-K filed for Tripadvisor, Inc. with date of earliest event reported as April 1, 2026.; Item 7.01: On April 6, 2026, Tripadvisor issued a press release regarding its 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026 (2026 Senior Notes).","why_now":"1 signal families across 1 sources converged within the active multi-day window (latest signal at 20260406).","window_end":"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","window_start":"2026-04-06T00:00:00Z","world_state_thesis":"Tripadvisor repaid its 0.25% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026 at maturity for $345.4 million, funded by cash on hand, with no conversions and no equity issued."},{"confidence":0.56,"continuity":{"current_quality_score":0.5212,"hours_since_last_seen":null,"last_confidence":0.0,"last_decision":"","last_quality_score":0.0,"last_seen_at":"","narrative_hint":"Newly emerging narrative.","prior_story_count_96h":0,"quality_delta":0.5212,"re_emerging":false,"state":"new","trajectory":[]},"contradiction":{"claim_type_breakdown":{"discovery_development":{"count":1,"down":0,"neutral":1,"up":0},"listing_development":{"count":1,"down":0,"neutral":1,"up":0}},"down_count":0,"flags":[],"has_conflict":false,"neutral_count":2,"up_count":0},"corroborated_summary":"Form 4 \u00b7 Sea Ltd \u00b7 Filed 20260406; SEC filing: Form 4 (SEC Act 1934) for issuer Sea Ltd.; Accession number: 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independent source coverage to reduce provenance risk.","Verify the same yield levels and timestamps against additional independent sources (e.g., other official rate publications or widely used market data providers) to reduce single-source dominance risk.","Check whether the 'up' direction corresponds to a change versus the immediately preceding observation (requires prior timestamp values/deltas).","Confirm the exact instrument definitions used (e.g., constant maturity vs. specific tenor notes/bills) for each maturity shown in the feed.","Assess whether the update coincides with a known scheduled event (e.g., Treasury auction results, macro releases) by comparing to an event calendar around 2026-04-07T23:54:56Z."],"risk_counterfactuals":["If the 'up' labels reflect reporting artifacts or a re-baseline rather than a true market move, the implied directionality may be overstated.","If other official/market data sources (not provided here) show different levels or directionality, the snapshot could be incomplete or stale.","If the yields correspond to a specific auction/settlement context not captured in the summary, the macro interpretation could be misleading."],"signal_families":["macro"],"source_domains":["home.treasury.gov"],"source_refs":[{"domain":"home.treasury.gov","event_id":"evt_3c008e7538d7","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 1 Mo yield at 3.72%","observed_at":"01/02/2026","signal_id":"sig_8cee22080a83","signal_type":"macro_yield_curve_snapshot","source":"treasury","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"domain":"home.treasury.gov","event_id":"evt_3c008e7538d7","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 1 Yr yield at 3.47%","observed_at":"01/02/2026","signal_id":"sig_8cee22080a83","signal_type":"macro_yield_curve_snapshot","source":"treasury","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"domain":"home.treasury.gov","event_id":"evt_3c008e7538d7","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 1.5 Month yield at 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3.47%","claim_type":"macro_rate_structure","direction":"up","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 1 Yr yield at 3.47%","magnitude":0.72,"source":"treasury","summary":"US Treasury 1 Yr yield at 3.47%","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"at":"2026-04-07T23:54:56.339560Z","claim":"US Treasury 1.5 Month yield at 3.71%","claim_type":"macro_rate_structure","direction":"up","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 1.5 Month yield at 3.71%","magnitude":0.72,"source":"treasury","summary":"US Treasury 1.5 Month yield at 3.71%","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"at":"2026-04-07T23:54:56.339560Z","claim":"US Treasury 10 Yr yield at 4.19%","claim_type":"macro_rate_structure","direction":"up","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 10 Yr yield at 4.19%","magnitude":0.72,"source":"treasury","summary":"US Treasury 10 Yr yield at 4.19%","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"at":"2026-04-07T23:54:56.339560Z","claim":"US Treasury 2 Mo yield at 3.66%","claim_type":"macro_rate_structure","direction":"up","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 2 Mo yield at 3.66%","magnitude":0.72,"source":"treasury","summary":"US Treasury 2 Mo yield at 3.66%","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"at":"2026-04-07T23:54:56.339560Z","claim":"US Treasury 2 Yr yield at 3.47%","claim_type":"macro_rate_structure","direction":"up","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 2 Yr yield at 3.47%","magnitude":0.72,"source":"treasury","summary":"US Treasury 2 Yr yield at 3.47%","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"at":"2026-04-07T23:54:56.339560Z","claim":"US Treasury 20 Yr yield at 4.81%","claim_type":"macro_rate_structure","direction":"up","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 20 Yr yield at 4.81%","magnitude":0.72,"source":"treasury","summary":"US Treasury 20 Yr yield at 4.81%","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"at":"2026-04-07T23:54:56.339560Z","claim":"US Treasury 3 Mo yield at 3.65%","claim_type":"macro_rate_structure","direction":"up","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 3 Mo yield at 3.65%","magnitude":0.72,"source":"treasury","summary":"US Treasury 3 Mo yield at 3.65%","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"at":"2026-04-07T23:54:56.339560Z","claim":"US Treasury 3 Yr yield at 3.55%","claim_type":"macro_rate_structure","direction":"up","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 3 Yr yield at 3.55%","magnitude":0.72,"source":"treasury","summary":"US Treasury 3 Yr yield at 3.55%","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"at":"2026-04-07T23:54:56.339560Z","claim":"US Treasury 30 Yr yield at 4.86%","claim_type":"macro_rate_structure","direction":"up","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 30 Yr yield at 4.86%","magnitude":0.72,"source":"treasury","summary":"US Treasury 30 Yr yield at 4.86%","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"}],"timing_hints":[],"urgency":"medium","what_changed":"The feed reports specific yield levels across several maturities (e.g., 1 Mo 3.72%, 1 Yr 3.47%, 10 Yr 4.19%, 20 Yr 4.81%) with all listed directions marked as 'up' in the provided timeline.","why_now":"The update is timestamped 2026-04-07T23:54:56Z and reflects a fresh snapshot of Treasury yields across the curve; however, the dataset does not include prior-point deltas or independent corroboration within the provided materials.","window_end":"2026-04-08T00:00:00Z","window_start":"2026-04-07T00:00:00Z","world_state_thesis":"A reported uptick/leveling in multiple US Treasury maturities (including 1 Mo at 3.72%) indicates a near-term shift in the US rates complex, but the provided evidence is limited to a single official source and lacks explicit cross-source confirmation of the magnitude of change."}]},"output_mrkdwn":"*Intel Digest* - 2026-04-07\n\n*1) A reported uptick/leveling in multiple US Treasury maturities (including 1 Mo at 3.72%) indicates a near-term shift in the US rates complex, but the provided evidence is limited to a single official source and lacks explicit cross-source confirmation of the magnitude of change.*\n- Lane: `digest` | conf=0.63 | corr=0.53 | imp=0.73\n- Continuity: new\n- What changed: The feed reports specific yield levels across several maturities (e.g., 1 Mo 3.72%, 1 Yr 3.47%, 10 Yr 4.19%, 20 Yr 4.81%) with all listed directions marked as 'up' in the provided timeline.\n- Why now: The update is timestamped 2026-04-07T23:54:56Z and reflects a fresh snapshot of Treasury yields across the curve; however, the dataset does not include prior-point deltas or independent corroboration within the provided materials.\n- Sources: <https://home.treasury.gov/|US Treasury 1 Mo yield at 3.72%> (home.treasury.gov); <https://home.treasury.gov/|US Treasury 1 Yr yield at 3.47%> (home.treasury.gov); <https://home.treasury.gov/|US Treasury 1.5 Month yield at 3.71%> (home.treasury.gov)","ready_at":"2026-04-08T00:23:15.840016+00:00","status":"ready","summary":"A reported uptick/leveling in multiple US Treasury maturities (including 1 Mo at 3.72%) indicates a near-term shift in the US rates complex, but the provided evidence is limited to a single official source and lacks explicit cross-source confirmation of the magnitude of change.","title":"Intel Digest 2026-04-07","updated_at":"2026-04-08T00:23:15.840016+00:00"}...
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0.78
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intel_digest:2026-04-07
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NULL
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2026-04-08T00:23:19.488472+00:00
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