|
1206
|
evt_d870a7547017
|
artifact_upsert
|
2026-04-08T20:19:33.976610+00:00
|
intel_digest
|
[]
|
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independent source coverage to reduce provenance risk.","Verify the 1M (and other maturities) yield values directly on home.treasury.gov at/near the same timestamp.","Check whether the Treasury publication includes a methodology note or any intraday revisions that could affect the snapshot.","Compare with at least one independent yield source (e.g., a major market data provider) to assess whether the levels match contemporaneously.","Look for any accompanying Treasury/Fed communications or major macro releases around 2026-04-08 that could explain the 'up' direction, since none are provided here."],"risk_counterfactuals":["If the underlying Treasury yield series were updated or revised after the timestamp, the exact level (e.g., 1M at 3.72%) could differ from what is currently displayed.","If other independent market data sources show materially different yield levels at the same time, the single-source dominance would reduce confidence in the precise snapshot."],"signal_families":["macro"],"source_domains":["home.treasury.gov"],"source_refs":[{"domain":"home.treasury.gov","event_id":"evt_e523ae5cb84d","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 1 Mo yield at 3.72%","observed_at":"01/02/2026","signal_id":"sig_09065df4a892","signal_type":"macro_yield_curve_snapshot","source":"treasury","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"domain":"home.treasury.gov","event_id":"evt_e523ae5cb84d","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 1 Yr yield at 3.47%","observed_at":"01/02/2026","signal_id":"sig_09065df4a892","signal_type":"macro_yield_curve_snapshot","source":"treasury","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"domain":"home.treasury.gov","event_id":"evt_e523ae5cb84d","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 1.5 Month yield at 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3.47%","claim_type":"macro_rate_structure","direction":"up","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 1 Yr yield at 3.47%","magnitude":0.72,"source":"treasury","summary":"US Treasury 1 Yr yield at 3.47%","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"at":"2026-04-08T19:34:52.754474Z","claim":"US Treasury 1.5 Month yield at 3.71%","claim_type":"macro_rate_structure","direction":"up","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 1.5 Month yield at 3.71%","magnitude":0.72,"source":"treasury","summary":"US Treasury 1.5 Month yield at 3.71%","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"at":"2026-04-08T19:34:52.754474Z","claim":"US Treasury 10 Yr yield at 4.19%","claim_type":"macro_rate_structure","direction":"up","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 10 Yr yield at 4.19%","magnitude":0.72,"source":"treasury","summary":"US Treasury 10 Yr yield at 4.19%","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"at":"2026-04-08T19:34:52.754474Z","claim":"US Treasury 2 Mo yield at 3.66%","claim_type":"macro_rate_structure","direction":"up","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 2 Mo yield at 3.66%","magnitude":0.72,"source":"treasury","summary":"US Treasury 2 Mo yield at 3.66%","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"at":"2026-04-08T19:34:52.754474Z","claim":"US Treasury 2 Yr yield at 3.47%","claim_type":"macro_rate_structure","direction":"up","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 2 Yr yield at 3.47%","magnitude":0.72,"source":"treasury","summary":"US Treasury 2 Yr yield at 3.47%","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"at":"2026-04-08T19:34:52.754474Z","claim":"US Treasury 20 Yr yield at 4.81%","claim_type":"macro_rate_structure","direction":"up","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 20 Yr yield at 4.81%","magnitude":0.72,"source":"treasury","summary":"US Treasury 20 Yr yield at 4.81%","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"at":"2026-04-08T19:34:52.754474Z","claim":"US Treasury 3 Mo yield at 3.65%","claim_type":"macro_rate_structure","direction":"up","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 3 Mo yield at 3.65%","magnitude":0.72,"source":"treasury","summary":"US Treasury 3 Mo yield at 3.65%","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"at":"2026-04-08T19:34:52.754474Z","claim":"US Treasury 3 Yr yield at 3.55%","claim_type":"macro_rate_structure","direction":"up","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 3 Yr yield at 3.55%","magnitude":0.72,"source":"treasury","summary":"US Treasury 3 Yr yield at 3.55%","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"},{"at":"2026-04-08T19:34:52.754474Z","claim":"US Treasury 30 Yr yield at 4.86%","claim_type":"macro_rate_structure","direction":"up","family":"macro","headline":"US Treasury 30 Yr yield at 4.86%","magnitude":0.72,"source":"treasury","summary":"US Treasury 30 Yr yield at 4.86%","url":"https://home.treasury.gov/"}],"timing_hints":[],"urgency":"low","what_changed":"The dataset reports current yield values across several maturities (e.g., 1 Mo 3.72%, 1 Yr 3.47%, 10 Yr 4.19%, 20 Yr 4.81%), with all captured rate-structure directions marked as 'up' in the provided timeline.","why_now":"The update is time-stamped for 2026-04-08T19:34:52Z and reflects the latest published Treasury yield snapshot; however, no additional causal driver (policy announcement, shock, or event) is included in the provided sources.","window_end":"2026-04-09T00:00:00Z","window_start":"2026-04-08T00:00:00Z","world_state_thesis":"A reported snapshot of US Treasury yields indicates higher levels across multiple maturities (including 1M at 3.72%), but the information is a routine market data update rather than a clearly new, high-urgency geopolitical or policy development."}]},"output_mrkdwn":"*Intel Digest* - 2026-04-08\n\n*1) A reported snapshot of US Treasury yields indicates higher levels across multiple maturities (including 1M at 3.72%), but the information is a routine market data update rather than a clearly new, high-urgency geopolitical or policy development.*\n- Lane: `digest` | conf=0.63 | corr=0.53 | imp=0.73\n- Continuity: new\n- What changed: The dataset reports current yield values across several maturities (e.g., 1 Mo 3.72%, 1 Yr 3.47%, 10 Yr 4.19%, 20 Yr 4.81%), with all captured rate-structure directions marked as 'up' in the provided timeline.\n- Why now: The update is time-stamped for 2026-04-08T19:34:52Z and reflects the latest published Treasury yield snapshot; however, no additional causal driver (policy announcement, shock, or event) is included in the provided sources.\n- Sources: <https://home.treasury.gov/|US Treasury 1 Mo yield at 3.72%> (home.treasury.gov); <https://home.treasury.gov/|US Treasury 1 Yr yield at 3.47%> (home.treasury.gov); <https://home.treasury.gov/|US Treasury 1.5 Month yield at 3.71%> (home.treasury.gov)","ready_at":"2026-04-08T20:19:33.976610+00:00","status":"ready","summary":"A reported snapshot of US Treasury yields indicates higher levels across multiple maturities (including 1M at 3.72%), but the information is a routine market data update rather than a clearly new, high-urgency geopolitical or policy development.","title":"Intel Digest 2026-04-08","updated_at":"2026-04-08T20:19:33.976610+00:00"}...
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0.78
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intel_digest:2026-04-08
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NULL
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2026-04-08T20:19:37.773534+00:00
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