|
40300
|
evt_73ab63fe9ebd
|
artifact_upsert
|
2026-04-14T04:38:58.429461+00:00
|
intel_digest
|
[]
|
{"artifact_id":"art_intel_2026-04-14T0 {"artifact_id":"art_intel_2026-04-14T00:00","confidence":0.748,"created_at":"2026-04-14T04:38:58.429461+00:00","evidence_event_ids":["evt_1d2e26bf1403","evt_dd5e1f81f0ef","evt_a56c65a222e9","evt_fd869635a4d0","evt_a7111825174d","evt_f523aad0e394","evt_fcc9bfaf75e8","evt_c5c7438653ea","evt_ac9ee278b8ac","evt_408aa759fd7c","evt_c072145246a5"],"kind":"intel_digest","meta":{"alert_class_counts":{"confirmed":0,"developing":1,"none":39},"bucket":"2026-04-14T00:00","continuity_counts":{"developing":31,"escalating":1,"new":1,"persistent":7},"digest_story_count":1,"fingerprint":"[{\"alert_class\":\"developing\",\"confidence\":0.748,\"corroboration\":0.79,\"decision\":\"alert\",\"importance\":0.837,\"provenance\":0.692,\"story_id\":\"intel_e5e5a06d1710f9fc\",\"story_key\":\"isk_a701511398a1bd00397d\",\"why_now\":\"The claim is being actively re-published across major crypto/finance news sources in the same recent window (recency score 0.85), making it timely for market participants to notice and for verification checks to be performed.\"}]","lane_counts":{"alert":1,"digest":0,"monitor":39},"lookback_h":24,"model":"gpt-5.4-nano","narrative_clusters":1,"source":"intel_runtime","story_count":40,"tz":"America/New_York"},"output_json":{"alert_class_counts":{"confirmed":0,"developing":1,"none":39},"all_stories":[{"alert_class":"developing","confidence":0.748,"continuity":{"current_quality_score":0.7454,"hours_since_last_seen":0.0,"last_confidence":0.748,"last_decision":"alert","last_quality_score":0.7823,"last_seen_at":"2026-04-13T20:48:49+00:00","narrative_hint":"Developing multi-signal narrative.","prior_story_count_96h":1,"quality_delta":-0.0369,"re_emerging":false,"state":"developing","story_key":"isk_a701511398a1bd00397d","trajectory":[{"confidence":0.748,"decision":"alert","headline":"Multiple outlets are circulating a claim that Michael Saylor\u2019s strategy/vehicle bought $1B of Bitcoin at an average price around $71.9K per BTC; however, the provided evidence is largely headline-level and does not include enough primary detail in the supplied text to treat it as an immediate, fully verified global event.","observed_at":"2026-04-13T20:48:49+00:00"}]},"contradiction":{"claim_type_breakdown":{"market_news_development":{"count":19,"down":0,"neutral":16,"up":3},"market_price_development":{"count":12,"down":0,"neutral":11,"up":1},"policy_regulation_development":{"count":2,"down":0,"neutral":2,"up":0}},"down_count":0,"flags":[],"has_conflict":false,"neutral_count":29,"up_count":4},"corroborated_summary":"The dataset indicates broad cross-source coverage (independent source coverage reported as 15; evidence event count 33; claim agreement 0.9196; high_precision_pass true; no contradiction flags). The headline-level information provided supports that the $1B purchase and ~$71.9K/BTC figure are widely repeated, but the evidence quality metric (0.5679) suggests the underlying provenance is not fully established in the provided text.","corroboration":{"claim_agreement":0.9196,"claim_type_breakdown":{"market_news_development":{"count":19,"down":0,"neutral":16,"up":3},"market_price_development":{"count":12,"down":0,"neutral":11,"up":1},"policy_regulation_development":{"count":2,"down":0,"neutral":2,"up":0}},"claim_type_coverage":3,"contradiction_flags":[],"evidence_event_count":33,"evidence_quality":0.5679,"high_precision_pass":true,"independent_source_coverage":15,"score":0.79,"signal_family_coverage":2},"decision":"alert","degraded":false,"degraded_reason":"","entity_key":"macro:bitcoin","followup_status":"none","headline":"Michael Saylor\u2019s strategy bought $1B Bitcoin at $71.9K per BTC.","impact_score":0.6213,"importance":{"band":"high","continuity_state":"developing","family_breadth":0.5,"provenance_score":0.692,"reasons":["strong_corroboration","world_key_asset"],"score":0.8369,"theme_prior":0.84,"trust_avg":0.6489},"information_gaps":["No actual BTC price, percentage change, or direction (up/down) is provided.","No specific news catalyst or event details are provided.","No source summary or article text is available to extract further grounded facts.","No article text provided, so the timing, magnitude, and causality implied by the headline cannot be verified.","No specific oil ticker/contract or stock tickers/indices are provided in the provided text.","No details on whether the move is intraday, sustained, or tied to specific macro data.","No article text is provided beyond the headline/source summary, so the specific timing, magnitude, and evidence for the \u201cbottomed\u201d call are not available.","No details are given on which software stocks or indices are referenced.","No confirmation is provided that the claim is based on specific data; it is presented as Krinsky\u2019s view only.","No article text or source summary was provided.","No actual BTC price, percentage change, timeframe, or market-moving event is included in the provided headline.","No confirmation of whether the signal implies continuation or reversal is possible from the available text."],"latest_observed_at":"2026-04-13T20:48:49+00:00","named_entities":["Bitcoin","BTC","BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky","BTC/USD","BTCUSD","Strategy","Michael Saylor\u2019s Strategy","Bitbo","LM Funding","Bank of Korea","Michael Saylor"],"normalized_claims":[{"claim":"Bitcoin(BTC) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - 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Bitbo","claim_type":"market_news_development","confidence":0.6,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"06fd5385b40420d3","source_domain":"bitbo.io"},{"claim":"LM Funding held 341 Bitcoin worth $22.9M as its shares closed at 25 cents.","claim_type":"market_news_development","confidence":0.55,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"5c1c3f4e23621ec1","source_domain":"stocktitan.net"}],"personal_relevance":{"applied":true,"boost":0.008,"matched_assets":[],"matched_keywords":[],"score":0.1,"why_you":"No strong personal linkage detected."},"priority_score":0.7514,"quality_delta":-0.0001,"quality_flags":[],"quality_score":0.7822,"recency_score":0.85,"recommended_checks":["Add at least one primary source confirmation before escalation.","Increase independent source coverage to reduce provenance risk.","Locate and review the original primary source for the $1B/$71.9K claim (e.g., company filing, official statement, or transaction disclosure) rather than relying on headline repetition.","Check whether the $71.9K figure is an average over a defined time window/vehicle (and confirm the window) versus a single execution price.","Verify the purchase amount ($1B) against any reported holdings changes or disclosed acquisition totals for the relevant period.","Compare the claim wording across outlets to see if they cite the same upstream document or provide independent sourcing."],"risk_counterfactuals":["The $1B and $71.9K figures could be derived from estimates, aggregated buys, or secondary reporting rather than a single confirmed transaction.","The purchase could relate to a specific vehicle/period and not represent a fresh, newly executed buy at the time implied by the headline.","Some outlets may be repeating the same upstream source without adding independent confirmation of the underlying filings or trade records."],"signal_families":["market_news","news"],"source_domains":["moomoo.com","coindesk.com","cnbc.com","barrons.com","blockspace.media","finance.yahoo.com","bitbo.io","stocktitan.net","theblock.co","cryptonews.net","theglobeandmail.com","marketbeat.com","techinasia.com","coingecko.com","actusnews.com"],"source_refs":[{"domain":"cnbc.com","event_id":"evt_1d2e26bf1403","family":"news","headline":"BTIG\u2019s Jonathan Krinsky believes Bitcoin\u2019s rebound suggests software stocks have bottomed.","observed_at":"2026-04-13T19:46:31+00:00","signal_id":"sig_ee3d7bbd6657","signal_type":"news_headline_delta","source":"CNBC","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"domain":"barrons.com","event_id":"evt_dd5e1f81f0ef","family":"market_news","headline":"Strategy is using preferred stock sales to buy more Bitcoin (\u201cbuy the dip\u201d).","observed_at":"2026-04-13T14:37:00+00:00","signal_id":"sig_bd16fdfc60fe","signal_type":"market_headline_delta","source":"Barron's","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"domain":"coindesk.com","event_id":"evt_a56c65a222e9","family":"market_news","headline":"BItcoin price news: BTC retakes $73,000 as oil gives up gains, stocks advance - 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No specific price movement, news item, or market-moving claim is included in the provided text.; Headline references Bitcoin (BTC).; Headline references \u201cStock Price Today | Quotes & News.\u201d","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T20:04:22Z","claim":"BItcoin price news: BTC retakes $73,000 as oil gives up gains, stocks advance - CoinDesk","claim_type":"market_news_development","direction":"up","family":"market_news","headline":"BItcoin price news: BTC retakes $73,000 as oil gives up gains, stocks advance - CoinDesk","magnitude":0.5,"source":"CoinDesk","summary":"BItcoin price news: BTC retakes $73,000 as oil gives up gains, stocks advance - CoinDesk","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiyAFBVV95cUxNNWtCZEVpVFBucS1OR2k3RlFjQXhGVUNENGN3dnZxcVZISktMY1NKVlRXRWQ0dkc0bWltMFlLeUZKZk9TbGdsaC1mSFBSaVNsOFRVbTJHWVFKTHR5QXFldGJjTzdsLWh1THoyaV9ZZXI1NnM2WmNZODBnOVNGbUpFU3lfY2kxT19VM1J6ekRqUUs0VFZDOEpoTmNzSnVVWHd0TXF1QlNGZXV0WHZjbmFIYjJVNGJvYW9lTUJDYlNkSmVYMHZSZDJTLQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T20:03:45Z","claim":"BItcoin price news: BTC retakes $73,000 as oil gives up gains, stocks advance - CoinDesk","claim_type":"market_news_development","direction":"up","family":"market_news","headline":"BItcoin price news: BTC retakes $73,000 as oil gives up gains, stocks advance - CoinDesk","magnitude":0.5,"source":"CoinDesk","summary":"BItcoin price news: BTC retakes $73,000 as oil gives up gains, stocks advance - CoinDesk","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiyAFBVV95cUxNNWtCZEVpVFBucS1OR2k3RlFjQXhGVUNENGN3dnZxcVZISktMY1NKVlRXRWQ0dkc0bWltMFlLeUZKZk9TbGdsaC1mSFBSaVNsOFRVbTJHWVFKTHR5QXFldGJjTzdsLWh1THoyaV9ZZXI1NnM2WmNZODBnOVNGbUpFU3lfY2kxT19VM1J6ekRqUUs0VFZDOEpoTmNzSnVVWHd0TXF1QlNGZXV0WHZjbmFIYjJVNGJvYW9lTUJDYlNkSmVYMHZSZDJTLQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T20:03:45Z","claim":"BTC retook $73,000 while oil gave up gains and stocks advanced.","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"BTC retook $73,000 while oil gave up gains and stocks advanced.","magnitude":0.7036,"source":"CoinDesk","summary":"The headline reports that Bitcoin (BTC) retook the $73,000 level as oil gains were reduced and stocks advanced.; Headline states BTC retakes $73,000.; Headline links BTC retaking $73,000 to oil giving up gains.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T19:46:31Z","claim":"BTIG\u2019s Jonathan Krinsky believes Bitcoin\u2019s rebound suggests software stocks have bottomed.","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"BTIG\u2019s Jonathan Krinsky believes Bitcoin\u2019s rebound suggests software stocks have bottomed.","magnitude":0.571,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Bitcoin rebound suggests software stocks may have bottomed, says BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky CNBC; Headline states Bitcoin rebounded.; Headline states Krinsky (BTIG) said the rebound suggests software stocks may have bottomed.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T16:56:16Z","claim":"The headline indicates a BTC/USD (BTCUSD) stock price quotes and news page on Moomoo.","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"The headline indicates a BTC/USD (BTCUSD) stock price quotes and news page on Moomoo.","magnitude":0.376,"source":"Moomoo","summary":"The provided headline is a generic market page for BTC/USD quotes and news on Moomoo. No specific market-moving claim, price level, or directional trend is stated in the available text.; Headline references BTC/USD (BTCUSD).; Headline references \u201cStock Price Today | Quotes & News\u201d on Moomoo.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T16:56:16Z","claim":"BTC/USD(BTCUSD) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - Moomoo","claim_type":"market_news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"BTC/USD(BTCUSD) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - Moomoo","magnitude":0.5,"source":"Moomoo","summary":"BTC/USD(BTCUSD) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - Moomoo","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixgJBVV95cUxPMTdIUndzaGZ6Y09jX0kxQmZEbFBkblpvRDlkMW14STdVRVZXYXQ2RnVVRlBzM0JSVUVGSjlBYmh3aEFIS2FwUDA3dk5iS1R2M2ROS1F4MmY2UWtoMER4bkxza0l1ZHIybXhkM3VvMTZpU3BXY0R1NW43WTJpUXFQSHhYMC1hNlV3d1RZU19OZWdiRGowYk1IdkMyc3AxSDhSTG9WbFczZk11RnhPblNwdGMwUTdWN3pwMjBlam9MeVg4NTdxbjhIOU1KeS1hbDJLdFNDVV9jcGt5eUYya0pSTUtINHRWVDlPb25DWWtMbFpKTXI4VnBPYnhCRTZzbXh3QkpIY3dDdnpGaDF6WUpyOTg0cFF4WVNPU1FBY3hUX3hJZ1NMSGkzWkg2QXZxamxrV0tpQ3VGZlZNbGVQSE1PTVVYVThmdw?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T14:37:00Z","claim":"Strategy is using preferred stock sales to buy more Bitcoin (\u201cbuy the dip\u201d).","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"Strategy is using preferred stock sales to buy more Bitcoin (\u201cbuy the dip\u201d).","magnitude":0.7036,"source":"Barron's","summary":"Barron\u2019s headline says Strategy is buying more Bitcoin by using preferred stock sales to purchase on a dip.; Headline states \u201cStrategy Snaps Up More Bitcoin.\u201d; Headline states it is \u201cUsing Preferred Stock Sales to Buy the Dip.\u201d","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T13:56:45Z","claim":"Michael Saylor\u2019s Strategy buys $1B Bitcoin at $71.9K per BTC - Blockspace Media","claim_type":"market_news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"Michael Saylor\u2019s Strategy buys $1B Bitcoin at $71.9K per BTC - Blockspace Media","magnitude":0.5,"source":"Blockspace Media","summary":"Michael Saylor\u2019s Strategy buys $1B Bitcoin at $71.9K per BTC - Blockspace Media","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilgFBVV95cUxPSTh1NGdKeXhtNEZBZ0J0ZWV0ZzBzd0JHZVM1OGk3YS1TeVdLZklFOXgtSU1KYWhxeXhxUW1XSzBzQjBodjBJUndMQkZEU2hYR2RMbU11ZkNUZVFOSHBhWDlNVVRJaW13Uk9KRDFzR3Jxa2Z1TkNzY2RpWnBPcTZ5ZTN4elN2ZHc3MGY2MWo0UnZ2Z0N2aXc?oc=5"}],"timing_hints":["today"],"uncertainty_state":"open","unresolved_questions":["No actual BTC price, percentage change, or direction (up/down) is provided.","No specific news catalyst or event details are provided.","No source summary or article text is available to extract further grounded facts.","No article text provided, so the timing, magnitude, and causality implied by the headline cannot be verified.","No specific oil ticker/contract or stock tickers/indices are provided in the provided text.","No details on whether the move is intraday, sustained, or tied to specific macro data.","Add at least one primary source confirmation before escalation.","Increase independent source coverage to reduce provenance risk."],"urgency":"medium","what_changed":"The circulating narrative is a specific, quantified purchase claim ($1B total; ~$71.9K average), which\u2014if accurate\u2014would represent a notable incremental accumulation signal for Bitcoin-linked corporate strategy.","why_now":"The claim is being actively re-published across major crypto/finance news sources in the same recent window (recency score 0.85), making it timely for market participants to notice and for verification checks to be performed.","window_end":"2026-04-14T00:00:00Z","window_start":"2026-04-13T00:00:00Z","world_state_thesis":"Multiple outlets are circulating a claim that Michael Saylor\u2019s strategy bought $1B of Bitcoin at an average price around $71.9K per BTC; however, the provided material does not include primary transaction documentation, so the development is best treated as a market/positioning update rather than an immediate, high-urgency global event."},{"alert_class":"none","confidence":0.56,"continuity":{"current_quality_score":0.6597,"hours_since_last_seen":0.0,"last_confidence":0.46,"last_decision":"monitor","last_quality_score":0.5922,"last_seen_at":"2026-04-13T17:48:04+00:00","narrative_hint":"Escalating multi-day narrative.","prior_story_count_96h":2,"quality_delta":0.0675,"re_emerging":false,"state":"escalating","story_key":"isk_78d67184e4d38c079f9f","trajectory":[{"confidence":0.46,"decision":"monitor","headline":"LVMH reports sales hit from Iran war in blow to hopes for luxury revival - Reuters","observed_at":"2026-04-13T17:48:04+00:00"},{"confidence":0.46,"decision":"monitor","headline":"LVMH sales miss expectations as luxury recovery is put on pause amid Middle East war - CNBC","observed_at":"2026-04-13T16:00:01+00:00"}]},"contradiction":{"claim_type_breakdown":{"news_development":{"count":4,"down":3,"neutral":1,"up":0}},"down_count":3,"flags":[],"has_conflict":false,"neutral_count":1,"up_count":0},"corroborated_summary":"LVMH reports sales hit from Iran war in blow to hopes for luxury revival Reuters LVMH sales miss expectations as luxury recovery is put on pause amid Middle East war CNBC Louis Vuitton Owner Misses Revenue Views as Middle East War Dims Rebound Hopes WSJ Exclusive: Luxury brands face profit squeeze as Iran conflict shrinks UAE mall sales, sources say Reuters LVMH Sales Suffer After Middle East War Weighs on Vuitton...","corroboration":{"claim_agreement":0.75,"claim_type_breakdown":{"news_development":{"count":4,"down":3,"neutral":1,"up":0}},"claim_type_coverage":1,"contradiction_flags":[],"evidence_event_count":4,"evidence_quality":0.62,"high_precision_pass":false,"independent_source_coverage":4,"score":0.6275,"signal_family_coverage":1},"decision":"monitor","degraded":true,"degraded_reason":"llm_unavailable_or_invalid_verdict","entity_key":"equity:LVMH","followup_status":"none","headline":"LVMH reports sales hit from Iran war in blow to hopes for luxury revival - Reuters","impact_score":0.7175,"importance":{"band":"high","continuity_state":"escalating","family_breadth":0.25,"provenance_score":0.7566,"reasons":["world_critical_theme","high_impact","continuity_escalating"],"score":0.8222,"theme_prior":0.96,"trust_avg":0.7925},"information_gaps":[],"latest_observed_at":"2026-04-13T17:48:04+00:00","named_entities":[],"normalized_claims":[{"claim":"LVMH reports sales hit from Iran war in blow to hopes for luxury revival Reuters LVMH sales miss expectations as luxury recovery is put on pause amid Middle East war CNBC Louis Vuitton Owner Misses Revenue Views as Middle East War Dims Rebound Hopes WSJ Exclusive: Luxury brands face profit squeeze as Iran conflict shrinks UAE mall sales, sources say Reuters LVMH Sales Suffer After Middle East War Weighs on Vuitton Demand Bloomberg.com","claim_type":"news_development","confidence":0.62,"direction":"down","fact_id":"41499032d6c3b0db","source_domain":"reuters.com"},{"claim":"LVMH sales hit as Middle East conflict delays luxury recovery Financial Times LVMH sales miss expectations as luxury recovery is put on pause amid Middle East war CNBC Louis Vuitton Owner Misses Revenue Views as Middle East War Dims Rebound Hopes WSJ Exclusive: Luxury brands face profit squeeze as Iran conflict shrinks UAE mall sales, sources say Reuters LVMH Sales Suffer After Middle East War Weighs on Vuitton Demand Bloomberg.com","claim_type":"news_development","confidence":0.62,"direction":"down","fact_id":"595dfdbdb4c4636f","source_domain":"ft.com"},{"claim":"LVMH sales miss expectations as luxury recovery is put on pause amid Middle East war CNBC","claim_type":"news_development","confidence":0.62,"direction":"down","fact_id":"bfcd9bd4a4479772","source_domain":"cnbc.com"},{"claim":"LVMH continues to achieve organic growth in the fi... 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Street.","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Oil prices eased back from their morning spurts while US stocks rallied on a hopeful Wall Street.","magnitude":0.571,"source":"KTVN","summary":"Oil prices ease back from their morning spurts as US stocks rally on a still hopeful Wall Street KTVN; Oil prices eased back from their morning spurts.; US stocks rallied.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T19:35:10Z","claim":"Oil prices gave back much of their morning jump while U.S. stocks climbed on a still-hopeful Wall Street.","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"Oil prices gave back much of their morning jump while U.S. stocks climbed on a still-hopeful Wall Street.","magnitude":0.649,"source":"PBS","summary":"The headline says oil prices reversed much of their earlier morning gains as U.S. stocks rose, reflecting a still-hopeful Wall Street.; Oil prices gave back much of their morning jump.; U.S. stocks climbed.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T19:35:10Z","claim":"Oil prices gave back much of their morning jump while U.S. stocks climbed amid a still-hopeful Wall Street.","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Oil prices gave back much of their morning jump while U.S. stocks climbed amid a still-hopeful Wall Street.","magnitude":0.571,"source":"PBS","summary":"Oil prices give back much of their morning jump as U.S. stocks climb on a still hopeful Wall Street PBS; Oil prices gave back much of their morning jump.; U.S. stocks climbed.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T14:37:16Z","claim":"Geopolitical tensions are impacting markets amid an oil price surge.","claim_type":"geopolitical_event","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"Geopolitical tensions are impacting markets amid an oil price surge.","magnitude":0.68,"source":"GuruFocus","summary":"The headline claims that geopolitical tensions are affecting markets, coinciding with an oil price surge.; Headline states geopolitical tensions are impacting markets.; Headline states oil prices are surging.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T05:14:38Z","claim":"Markets may be past \u201cpeak fear and sell-off\u201d despite an oil price surge.","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"Markets may be past \u201cpeak fear and sell-off\u201d despite an oil price surge.","magnitude":0.571,"source":"CNBC","summary":"CNBC headline suggests markets may have moved beyond \u201cpeak fear and sell-off\u201d even as oil prices surge.; Headline frames a shift from \u201cpanic\u201d to \u201cpricing.\u201d; Headline asks whether markets are past \u201cpeak fear and sell-off.\u201d","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.OYgPNdDf9Nc.L.X.O/am=GAIFAAAADpgFDCgAAQ/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2OYSmDAUDetpsORI83j3dpsv55GJQ/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T05:14:38Z","claim":"The headline suggests oil prices are rising and questions whether markets have already passed the peak fear/sell-off phase.","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"The headline suggests oil prices are rising and questions whether markets have already passed the peak fear/sell-off phase.","magnitude":0.571,"source":"CNBC","summary":"From panic to pricing in: Are markets past 'peak fear and sell-off' despite oil price surge? CNBC; CNBC headline references a transition \u201cFrom panic to pricing.\u201d; Headline mentions \u201cpeak fear and sell-off.\u201d","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.OYgPNdDf9Nc.L.X.O/am=GAIFAAAADpgFDCgAAQ/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2OYSmDAUDetpsORI83j3dpsv55GJQ/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"}],"timing_hints":[],"uncertainty_state":"open","unresolved_questions":["No article text is provided beyond the headline/source summary, so the magnitude, drivers, and specific measures of \u201celevated\u201d are unknown.","No timing/catalyst window is stated in the provided text.","No specific locations/grades (e.g., WTI/Brent, specific delivery points) are mentioned.","No article text is available; only the headline/summary is provided.","No specific oil benchmark (e.g., WTI/Brent) or exact price levels are mentioned.","No specific US stock index or magnitude of the rally is provided.","Validate the primary claim against at least one primary source.","Confirm the same claim type across another independent source family."],"urgency":"low","what_changed":"The headline says oil prices reversed much of their earlier morning gains as U.S. stocks rose, reflecting a still-hopeful Wall Street.; Oil prices gave back much of their morning jump.; U.S. stocks climbed.","why_now":"2 signal families across 5 sources converged within the active day window (latest signal at 2026-04-13T20:46:00+00:00).","window_end":"2026-04-14T00:00:00Z","window_start":"2026-04-13T00:00:00Z","world_state_thesis":"Oil prices gave back much of their morning jump while U.S. stocks climbed on a still-hopeful Wall Street."},{"alert_class":"none","confidence":0.46,"continuity":{"current_quality_score":0.5182,"hours_since_last_seen":2.94,"last_confidence":0.46,"last_decision":"monitor","last_quality_score":0.5692,"last_seen_at":"2026-04-14T01:05:54+00:00","narrative_hint":"Persistent multi-day 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Cramer CNBC","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi2AFBVV95cUxQVkthakFROEVCQ2cwbXZjOWNZdTZiTmpEWWtBdDgyQ3V2N085RnFZUFdpYXlOcDN0OXg5NnNHbk1GbTdvaGM0bUpHNl9ibFVkSmcyNlg0Y3l6empCdWg2aklNYjBjUVR1WW1fM0otaU5LTGRCYnhwcU1UdGRqVHpsU0FoTzBPZWhqMllLaVlqQjRlSEtBUTFwRTl3UVAwMlNkWGIyb0lZZEtEYTB5WUlScDdDaWtWbmQyNVhVQUlDQ2xBeHFzRGpfNDRrVlhCdUhqNjBYR1BQQkU?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T23:28:12Z","claim":"Jim Cramer said the president\u2019s moves may be erratic but have had very limited impact on stocks.","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Jim Cramer said the president\u2019s moves may be erratic but have had very limited impact on stocks.","magnitude":0.493,"source":"CNBC","summary":"The president's moves may be erratic but the impact on stocks has been very limited, says Jim Cramer CNBC; Headline attributes a quote to Jim Cramer on CNBC.; Cramer characterizes the president\u2019s moves as potentially 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No additional details or asset-specific information are provided in the supplied text.; Headline states Jim Cramer said there is a \u201creal reason\u201d stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears.; No article text or supporting details are included in the provided input.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T21:22:08Z","claim":"'Fast Money' traders talk what to expect from bank earnings this week CNBC","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"'Fast Money' traders talk what to expect from bank earnings this week - CNBC","magnitude":0.45,"source":"CNBC","summary":"'Fast Money' traders talk what to expect from bank earnings this week CNBC","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirwFBVV95cUxQQXpSTVAxdnY3UGpoazVCaERNdGsxY0lERVlUN3ZncGEzYkZVV3d1eDZOLUtwaFJLZjRYNDNwSnNtTjd0NFd6R0ZZdDlhTjJHRDFVelE1UHlYbEVEbGhUWlBBRXpPUEV2M3RET0JpZlgyQ1RzT2JSdzdaRFhHNkh1U2FWOVE4UGwwSGROZHliLUZfVndjMF9rSEl3Y2VXb3NQd0xnQm9udFk3WG9DaktV?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T21:12:07Z","claim":"\u201cFast Money\u201d traders are talking about expectations for bank earnings this week on CNBC.","claim_type":"earnings_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"\u201cFast Money\u201d traders are talking about expectations for bank earnings this week on CNBC.","magnitude":0.493,"source":"CNBC","summary":"'Fast Money' traders talk what to expect from bank earnings this week CNBC; The headline indicates CNBC\u2019s \u201cFast Money\u201d traders are discussing what to expect from bank earnings this week.; The provided source summary repeats the same point.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T21:12:00Z","claim":"'Fast Money' traders talk what to expect from bank earnings this week CNBC","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"'Fast Money' traders talk what to expect from bank earnings this week - CNBC","magnitude":0.45,"source":"CNBC","summary":"'Fast Money' traders talk what to expect from bank earnings this week CNBC","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirwFBVV95cUxQQXpSTVAxdnY3UGpoazVCaERNdGsxY0lERVlUN3ZncGEzYkZVV3d1eDZOLUtwaFJLZjRYNDNwSnNtTjd0NFd6R0ZZdDlhTjJHRDFVelE1UHlYbEVEbGhUWlBBRXpPUEV2M3RET0JpZlgyQ1RzT2JSdzdaRFhHNkh1U2FWOVE4UGwwSGROZHliLUZfVndjMF9rSEl3Y2VXb3NQd0xnQm9udFk3WG9DaktV?oc=5"}],"timing_hints":["this week","April 13, 2026","Monday"],"uncertainty_state":"open","unresolved_questions":["No article text is provided, so the specific president, timeframe, and which stock(s)/index(es) are referenced are not stated.","No details are given about what specific \u201cmoves\u201d the president made.","No evidence or metrics are provided to quantify \u201cvery limited\u201d impact.","No article text is provided, so the specific \u201creal reason\u201d Jim Cramer cited is unknown.","No tickers, sectors, or specific markets are mentioned in the provided text.","No indication is given whether the claim implies continuation or reversal beyond the general idea that stocks are shrugging off fears.","Validate the primary claim against at least one primary source.","Confirm the same claim type across another independent source family."],"urgency":"low","what_changed":"Jim Cramer says this is the real reason why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears - CNBC","why_now":"2 signal families across 4 sources converged within the active day window (latest signal at 2026-04-13T23:47:32+00:00).","window_end":"2026-04-14T00:00:00Z","window_start":"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","world_state_thesis":"Jim Cramer says this is the real reason why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears - CNBC"},{"alert_class":"none","confidence":0.46,"continuity":{"current_quality_score":0.5451,"hours_since_last_seen":1.98,"last_confidence":0.46,"last_decision":"monitor","last_quality_score":0.5999,"last_seen_at":"2026-04-14T02:08:00+00:00","narrative_hint":"Persistent multi-day narrative.","prior_story_count_96h":11,"quality_delta":-0.0548,"re_emerging":false,"state":"persistent","story_key":"isk_a28451fd46d006bf5a88","trajectory":[{"confidence":0.46,"decision":"monitor","headline":"Goldman failed to deliver the blowout earnings that was expected, and the stock is falling.","observed_at":"2026-04-14T02:08:00+00:00"},{"confidence":0.46,"decision":"monitor","headline":"Goldman failed to deliver the blowout earnings that was expected, and the stock is falling.","observed_at":"2026-04-14T00:21:57+00:00"},{"confidence":0.46,"decision":"monitor","headline":"Goldman failed to deliver the blowout earnings that was expected, and the stock is falling.","observed_at":"2026-04-14T00:21:57+00:00"},{"confidence":0.46,"decision":"monitor","headline":"Goldman failed to deliver the blowout earnings that was expected, and the stock is falling.","observed_at":"2026-04-13T23:15:09+00:00"},{"confidence":0.46,"decision":"monitor","headline":"Goldman failed to deliver the blowout earnings that was expected, and the stock is falling.","observed_at":"2026-04-13T21:30:00+00:00"},{"confidence":0.46,"decision":"monitor","headline":"Goldman failed to deliver the blowout earnings that was expected, and the stock is falling.","observed_at":"2026-04-13T20:59:06+00:00"}]},"contradiction":{"claim_type_breakdown":{"corporate_event_development":{"count":1,"down":0,"neutral":0,"up":1},"earnings_development":{"count":28,"down":6,"neutral":17,"up":5},"listing_development":{"count":1,"down":0,"neutral":1,"up":0},"market_news_development":{"count":76,"down":4,"neutral":48,"up":24},"market_price_development":{"count":35,"down":2,"neutral":16,"up":17},"news_development":{"count":169,"down":4,"neutral":145,"up":20},"policy_regulation_development":{"count":3,"down":0,"neutral":2,"up":1}},"down_count":16,"flags":["directional_claim_conflict","claim_type_conflict:market_price_development","claim_type_conflict:news_development","claim_type_conflict:earnings_development","claim_type_conflict:market_news_development"],"has_conflict":true,"neutral_count":229,"up_count":68},"corroborated_summary":"Goldman didn\u2019t deliver the blowout earnings that was expected, and the stock is falling MarketWatch; 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gain, oil and dollar retreat on hopes for US-Iran resolution Reuters","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"up","family":"news","headline":"Stocks gain, oil and dollar retreat on hopes for US-Iran resolution - Reuters","magnitude":0.45,"source":"Reuters","summary":"Stocks gain, oil and dollar retreat on hopes for US-Iran resolution Reuters","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigwFBVV95cUxOWmhRTmVMQUVCRTFCTjNOZ25hYVZuN1NiNTc4SVpxQ001VGR4ZFM0TzJqUHQ4S0E0ZXg4YVBZeGE3c2FZTnkxU2JHeXFBOWpRU2RRdzdRUFZQTnhjTFlOTE5FRVdwc3FidUo3RDR4MHRCV25Od1Y3ekRDa2hWYVlKcHEyaw?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T22:31:59Z","claim":"Trading Day: US stocks gain, dollar dips on hopes for Iran war negotiations Reuters Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Opinion | An Iran Cease-Fire Won\u2019t Help Gas Prices The New York Times Stocks rally, oil dips below $100 a barrel as investors signal hope for swift end to Iran war CBS News","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"up","family":"news","headline":"Trading Day: US stocks gain, dollar dips on hopes for Iran war negotiations - Reuters","magnitude":0.9,"source":"Reuters","summary":"Trading Day: US stocks gain, dollar dips on hopes for Iran war negotiations Reuters Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Opinion | An Iran Cease-Fire Won\u2019t Help Gas Prices The New York Times Stocks rally, oil dips below $100 a barrel as investors si...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMie0FVX3lxTFB0T1FSX0NzQlRpYjNPQU1rbkVBa2M5RnB0NjdoUjhfb0gxUUlmTG1LSlRyN21UMmF1Y0RtZnZzdXZoMnVxSlFWYVQxaFRCZ3dqSF9VcW8zeUJjUTNsMERURWJmQkhvd3JFUFUyR2ZORTJyMDJncGpOWWpGVQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T22:07:02Z","claim":"Chevron agreed to an asset swap in Venezuela to focus on heavy oil projects.","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Chevron agreed to an asset swap in Venezuela to focus on heavy oil projects.","magnitude":0.7036,"source":"Reuters","summary":"Chevron agrees to asset swap in Venezuela to focus on heavy oil projects Reuters Venezuela Set to Award Oil Fields to Chevron to Help Grow Output Bloomberg.com The US refinery now processing Venezuelan oil BBC 150M barrels of Venezuelan oil sold since January, US energy secretary says Semafor Exclusive: Shell seeks to begin gas output at massive Venezuela-Trinidad Loran Manatee field next year Reuters; Reuters hea...","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T22:07:02Z","claim":"Chevron agrees to asset swap in Venezuela to focus on heavy oil projects Reuters Venezuela Set to Award Oil Fields to Chevron to Help Grow Output Bloomberg.com The US refinery now processing Venezuelan oil BBC 150M barrels of Venezuelan oil sold since January, US energy secretary says Semafor Exclusive: Shell seeks to begin gas output at massive Venezuela-Trinidad Loran Manatee field next year Reuters","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Chevron agrees to asset swap in Venezuela to focus on heavy oil projects - Reuters","magnitude":0.9,"source":"Reuters","summary":"Chevron agrees to asset swap in Venezuela to focus on heavy oil projects Reuters Venezuela Set to Award Oil Fields to Chevron to Help Grow Output Bloomberg.com The US refinery now processing Venezuelan oil BBC 150M barrels of Venezuelan oil sold since January, US energy secretary says Semafor Exclusive: Shell seeks to begin gas output at massive Venezuela-Trinidad Loran Manatee field next year Reuters","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiuAFBVV95cUxPS0NvdUU4YV9jcjBFSTM5UUFEa3ROck1Fd0hKZGRESm9BOUlVUnU3Y1JNVWNXa3RWbHpHVkRhTWFuVi1iNEtySlpmNkJDWW81Zy1rR1U2QW9NRG5rUzE2S3RVLVpBVUNqSTVabFQ4ejd5eVRObjJqaXpyeTEtV2hMZjI1SkF2d2F4WHZxUy15eVg2QWlVYkF5RGl6MGl0M1pFYWRlc29EeXUtU05EbEptUFNoalVNY0V0?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T21:40:02Z","claim":"Stock Market Today, April 13: Stocks Edge Upwards Despite Continued Oil Disruption Yahoo Finance","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Stock Market Today, April 13: Stocks Edge Upwards Despite Continued Oil Disruption - Yahoo Finance","magnitude":0.9,"source":"Yahoo Finance","summary":"Stock Market Today, April 13: Stocks Edge Upwards Despite Continued Oil Disruption Yahoo Finance","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilwFBVV95cUxQSlVTbl9XZXBTWkNXOWVta0hCTzI4a2hlQWJTZ21OalNPdlNoQlFnYW1CYWdqbDczUUJJM2hUUHFkSl9JaTVhcFZYWW54UkZkbUp0WENveEdFZW0yZFBZeDdyRjNyeThBYUY1bmpJT1V0M1VxVDZjU2hxUFdMek5ndVBON0g3UzE1czhYY19PdEN0X2IwcE9n?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T21:26:09Z","claim":"Wall Street indexes gain as investors hold out hope for US-Iran resolution Reuters Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq trim losses after Trump orders Hormuz blockade against Iran Yahoo Finance Software Stock Rally Powers S&P 500 Through Hormuz-Blockade Tumult WSJ Physical oil hits fresh record high near $150 a barrel as Hormuz crisis worsens Reuters S&P 500 Erases Iran War-Driven Losses as Earnings Season Begins Bloomberg.com","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"up","family":"news","headline":"Wall Street indexes gain as investors hold out hope for US-Iran resolution - Reuters","magnitude":0.9,"source":"Reuters","summary":"Wall Street indexes gain as investors hold out hope for US-Iran resolution Reuters Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq trim losses after Trump orders Hormuz blockade against Iran Yahoo Finance Software Stock Rally Powers S&P 500 Through Hormuz-Blockade Tumult WSJ Physical oil hits fresh record high near $150 a barrel as Hormuz crisis worsens Reuters S&P 500 Erases Iran War-Driven Losses as Earnings Season Beg...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirwFBVV95cUxPNnlHODRfWHZBSmRTd0hYTjBoVndLOTk4dm8tS1Q5WmVlQVZ5NEtoYU9wUFZKdXdMOXlYc0d4RU5jMEFyTUthSTZaMTlGMEJEaHdtNWh1YndGQnlRWjhQMnJzVmZFNTFhZ2FQX3JESzhxc1NaMXRiclVmNHlaZkIwT3dhWTJ6eFgtZ3ZQVDBZV2FoQ3RPWlRCbm5ZSDNSX2tqV0NjWE9EM0JLaENHRTNj?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T20:46:00Z","claim":"Crude Oil Physical Markets Remain Elevated stonex.com","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Crude Oil Physical Markets Remain Elevated - stonex.com","magnitude":0.45,"source":"stonex.com","summary":"Crude Oil Physical Markets Remain Elevated stonex.com","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMihAFBVV95cUxNblNMd1h0VFg4dVRoSmJCeWNMaVpPUndGaE5qb3VoUDhiTllUbEJxOG9BWElUaWE1SmR2ODJiYm9oM3RRSG9OVS1FaGdWVnZSZ25iaUNoRVpNd1ZuZk9GT010cTR4ZFZYcXFEN0UxeFMwV2daTVNNOXh2Rm5BLXpfNzIxLTY?oc=5"}],"timing_hints":[],"uncertainty_state":"conflicted","unresolved_questions":["No deal terms are provided (asset names, volumes, valuation, counterparties, or effective date).","No explicit near-term timing for when the swap or heavy oil projects will impact production is included in the provided text.","The supplied source summary includes additional references (e.g., refinery processing Venezuelan oil, 150M barrels sold, Shell gas output plans), but it is not clear how they relate to the Chevron asset swap headline.","The names/tickers of the 15 stocks are not included in the provided text.","No details are given on what Goldman Sachs means by the 'rule of 10' criteria.","No near-term catalyst timing or market impact is described in the 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league's kickoff of 30th season Yahoo Sports 2026 WNBA Dra...","theme_key":"geopolitics","timeline":[{"at":"2026-04-14T02:59:50Z","claim":"2026 WNBA Draft Winners and Losers: UCLA, Azzi Fudd Make History, Flau\u2019jae Johnson Stunningly Traded to Storm Sports Illustrated Dallas Wings select UConn's Azzi Fudd No. 1 in 2026 WNBA draft ESPN Azzi Fudd's rookie salary will dwarf those of Paige Bueckers, Caitlin Clark USA Today WNBA Draft: No. 1 pick intrigue, a UConn reunion and UCLA bonanza highlight league's kickoff of 30th season Yahoo Sports 2026 WNBA Draft Class DNA: Meet The Forwards/Centers WNBA","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"2026 WNBA Draft Winners and Losers: UCLA, Azzi Fudd Make History, Flau\u2019jae Johnson Stunningly Traded to Storm - Sports Illustrated","magnitude":0.9,"source":"Sports Illustrated","summary":"2026 WNBA Draft Winners and Losers: UCLA, Azzi Fudd Make History, Flau\u2019jae Johnson Stunningly Traded to Storm 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Forwards/...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMingFBVV95cUxQTXJ1RXg2dlVTOFJiVWZuaUlKR1R6dV9ZVmVfaVc0enNKY2xUSHZ5dHpFSDAycmpIbGw0UnI2elJOdk5kYVMzRlhVNWtocDAzd2tpa2t3RU54RXM4S3phQmp1Um1lLVJyN241Vy1WdXU4ckhHZ2xuSzdVT1piaXZqczBOMnY2SjZfbmNlaHV4TUNwOTZ0QWpIc0xoWUpnZw?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-14T01:40:00Z","claim":"2026 WNBA Draft results, grades for every first-round pick: Azzi Fudd goes No. 1, UCLA makes history CBS Sports Dallas Wings select UConn's Azzi Fudd No. 1 in 2026 WNBA draft ESPN UConn guard Azzi Fudd goes No. 1 to the Dallas Wings, reunited with Paige Bueckers USA Today WNBA Draft: No. 1 pick intrigue, a UConn reunion and UCLA bonanza highlight league's kickoff of 30th season Yahoo Sports 2026 WNBA Draft Class DNA: Meet The Forwards/Centers WNBA","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"2026 WNBA Draft results, grades for every first-round pick: Azzi Fudd goes No. 1, UCLA makes history - CBS 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than last year\u2019s No. 1 pick Paige Bueckers thanks to new CBA Yahoo Sports UConn guard Azzi Fudd goes No. 1 to the Dallas Wings, reunited with Paige Bueckers USA Today 2026 WNBA Draft Class DNA: Meet The Forwards/Centers WNBA","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"WNBA draft: Azzi Fudd goes No 1, UCLA smash record and Flau\u2019jae Johnson traded \u2013 as it happened - The Guardian","magnitude":0.9,"source":"The Guardian","summary":"WNBA draft: Azzi Fudd goes No 1, UCLA smash record and Flau\u2019jae Johnson traded \u2013 as it happened The Guardian WNBA mock draft 2026: Azzi Fudd returns to projected No. 1 ESPN WNBA Draft: Azzi Fudd's rookie salary will be 6 times greater than last year\u2019s No. 1 pick Paige Bueckers thanks to new CBA Yahoo Sports UConn guard Azzi Fudd goes No. 1 to the Dallas Wings, reunited with Paige Bueckers USA Today 2026 WNBA 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Cramer cited is not stated in the provided text.","No details on which stocks/indices are referenced.","No timing information (when the comment was made or expected market catalyst timing).","No evidence or data supporting the claim is included.","No details on which war, which companies/sectors, or what specific earnings metrics are referenced.","No timing specifics beyond \"right now\".","No evidence, data, or mechanism is provided in the available text.","No article body or additional details are provided, so there is no information on specific assets, tickers, market moves, or timing/catalysts beyond the general mention of \u201cearnings season\u201d and \u201cIran war.\u201d","No explicit directional impact (e.g., bullish/bearish) is stated in the provided text.","No article text is provided, so the specific index(es) referenced (e.g., STOXX 50, DAX, FTSE) are not stated.","No timing beyond 'start the week' is provided.","No details are given on what specifically caused 'Iran 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CNBC Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance Opinion | An Iran Cease-Fire Won\u2019t Help Gas Prices The New York Times Software Stock Rally Powers S&P 500 Through Hormuz-Blockade Tumult WSJ","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"up","family":"news","headline":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance Opinion | An Iran Cease-Fire Won\u2019t Help Gas Prices The New York Times Software Stock Rally Powers S&P 500 Through...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE03ZGpnREIteEV0Y0FlZlpGMTYwQU5kYlIxWWhDRzR4NjJQUGtyRXA0dmlGbXB5emxEaWp0QnJaWENPYTBydzlrTkFhTmdVTjFJLUZzM0h4NDYybVhHZmZsQjhuSHBablhHOVlaNmR3QTJLalQwVjFqedIBfkFVX3lxTE95VWVOM1JNTEV0SzB6a3daZlBfbDJZNUZZWmVfZlNMNm1qdlltSzVFVnAyRjJKVGoxMUxRVnh5TFRja0gxa2x2Q0lXRE1zRTRfX2w0WTg5Tk5XOFVWOE82WldORXh4NFp5MTVwVFhncnlGX01OajNiSEtOZXVMQQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T23:06:21Z","claim":"Jim Cramer says this is the real reason why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears CNBC","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Jim Cramer says this is the real reason why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Jim Cramer says this is the real reason why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears CNBC","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMijAFBVV95cUxPSWhfWl9TelFpQTVuSEJVTGNMN0FNZ0lnZTYtWl9wc3M5SXZuM2k5T01NQzZRbkZPT3JCWi1BbnNqcXlHX3QxSk1NV0dKTjVURDk4SXItdjYxWTV0QjlHMzVHMjYtZm9FUUJLWXNzbUl6MXF6MUVYLU1pMmJzSkM1ZGRNckY4SjJabFVHatIBkgFBVV95cUxPdC1OY0tRZnR0bEI3SG1Wc0szX2J3VEQ5SFNNZklieGN6SmxiWWRYd3laUWNCMkNVQVZtZGwtREV2SGNYMWE2blJ6RTRRbXdYSDl1bUIwUElWWEZpbGpaY3FwcFdCeHdjUm5CZVhlbkNQSHRaSHB5UWhwX0pLZGZvalBOZ2NRUjlJLUNOdEszbFJFZw?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T23:06:21Z","claim":"Jim Cramer said there is a \u201creal reason\u201d why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears.","claim_type":"geopolitical_event","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Jim Cramer said there is a \u201creal reason\u201d why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears.","magnitude":0.68,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Jim Cramer says this is the real reason why stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears CNBC; Headline states Jim Cramer said there is a \u201creal reason\u201d stocks are shrugging off Iran war fears.; Source summary repeats the same claim.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T22:06:00Z","claim":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE03ZGpnREIteEV0Y0FlZlpGMTYwQU5kYlIxWWhDRzR4NjJQUGtyRXA0dmlGbXB5emxEaWp0QnJaWENPYTBydzlrTkFhTmdVTjFJLUZzM0h4NDYybVhHZmZsQjhuSHBablhHOVlaNmR3QTJLalQwVjFqedIBfkFVX3lxTE95VWVOM1JNTEV0SzB6a3daZlBfbDJZNUZZWmVfZlNMNm1qdlltSzVFVnAyRjJKVGoxMUxRVnh5TFRja0gxa2x2Q0lXRE1zRTRfX2w0WTg5Tk5XOFVWOE82WldORXh4NFp5MTVwVFhncnlGX01OajNiSEtOZXVMQQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T21:52:00Z","claim":"Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Wall Street is the biggest winner of the Iran war\u2014and the S&P 500 just turned positive for the year Fortune Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance US stocks rally and return to where they were before the US-Iran war AP News","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"up","family":"news","headline":"Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Wall Street is the biggest winner of the Iran war\u2014and the S&P 500 just turned positive for the year Fortune Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance US sto...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMid0FVX3lxTE15aXRHdmlfQXNxSmZVLWVpMkxMd2FEN1ZUUGR1Tzg2bHFBX084dzM2NGItZUx0cUFIUFFfQ0YzdmZ0VHFUc0c3dlFGNUNDaExGQXh3UnF4Ty1rVEVhYjZUSnZQMzJEaUZmUmQ2am9oeFRBM3RoNUsw0gF8QVVfeXFMTkxTcnBzUEVvYXJkU1hITWthanpSSlBwbmhWZHlvUDRDaUZrZU1Gb1JScktEQnA3Zmw0UEwxejZWMjE1cVpTeU1nUnZ1NG9qVTZhUkYyUEdIbzB3a1NtaFBTMEZjVjhzMURDUUk2MmRrMEYxOHNla1NHaWRfMw?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T19:19:21Z","claim":"Tom Lee breaks down why 'the war is actually helping earnings right now' CNBC","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Tom Lee breaks down why 'the war is actually helping earnings right now' - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Tom Lee breaks down why 'the war is actually helping earnings right now' 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CNBC.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T18:48:00Z","claim":"Tom Lee breaks down why 'the war is actually helping earnings right now' CNBC","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Tom Lee breaks down why 'the war is actually helping earnings right now' - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Tom Lee breaks down why 'the war is actually helping earnings right now' CNBC","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiswFBVV95cUxOTHhWaV9QaGE0NC12c0dxY0JNNFVXVzFxR3N6Wm5tUGl1OXlnX0JGdGF5UVJQSkswRnBnN1Q3SWFtdDhQaTl3OU1aNjZNRkczbTJRYmVjQzJyNE5pUmNmYTh5anU0dG10NmdObGs1cG11TXhaWWhNYnZ5OXI3Slo1dGFNMmJiMXFJTDgtSno3czc3dk53NnV6X2ZmVkpxel9keEEwZTRyVkdXR2hONWxtbi1xdw?oc=5"}],"timing_hints":["start of the 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The New York Times PM-in-waiting Peter Magyar lays out vision for Hungary after ousting Orban Al Jazeera","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivAFBVV95cUxQZkkyc1VmYXRmY3JlOEJQY2JEU0RxNlFVUW1YN3YzR3BjSUZsSE1GRnBRdUpaSGpnYkV3bTQ1RWpmMmw3VndCM1liYmRRMG84d3d5c2h0NGl1VjNhWGxjR19qMzdFMExIRW9HQXI2aXJ3eHNjRjJlVW1pQmo1Ry1QTWx5VXJxWmxscEc2YVpObmVWNmdlbjRCZFZKaE5jYVZfQXE3Vy1MT3VEZ09rWFBoNzBoTWo2MU1ab05jZQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T11:56:36Z","claim":"Trump says U.S. will blockade Iranian ports. 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CNBC","observed_at":"2026-04-13T13:33:56+00:00","signal_id":"sig_1b1a78e35709","signal_type":"news_snapshot","source":"CNBC","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxQLUJSSjU3TFUzUjJBYVBXdWw4SE1xWDgzcjhVbVB1N19UNXhzUDZpWnRvVXhEV1JNWnVXNE9ra1hVa0MwVDlycWhYYTdXU3h3NXk1WVpWMDdPMDFFZWYtX1J6MDhNYk9TTk9uaHFteFEtQ1M0V0Njai1pMTVlTVpLTkIwZ1RGTjVyY2JmeWtLLTQ1OW5qbE5TWDN4Z0VCX1pQQ202Q1YxQUw?oc=5"},{"domain":"cnbc.com","event_id":"evt_2e851bea9cb6","family":"news","headline":"Dow futures fall 500 points after Trump announces Strait of Hormuz blockade as talks fail: Live updates - CNBC","observed_at":"2026-04-13T13:02:00+00:00","signal_id":"sig_c8478f48fd10","signal_type":"news_snapshot","source":"CNBC","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMid0FVX3lxTE15aXRHdmlfQXNxSmZVLWVpMkxMd2FEN1ZUUGR1Tzg2bHFBX084dzM2NGItZUx0cUFIUFFfQ0YzdmZ0VHFUc0c3dlFGNUNDaExGQXh3UnF4Ty1rVEVhYjZUSnZQMzJEaUZmUmQ2am9oeFRBM3RoNUsw0gF8QVVfeXFMTkxTcnBzUEVvYXJkU1hITWthanpSSlBwbmhWZHlvUDRDaUZrZU1Gb1JScktEQnA3Zmw0UEwxejZWMjE1cVpTeU1nUnZ1NG9qVTZhUkYyUEdIbzB3a1NtaFBTMEZjVjhzMURDUUk2MmRrMEYxOHNla1NHaWRfMw?oc=5"},{"domain":"nytimes.com","event_id":"evt_9ce789ebaf43","family":"news","headline":"Effects of Iran War Emerge in Company Earnings, Starting With Goldman Sachs - The New York Times","observed_at":"2026-04-13T12:52:43+00:00","signal_id":"sig_e98c4d59db2a","signal_type":"news_snapshot","source":"The New York Times","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMie0FVX3lxTE41RUlkZnVJbXBCblh0bnduWVNzVW56Y1lLd043aFlkXzhfNXJ5b0pCNzhBdmlWcFNORjdBWWFVbHphNGp3Ty1pQTZpLVJNc2p2ekp0X19qU3B0aEtia25HVldvQ2VkdEh1ZFUzVFV6WmJ4aVpWVHQ2T1BMTQ?oc=5"}],"source_trust":{"avg_score":0.8087,"domains":[{"count":1,"domain":"bloomberg.com","primary":false,"score":0.89,"source":"Bloomberg.com","url_count":1},{"count":13,"domain":"cnbc.com","primary":false,"score":0.82,"source":"CNBC","url_count":13},{"count":1,"domain":"nytimes.com","primary":false,"score":0.58,"source":"The New York Times","url_count":1}],"flags":["missing_primary_sources"],"high_trust_source_count":2,"independent_source_count":3,"low_trust_source_count":0,"primary_source_count":0,"provenance_score":0.6889,"refs_total":15,"url_ratio":1.0},"story_id":"intel_d7ff9862143c358d","story_key":"isk_bf85199c85dd4f93265c","summary":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance Opinion | An Iran Cease-Fire Won\u2019t Help Gas Prices The New York Times Stocks rally, oil dips below $100 a barrel a...","theme_key":"commodities","timeline":[{"at":"2026-04-14T01:09:00Z","claim":"Oil falls as Vance comments raise hopes for a diplomatic resolution to Mideast conflict CNBC Oil prices ease on hopes of new US-Iran peace talks BBC Oil prices jump on US plans to blockade Iranian ports in Strait of Hormuz CNN Physical oil hits fresh record high near $150 a barrel as Hormuz crisis worsens Reuters Asian Equities Rise, Oil Falls Amid Hopes for Further U.S.-Iran Peace Talks WSJ","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Oil falls as Vance comments raise hopes for a diplomatic resolution to Mideast conflict - CNBC","magnitude":0.45,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Oil falls as Vance comments raise hopes for a diplomatic resolution to Mideast conflict CNBC Oil prices ease on hopes of new US-Iran peace talks BBC Oil prices jump on US plans to blockade Iranian ports in Strait of Hormuz CNN Physical oil hits fresh record high near $150 a barrel as Hormuz crisis worsens Reuters Asian Equities Rise, Oil Falls Amid Hopes for Further U.S.-Iran Peace Talks WSJ","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikwFBVV95cUxONWFvdXg2VWhNVG9KVUY4cWswaGIzc2xMUklTa0VEWkZqYWxrdEVXbkRwSVBYLVdTRFlXdXRXWG5KemhBMV90eW1GU1laSXB6RFlTZnkxaVFiUjZMUEp2dFBvVGZtNXNyaG5aVjMwam1pYU00MHFReml5Z20zVXl2eUw1RzJuTFRTWVZVZnlxNGR0dGvSAZgBQVVfeXFMTTRJNzZEejdHbmlrZWJ4TmRNMTV2dWtaWVI5VktqZmVWdmN3ZGhSU3h6MzB2SVNRVGgtdVJRdGFDdmxWaHVIb3RiN2xocm9sOFdIU3ZvMHZHbGVUaHg1U0k5SkUyNl9qQXZTS181YVRiWnJEelpoQWJnWUQwVGM3SWFnTXNOR1V6Nk1KRjVBRWIyRXZXM0tsM1Q?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-14T01:09:00Z","claim":"Oil falls as Vance signals diplomatic efforts are ongoing to resolve Mideast conflict CNBC Oil prices ease on hopes of new US-Iran peace talks BBC Oil prices jump on US plans to blockade Iranian ports in Strait of Hormuz CNN Physical oil hits fresh record high near $150 a barrel as Hormuz crisis worsens Reuters Asian Equities Rise, Oil Falls Amid Hopes for Further U.S.-Iran Peace Talks WSJ","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Oil falls as Vance signals diplomatic efforts are ongoing to resolve Mideast conflict - CNBC","magnitude":0.45,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Oil falls as Vance signals diplomatic efforts are ongoing to resolve Mideast conflict CNBC Oil prices ease on hopes of new US-Iran peace talks BBC Oil prices jump on US plans to blockade Iranian ports in Strait of Hormuz CNN Physical oil hits fresh record high near $150 a barrel as Hormuz crisis worsens Reuters Asian Equities Rise, Oil Falls Amid Hopes for Further U.S.-Iran Peace Talks WSJ","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikwFBVV95cUxONWFvdXg2VWhNVG9KVUY4cWswaGIzc2xMUklTa0VEWkZqYWxrdEVXbkRwSVBYLVdTRFlXdXRXWG5KemhBMV90eW1GU1laSXB6RFlTZnkxaVFiUjZMUEp2dFBvVGZtNXNyaG5aVjMwam1pYU00MHFReml5Z20zVXl2eUw1RzJuTFRTWVZVZnlxNGR0dGvSAZgBQVVfeXFMTTRJNzZEejdHbmlrZWJ4TmRNMTV2dWtaWVI5VktqZmVWdmN3ZGhSU3h6MzB2SVNRVGgtdVJRdGFDdmxWaHVIb3RiN2xocm9sOFdIU3ZvMHZHbGVUaHg1U0k5SkUyNl9qQXZTS181YVRiWnJEelpoQWJnWUQwVGM3SWFnTXNOR1V6Nk1KRjVBRWIyRXZXM0tsM1Q?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T23:22:00Z","claim":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance Opinion | An Iran Cease-Fire Won\u2019t Help Gas Prices The New York Times Stocks rally, oil dips below $100 a barrel as investors signal hope for swift end to Iran war CBS News","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"up","family":"news","headline":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance Opinion | An Iran Cease-Fire Won\u2019t Help Gas Prices The New York Times Stocks rally, oil dips below $100 a barrel a...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMieEFVX3lxTE03ZGpnREIteEV0Y0FlZlpGMTYwQU5kYlIxWWhDRzR4NjJQUGtyRXA0dmlGbXB5emxEaWp0QnJaWENPYTBydzlrTkFhTmdVTjFJLUZzM0h4NDYybVhHZmZsQjhuSHBablhHOVlaNmR3QTJLalQwVjFqedIBfkFVX3lxTE95VWVOM1JNTEV0SzB6a3daZlBfbDJZNUZZWmVfZlNMNm1qdlltSzVFVnAyRjJKVGoxMUxRVnh5TFRja0gxa2x2Q0lXRE1zRTRfX2w0WTg5Tk5XOFVWOE82WldORXh4NFp5MTVwVFhncnlGX01OajNiSEtOZXVMQQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T17:53:07Z","claim":"Investors should feel better about Goldman's private credit exposure post-earnings: BofA's Poonawala CNBC","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Investors should feel better about Goldman's private credit exposure post-earnings: BofA's Poonawala - CNBC","magnitude":0.45,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Investors should feel better about Goldman's private credit exposure post-earnings: BofA's Poonawala CNBC","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi1wFBVV95cUxNdEJNX0lqYkFjdUFzUnp2ZE1JSWFGMlVOSkJPOFc1SEhKV2lHWEhVaU5XRng0ME1YQ3JpZDAzejV4cXA4Q0VlR2JLWndwYnptaVluQWJ2eHBoZmZzRFBVQWFqVlZiRnNHRlFIN3BBSkEzQnpUbWhXYkpOWG9OMHl1UGlUWERscnFuS3M2Z1kxQlB1SFNEZjBwLWlKVG5mRnFqRWYxQlo4ZkkyRUVLbE1BTTQ4TmNEMHl2X0NVMTdUSzM4YzBiSlV5SUJjaGRYOW85a3dxYlJXUQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T15:29:00Z","claim":"S&P 500 is flat as investors bet on eventual Iran resolution, Dow dragged down by Goldman: Live updates CNBC Stocks Drop Ahead of Hormuz Blockade as Earnings Season Begins Bloomberg.com Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq open lower as crude-oil prices spike MarketWatch Stock Market Today: Dow Dips On Trump Iran Move; These Biotech, Software Stocks Shine (Live Coverage) Investor's Business Daily Stock Market Today: Stocks Mixed as Goldman Sachs Weighs on Dow; Oil Surges as US Begins Blockade of Strait of Hormuz Investopedia","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"S&P 500 is flat as investors bet on eventual Iran resolution, Dow dragged down by Goldman: Live updates - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"S&P 500 is flat as investors bet on eventual Iran resolution, Dow dragged down by Goldman: Live updates CNBC Stocks Drop Ahead of Hormuz Blockade as Earnings Season Begins Bloomberg.com Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq open lower as crude-oil prices spike MarketWatch Stock Market Today: Dow Dips On Trump Iran Move; These Biotech, Software Stocks Shine (Live Coverage) Investor's Business Daily Stock Mark...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMid0FVX3lxTE15aXRHdmlfQXNxSmZVLWVpMkxMd2FEN1ZUUGR1Tzg2bHFBX084dzM2NGItZUx0cUFIUFFfQ0YzdmZ0VHFUc0c3dlFGNUNDaExGQXh3UnF4Ty1rVEVhYjZUSnZQMzJEaUZmUmQ2am9oeFRBM3RoNUsw0gF8QVVfeXFMTkxTcnBzUEVvYXJkU1hITWthanpSSlBwbmhWZHlvUDRDaUZrZU1Gb1JScktEQnA3Zmw0UEwxejZWMjE1cVpTeU1nUnZ1NG9qVTZhUkYyUEdIbzB3a1NtaFBTMEZjVjhzMURDUUk2MmRrMEYxOHNla1NHaWRfMw?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T13:33:56Z","claim":"Watch CNBC's 'Squawk on the Street' team talk markets, Iran, Goldman Sachs and more CNBC","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Watch CNBC's 'Squawk on the Street' team talk markets, Iran, Goldman Sachs and more - CNBC","magnitude":0.45,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Watch CNBC's 'Squawk on the Street' team talk markets, Iran, Goldman Sachs and more CNBC","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiqAFBVV95cUxQLUJSSjU3TFUzUjJBYVBXdWw4SE1xWDgzcjhVbVB1N19UNXhzUDZpWnRvVXhEV1JNWnVXNE9ra1hVa0MwVDlycWhYYTdXU3h3NXk1WVpWMDdPMDFFZWYtX1J6MDhNYk9TTk9uaHFteFEtQ1M0V0Njai1pMTVlTVpLTkIwZ1RGTjVyY2JmeWtLLTQ1OW5qbE5TWDN4Z0VCX1pQQ202Q1YxQUw?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T13:02:00Z","claim":"Dow futures fall 500 points after Trump announces Strait of Hormuz blockade as talks fail: Live updates CNBC Iran War Live Updates: Oil Climbs Back Above $100 as U.S. Plans Hormuz Blockade The New York Times Stock futures sink, oil prices jump as U.S. prepares to blockade Strait of Hormuz CBS News Oil prices jump on US plans to blockade Iranian ports in Strait of Hormuz | CNN Business CNN Oil Prices Surge Back Above $100 as U.S. Moves to Block Strait of Hormuz Barron's","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Dow futures fall 500 points after Trump announces Strait of Hormuz blockade as talks fail: Live updates - CNBC","magnitude":0.9,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Dow futures fall 500 points after Trump announces Strait of Hormuz blockade as talks fail: Live updates CNBC Iran War Live Updates: Oil Climbs Back Above $100 as U.S. Plans Hormuz Blockade The New York Times Stock futures sink, oil prices jump as U.S. prepares to blockade Strait of Hormuz CBS News Oil prices jump on US plans to blockade Iranian ports in Strait of Hormuz | CNN Business CNN Oil Prices Surge Back Abo...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMid0FVX3lxTE15aXRHdmlfQXNxSmZVLWVpMkxMd2FEN1ZUUGR1Tzg2bHFBX084dzM2NGItZUx0cUFIUFFfQ0YzdmZ0VHFUc0c3dlFGNUNDaExGQXh3UnF4Ty1rVEVhYjZUSnZQMzJEaUZmUmQ2am9oeFRBM3RoNUsw0gF8QVVfeXFMTkxTcnBzUEVvYXJkU1hITWthanpSSlBwbmhWZHlvUDRDaUZrZU1Gb1JScktEQnA3Zmw0UEwxejZWMjE1cVpTeU1nUnZ1NG9qVTZhUkYyUEdIbzB3a1NtaFBTMEZjVjhzMURDUUk2MmRrMEYxOHNla1NHaWRfMw?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T12:52:43Z","claim":"Effects of Iran War Emerge in Company Earnings, Starting With Goldman Sachs The New York Times Goldman Sachs tops estimates on record equities trading \u2014 here's why the stock is falling CNBC Goldman Sachs Reports Record Quarter in Banking and Trading WSJ Goldman Sachs profits rise on stock trading, M&A surge Yahoo Finance Goldman Stock Traders Trounce Wall Street Record by $1 Billion Bloomberg.com","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Effects of Iran War Emerge in Company Earnings, Starting With Goldman Sachs - The New York Times","magnitude":0.9,"source":"The New York Times","summary":"Effects of Iran War Emerge in Company Earnings, Starting With Goldman Sachs The New York Times Goldman Sachs tops estimates on record equities trading \u2014 here's why the stock is falling CNBC Goldman Sachs Reports Record Quarter in Banking and Trading WSJ Goldman Sachs profits rise on stock trading, M&A surge Yahoo Finance Goldman Stock Traders Trounce Wall Street Record by $1 Billion Bloomberg.com","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMie0FVX3lxTE41RUlkZnVJbXBCblh0bnduWVNzVW56Y1lLd043aFlkXzhfNXJ5b0pCNzhBdmlWcFNORjdBWWFVbHphNGp3Ty1pQTZpLVJNc2p2ekp0X19qU3B0aEtia25HVldvQ2VkdEh1ZFUzVFV6WmJ4aVpWVHQ2T1BMTQ?oc=5"}],"timing_hints":[],"uncertainty_state":"conflicted","unresolved_questions":["Validate the primary claim against at least one primary source.","Confirm the same claim type across another independent source family.","Check timing context and unresolved uncertainty before escalation.","Resolve contradiction: directional claim conflict","Resolve contradiction: claim type conflict:news development"],"urgency":"low","what_changed":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stocks stage a big comeback Monday with the S&P 500 wiping out Iran war losses: Live updates CNBC Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq gain as Trump says Iran wants to talk, software stocks rally Yahoo Finance Opinion | An Iran Cease-Fire Won\u2019t Help Gas Prices The New York Times Stocks rally, oil dips below $100 a barrel a...","why_now":"1 signal families across 3 sources converged within the active day window (latest signal at 2026-04-14T01:09:00+00:00).","window_end":"2026-04-15T00:00:00Z","window_start":"2026-04-12T00:00:00Z","world_state_thesis":"S&P 500 futures are little changed after index erases Iran war losses: Live updates - CNBC"},{"alert_class":"none","confidence":0.56,"continuity":{"current_quality_score":0.6299,"hours_since_last_seen":0.0,"last_confidence":0.56,"last_decision":"monitor","last_quality_score":0.6365,"last_seen_at":"2026-04-13T20:31:40+00:00","narrative_hint":"Developing multi-signal narrative.","prior_story_count_96h":1,"quality_delta":-0.0066,"re_emerging":false,"state":"developing","story_key":"isk_27e88f145f0afcefff2d","trajectory":[{"confidence":0.56,"decision":"monitor","headline":"US stocks closed higher as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq wiped out Iran war-driven losses on hopes for a 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losses.","corroboration":{"claim_agreement":1.0,"claim_type_breakdown":{"geopolitical_event":{"count":1,"down":0,"neutral":1,"up":0},"market_price_development":{"count":1,"down":0,"neutral":1,"up":0}},"claim_type_coverage":2,"contradiction_flags":[],"evidence_event_count":2,"evidence_quality":0.575,"high_precision_pass":false,"independent_source_coverage":2,"score":0.6587,"signal_family_coverage":2},"decision":"monitor","degraded":true,"degraded_reason":"llm_unavailable_or_invalid_verdict","entity_key":"macro:index:gspc","followup_status":"none","headline":"US stocks closed higher as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq wiped out Iran war-driven losses on hopes for a deal.","impact_score":0.5555,"importance":{"band":"medium","continuity_state":"developing","family_breadth":0.5,"provenance_score":0.547,"reasons":[],"score":0.6879,"theme_prior":0.84,"trust_avg":0.66},"information_gaps":["No article text provided, so the specific 'deal' is not identified.","No time frame beyond 'close' is provided.","No magnitude of gains/losses or percentage figures are included.","No tickers beyond the indices are specified.","No article text is provided, so the specific downside targets, support levels, and any timeframe details are unknown.","No additional market context (e.g., drivers, macro data, earnings, or policy events) is included in the provided text.","The exact date corresponding to \u201cMonday\u201d is not specified."],"latest_observed_at":"2026-04-13T20:31:40+00:00","named_entities":["S&P 500","^GSPC","Nasdaq","^IXIC","US stocks"],"normalized_claims":[{"claim":"US stocks closed higher as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq wiped out Iran war-driven losses on hopes for a deal.","claim_type":"geopolitical_event","confidence":0.55,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"c59dfe545cce668b","source_domain":"aa.com.tr"},{"claim":"Investing.com published (or is publishing) an article about S&P 500 downside targets and support levels for stock markets on 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WSJ","magnitude":0.9,"source":"WSJ","summary":"How Trump\u2019s Iran War Reversals Have Whipsawed Markets WSJ","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMikwFBVV95cUxOdHpqLTJtWXdqUGIzYWtjWTFUWUNMb0hiTXlCRWgyQ29hSGdvRWdQc0lqWlJSTDE0eFpVZTNtTnVyUXBtZHNfbzJyNUF3ZTJpYWkyWjU5NEVOZ0ZhM0U3b0w2MVBPRWpNWVlsdWloaWRDWk9CblhqNFhFa1gtZHZadmxqZmwwcG8yMDFXeGI1U3c1bHc?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T21:27:03Z","claim":"Middle East crisis live: Donald Trump claims Iran \u2018wants to work a deal\u2019 and confirms blockade of strait of Hormuz The Guardian Middle East war live: Trump says Iran has made contact and wants deal \u2018very badly\u2019 Financial Times Iran War: Trump Says Iran Reached Out for More Talks as Blockade Starts Bloomberg.com Trump Says U.S.-Iran Deal \u2018Doesn\u2019t Matter\u2019 Because U.S. Has Already Won WSJ Trump says Iran has 'called' about making a deal after failed weekend talks. What's next? abcnews.com","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Middle East crisis live: Donald Trump claims Iran \u2018wants to work a deal\u2019 and confirms blockade of strait of Hormuz - The Guardian","magnitude":0.9,"source":"The Guardian","summary":"Middle East crisis live: Donald Trump claims Iran \u2018wants to work a deal\u2019 and confirms blockade of strait of Hormuz The Guardian Middle East war live: Trump says Iran has made contact and wants deal \u2018very badly\u2019 Financial Times Iran War: Trump Says Iran Reached Out for More Talks as Blockade Starts Bloomberg.com Trump Says U.S.-Iran Deal \u2018Doesn\u2019t Matter\u2019 Because U.S. Has Already Won WSJ Trump says Iran has 'called'...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi7gFBVV95cUxOS2x6Qm9KaU1wNmdPd0FRMjVydXprTWdUT2xKTFMzRnlGM3pqSWxmV3ZyU0VRRXgwekRDaC14cUdZYmVWblIwaXg2UEoyTjAxZ042X1RpU3ExOEotNGExUTJnX3NsWVdILW94eTVoX0FGbWhmVWlDUVRCbE1KM0ZTUzEybVdUM1l0bTM1NXREeVp2bWIxN3ZFdUVkaXJrTGdwTlFnY1lEak5Idm5ZcHZRVDRzSUkxWnYtN3doWmVkMk1kNWtybnNBZlh4V3k5cWppOGo4SFh0SHlYak9QT3hkcEZqckpCX1hHTTRtYm5R?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T19:56:00Z","claim":"P\u00e9ter Magyar vows to pursue those who \u2018plundered\u2019 Hungary after election win The Guardian Opinion | Orban\u2019s Fall Is an Astounding Achievement The New York Times Opinion | The Curtain Falls for Hungary\u2019s Orb\u00e1n WSJ Orb\u00e1n\u2019s Defeat Shows What Trump\u2019s Opponents Keep Doing Wrong Politico 5 things to know about P\u00e9ter Magyar, Hungary's new prime minister NPR","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"down","family":"news","headline":"P\u00e9ter Magyar vows to pursue those who \u2018plundered\u2019 Hungary after election win - The Guardian","magnitude":0.45,"source":"The Guardian","summary":"P\u00e9ter Magyar vows to pursue those who \u2018plundered\u2019 Hungary after election win The Guardian Opinion | Orban\u2019s Fall Is an Astounding Achievement The New York Times Opinion | The Curtain Falls for Hungary\u2019s Orb\u00e1n WSJ Orb\u00e1n\u2019s Defeat Shows What Trump\u2019s Opponents Keep Doing Wrong Politico 5 things to know about P\u00e9ter Magyar, Hungary's new prime minister NPR","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMivAFBVV95cUxQZkkyc1VmYXRmY3JlOEJQY2JEU0RxNlFVUW1YN3YzR3BjSUZsSE1GRnBRdUpaSGpnYkV3bTQ1RWpmMmw3VndCM1liYmRRMG84d3d5c2h0NGl1VjNhWGxjR19qMzdFMExIRW9HQXI2aXJ3eHNjRjJlVW1pQmo1Ry1QTWx5VXJxWmxscEc2YVpObmVWNmdlbjRCZFZKaE5jYVZfQXE3Vy1MT3VEZ09rWFBoNzBoTWo2MU1ab05jZQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T17:54:00Z","claim":"Louis Vuitton Owner Misses Revenue Views as Middle East War Dims Rebound Hopes WSJ LVMH sales miss expectations as luxury recovery is put on pause amid Middle East war CNBC Exclusive: Luxury brands face profit squeeze as Iran conflict shrinks UAE mall sales, sources say Reuters LVMH Sales Suffer After Middle East War Weighs on Vuitton Demand Bloomberg.com LVMH Touts Improvements in China, U.S. in Q1 WWD","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Louis Vuitton Owner Misses Revenue Views as Middle East War Dims Rebound Hopes - WSJ","magnitude":0.9,"source":"WSJ","summary":"Louis Vuitton Owner Misses Revenue Views as Middle East War Dims Rebound Hopes WSJ LVMH sales miss expectations as luxury recovery is put on pause amid Middle East war CNBC Exclusive: Luxury brands face profit squeeze as Iran conflict shrinks UAE mall sales, sources say Reuters LVMH Sales Suffer After Middle East War Weighs on Vuitton Demand Bloomberg.com LVMH Touts Improvements in China, U.S. in Q1 WWD","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMigAFBVV95cUxNNi1Qdk0zUW9BcG5kczc5S0gwUUcwQm5rQ0U5ZTVTbmt2QTl5eGtUNk4ycG1NaU9oVnd1UWtZYW9WUnY3WEJPRlBhQWt1UDZQbkdibjhkam9neldvakdkNEdNSW9NQUREcGJJXzRqdS1JejVucHAyNGlrTUhOV0h6WA?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T11:10:00Z","claim":"Investors are writing off any move from the Fed this month\u2014collapsing talks in Iran have sealed the deal Fortune Bond Traders Snap Back to Inflation as Higher-for-Longer Sets In Bloomberg.com Inflation or recession? 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WSJ","magnitude":0.9,"source":"WSJ","summary":"Trump Weighs Limited Strikes Against Iran After Peace Talks Collapse WSJ 'Inches away from deal': Iran on why US peace talks in Islamabad failed The Times of India The Guardian view on US-Iran talks: Trump\u2019s diplomacy falters as risk of war grows | Editorial The Guardian 'No other way': Mideast prepares for more fighting as talks fail Yahoo Opinion | What really happened in Islamabad \u2014 and what Trump is trying now...","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMipwFBVV95cUxNVk42VWNkZDBOU2YzLXVJSHhjc1pQQnBXakwxSXdnb2tkX3JaQkt5emRwQ3JlbFgyT0NvUVN3dFBHYnNmeV95aEZwa0V2eVYyZ2hROXdKLU1WRnlpMllrUDgzNTFaNzVaaUFmakszWXpmNkpsUkhqeW1FRzhrWVI3VWxzOTVMdlFOelZfWlRXc3RYLXpXVHhRa2plQjF3OHktQzU4a2ZFRQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-12T20:05:00Z","claim":"Hungarian opposition ousts Viktor Orb\u00e1n after 16 years in power | Hungary The Guardian Hungary's Election Sends a Jolting Message \u2014 to Democrats Politico Magyar set to outline Hungary plans after resounding victory over Orb\u00e1n \u2013 Europe live The Guardian Illiberalism Is Not Inevitable The Atlantic Opinion | Hungarians Oust Viktor Orb\u00e1n WSJ","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"Hungarian opposition ousts Viktor Orb\u00e1n after 16 years in power | Hungary - 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The New York Times \u201cThey\u2019re All About To Get F*cked\u201d: Damon Lindelof Reveals Blue-Collar Reason He Signed Anti-Paramount/WBD Merger Missive Deadline Mark Ruffalo and Emma Thompson among 1,000+ signatories on open letter opposing Paramount\u2019s Warner buyout The Guardian Joaquin Phoenix, Ben Stiller, Kristen Stewart and 1,000-Plus Hollywood Names Oppose Paramount-Warner Deal in Open Letter: \u2018Block the Merger\u2019 Variety Over 1,000 Hollywood Boldface Names Release Open Letter Expressing \u201cUnequivocal Opposition\u201d to Paramount-Warners Deal The Hollywood Reporter","claim_type":"news_development","direction":"down","family":"news","headline":"Hollywood Heavyweights Sign Letter Opposing Paramount\u2019s Deal for Warner Bros. - The New York Times","magnitude":0.9,"source":"The New York Times","summary":"Hollywood Heavyweights Sign Letter Opposing Paramount\u2019s Deal for Warner Bros. 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Bloomberg.com","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxNR3NJMkxuWXdWcjMxOXZjLVJsQWNlcWQxTG1rNTlCdloyVzM2MVNTNXA2TEFqVHRJdXVadm1BQnRrcV9yUkdYd3BqdzQzRnFiTkdvcjhleTZPS19YalRRTGQwWFp4NE9CSmNpTEgwOEZreS05Q3BRQUVFUXIxdUc0TUJ6dnJZOXdpR2pJTk40cFRoT245VFo0emdiOGEtQlhoVWxPckRhSTBEOEk0dVE?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T15:58:28Z","claim":"Stocks Fall, Yields Edge Higher as Oil Tops $100: Markets Wrap - Bloomberg.com","claim_type":"market_news_development","direction":"down","family":"market_news","headline":"Stocks Fall, Yields Edge Higher as Oil Tops $100: Markets Wrap - Bloomberg.com","magnitude":0.72,"source":"Bloomberg.com","summary":"Stocks Fall, Yields Edge Higher as Oil Tops $100: Markets Wrap - Bloomberg.com","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxNR3NJMkxuWXdWcjMxOXZjLVJsQWNlcWQxTG1rNTlCdloyVzM2MVNTNXA2TEFqVHRJdXVadm1BQnRrcV9yUkdYd3BqdzQzRnFiTkdvcjhleTZPS19YalRRTGQwWFp4NE9CSmNpTEgwOEZreS05Q3BRQUVFUXIxdUc0TUJ6dnJZOXdpR2pJTk40cFRoT245VFo0emdiOGEtQlhoVWxPckRhSTBEOEk0dVE?oc=5"}],"timing_hints":[],"uncertainty_state":"conflicted","unresolved_questions":["Validate the primary claim against at least one primary source.","Confirm the same claim type across another independent source family.","Check timing context and unresolved uncertainty before escalation.","Resolve contradiction: directional claim conflict","Resolve contradiction: claim type conflict:market news development"],"urgency":"low","what_changed":"Stock Market Today, April 13: Stocks Edge Upwards Despite Continued Oil Disruption - Yahoo Finance","why_now":"1 signal families across 11 sources converged within the active day window (latest signal at 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war.","magnitude":0.7036,"source":"Morningstar","summary":"European ETF Investors Retreat to the Sidelines as Iran War Rattles Markets Morningstar; The headline states European ETF investors are retreating to the sidelines.; The headline attributes this behavior to the Iran war rattling markets.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.OYgPNdDf9Nc.L.X.O/am=GAIFAAAADpgFDCgAAQ/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2OYSmDAUDetpsORI83j3dpsv55GJQ/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"}],"timing_hints":[],"uncertainty_state":"open","unresolved_questions":["No article text is provided, so the specific ETF flows, countries, sectors, or magnitude of the retreat are unknown.","The exact timing/catalyst window for the behavior is not specified beyond the headline framing.","No specific tickers or ETF names are mentioned, so tradable symbols cannot be extracted.","Validate the primary claim against at least one primary source.","Confirm the same claim type across another independent source family.","Check timing context and unresolved uncertainty before escalation."],"urgency":"low","what_changed":"European ETF Investors Retreat to the Sidelines as Iran War Rattles Markets Morningstar","why_now":"1 signal families across 1 sources converged within the active multi-day window (latest signal at 2026-04-13T08:23:37+00:00).","window_end":"2026-04-14T00:00:00Z","window_start":"2026-04-13T00:00:00Z","world_state_thesis":"European ETF Investors Retreat to the Sidelines as Iran War Rattles Markets - Morningstar"},{"alert_class":"none","confidence":0.46,"continuity":{"current_quality_score":0.5533,"hours_since_last_seen":0.0,"last_confidence":0.46,"last_decision":"monitor","last_quality_score":0.528,"last_seen_at":"2026-04-13T16:32:22+00:00","narrative_hint":"Developing multi-signal 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are unknown.","No standardized ticker/symbol for \"PRSM\" is provided in the signal; no tradable asset identifiers can be extracted from the given text only.","The signal does not specify whether \"PRSM\" refers to a specific company stock, a program, or a munition inventory; only the phrase \"PRSM Stocks\" is present."],"latest_observed_at":"2026-04-13T16:32:22+00:00","named_entities":["PRSM stocks"],"normalized_claims":[{"claim":"All PRSM Stocks Expended Early In Iran War Aviation Week","claim_type":"news_development","confidence":0.62,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"631bf3eba2e16ece","source_domain":"aviationweek.com"},{"claim":"All PRSM stocks were expended early in the Iran war, according to Aviation Week.","claim_type":"geopolitical_event","confidence":0.55,"direction":"neutral","fact_id":"82f5d5d67cd5c568","source_domain":"aviationweek.com"}],"personal_relevance":{"applied":true,"boost":0.008,"matched_assets":[],"matched_keywords":[],"score":0.1,"why_you":"No strong personal 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No specific price movement, news item, or market-moving claim is included in the provided text.; Headline references Bitcoin (BTC).; Headline references \u201cStock Price Today | Quotes & News.\u201d","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T20:04:22Z","claim":"BItcoin price news: BTC retakes $73,000 as oil gives up gains, stocks advance - CoinDesk","claim_type":"market_news_development","direction":"up","family":"market_news","headline":"BItcoin price news: BTC retakes $73,000 as oil gives up gains, stocks advance - CoinDesk","magnitude":0.5,"source":"CoinDesk","summary":"BItcoin price news: BTC retakes $73,000 as oil gives up gains, stocks advance - CoinDesk","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiyAFBVV95cUxNNWtCZEVpVFBucS1OR2k3RlFjQXhGVUNENGN3dnZxcVZISktMY1NKVlRXRWQ0dkc0bWltMFlLeUZKZk9TbGdsaC1mSFBSaVNsOFRVbTJHWVFKTHR5QXFldGJjTzdsLWh1THoyaV9ZZXI1NnM2WmNZODBnOVNGbUpFU3lfY2kxT19VM1J6ekRqUUs0VFZDOEpoTmNzSnVVWHd0TXF1QlNGZXV0WHZjbmFIYjJVNGJvYW9lTUJDYlNkSmVYMHZSZDJTLQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T20:03:45Z","claim":"BItcoin price news: BTC retakes $73,000 as oil gives up gains, stocks advance - CoinDesk","claim_type":"market_news_development","direction":"up","family":"market_news","headline":"BItcoin price news: BTC retakes $73,000 as oil gives up gains, stocks advance - CoinDesk","magnitude":0.5,"source":"CoinDesk","summary":"BItcoin price news: BTC retakes $73,000 as oil gives up gains, stocks advance - CoinDesk","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiyAFBVV95cUxNNWtCZEVpVFBucS1OR2k3RlFjQXhGVUNENGN3dnZxcVZISktMY1NKVlRXRWQ0dkc0bWltMFlLeUZKZk9TbGdsaC1mSFBSaVNsOFRVbTJHWVFKTHR5QXFldGJjTzdsLWh1THoyaV9ZZXI1NnM2WmNZODBnOVNGbUpFU3lfY2kxT19VM1J6ekRqUUs0VFZDOEpoTmNzSnVVWHd0TXF1QlNGZXV0WHZjbmFIYjJVNGJvYW9lTUJDYlNkSmVYMHZSZDJTLQ?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T20:03:45Z","claim":"BTC retook $73,000 while oil gave up gains and stocks advanced.","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"BTC retook $73,000 while oil gave up gains and stocks advanced.","magnitude":0.7036,"source":"CoinDesk","summary":"The headline reports that Bitcoin (BTC) retook the $73,000 level as oil gains were reduced and stocks advanced.; Headline states BTC retakes $73,000.; Headline links BTC retaking $73,000 to oil giving up gains.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T19:46:31Z","claim":"BTIG\u2019s Jonathan Krinsky believes Bitcoin\u2019s rebound suggests software stocks have bottomed.","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"news","headline":"BTIG\u2019s Jonathan Krinsky believes Bitcoin\u2019s rebound suggests software stocks have bottomed.","magnitude":0.571,"source":"CNBC","summary":"Bitcoin rebound suggests software stocks may have bottomed, says BTIG's Jonathan Krinsky CNBC; Headline states Bitcoin rebounded.; Headline states Krinsky (BTIG) said the rebound suggests software stocks may have bottomed.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T16:56:16Z","claim":"The headline indicates a BTC/USD (BTCUSD) stock price quotes and news page on Moomoo.","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"The headline indicates a BTC/USD (BTCUSD) stock price quotes and news page on Moomoo.","magnitude":0.376,"source":"Moomoo","summary":"The provided headline is a generic market page for BTC/USD quotes and news on Moomoo. No specific market-moving claim, price level, or directional trend is stated in the available text.; Headline references BTC/USD (BTCUSD).; Headline references \u201cStock Price Today | Quotes & News\u201d on Moomoo.","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T16:56:16Z","claim":"BTC/USD(BTCUSD) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - Moomoo","claim_type":"market_news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"BTC/USD(BTCUSD) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - Moomoo","magnitude":0.5,"source":"Moomoo","summary":"BTC/USD(BTCUSD) Stock Price Today | Quotes & News - Moomoo","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMixgJBVV95cUxPMTdIUndzaGZ6Y09jX0kxQmZEbFBkblpvRDlkMW14STdVRVZXYXQ2RnVVRlBzM0JSVUVGSjlBYmh3aEFIS2FwUDA3dk5iS1R2M2ROS1F4MmY2UWtoMER4bkxza0l1ZHIybXhkM3VvMTZpU3BXY0R1NW43WTJpUXFQSHhYMC1hNlV3d1RZU19OZWdiRGowYk1IdkMyc3AxSDhSTG9WbFczZk11RnhPblNwdGMwUTdWN3pwMjBlam9MeVg4NTdxbjhIOU1KeS1hbDJLdFNDVV9jcGt5eUYya0pSTUtINHRWVDlPb25DWWtMbFpKTXI4VnBPYnhCRTZzbXh3QkpIY3dDdnpGaDF6WUpyOTg0cFF4WVNPU1FBY3hUX3hJZ1NMSGkzWkg2QXZxamxrV0tpQ3VGZlZNbGVQSE1PTVVYVThmdw?oc=5"},{"at":"2026-04-13T14:37:00Z","claim":"Strategy is using preferred stock sales to buy more Bitcoin (\u201cbuy the dip\u201d).","claim_type":"market_price_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"Strategy is using preferred stock sales to buy more Bitcoin (\u201cbuy the dip\u201d).","magnitude":0.7036,"source":"Barron's","summary":"Barron\u2019s headline says Strategy is buying more Bitcoin by using preferred stock sales to purchase on a dip.; Headline states \u201cStrategy Snaps Up More Bitcoin.\u201d; Headline states it is \u201cUsing Preferred Stock Sales to Buy the Dip.\u201d","url":"https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp"},{"at":"2026-04-13T13:56:45Z","claim":"Michael Saylor\u2019s Strategy buys $1B Bitcoin at $71.9K per BTC - Blockspace Media","claim_type":"market_news_development","direction":"neutral","family":"market_news","headline":"Michael Saylor\u2019s Strategy buys $1B Bitcoin at $71.9K per BTC - Blockspace Media","magnitude":0.5,"source":"Blockspace Media","summary":"Michael Saylor\u2019s Strategy buys $1B Bitcoin at $71.9K per BTC - Blockspace Media","url":"https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMilgFBVV95cUxPSTh1NGdKeXhtNEZBZ0J0ZWV0ZzBzd0JHZVM1OGk3YS1TeVdLZklFOXgtSU1KYWhxeXhxUW1XSzBzQjBodjBJUndMQkZEU2hYR2RMbU11ZkNUZVFOSHBhWDlNVVRJaW13Uk9KRDFzR3Jxa2Z1TkNzY2RpWnBPcTZ5ZTN4elN2ZHc3MGY2MWo0UnZ2Z0N2aXc?oc=5"}],"timing_hints":["today"],"uncertainty_state":"open","unresolved_questions":["No actual BTC price, percentage change, or direction (up/down) is provided.","No specific news catalyst or event details are provided.","No source summary or article text is available to extract further grounded facts.","No article text provided, so the timing, magnitude, and causality implied by the headline cannot be verified.","No specific oil ticker/contract or stock tickers/indices are provided in the provided text.","No details on whether the move is intraday, sustained, or tied to specific macro data.","Add at least one primary source confirmation before escalation.","Increase independent source coverage to reduce provenance risk."],"urgency":"medium","what_changed":"The circulating narrative is a specific, quantified purchase claim ($1B total; ~$71.9K average), which\u2014if accurate\u2014would represent a notable incremental accumulation signal for Bitcoin-linked corporate strategy.","why_now":"The claim is being actively re-published across major crypto/finance news sources in the same recent window (recency score 0.85), making it timely for market participants to notice and for verification checks to be performed.","window_end":"2026-04-14T00:00:00Z","window_start":"2026-04-13T00:00:00Z","world_state_thesis":"Multiple outlets are circulating a claim that Michael Saylor\u2019s strategy bought $1B of Bitcoin at an average price around $71.9K per BTC; however, the provided material does not include primary transaction documentation, so the development is best treated as a market/positioning update rather than an immediate, high-urgency global event."}]},"output_mrkdwn":"*Intel Digest* - 2026-04-14T00:00\n\n*Top Urgent Developments*\n- 1. *Multiple outlets are circulating a claim that Michael Saylor\u2019s strategy bought $1B of Bitcoin at an average price around $71.9K per BTC; however, the provided material does not include primary transaction documentation, so the development is best treated as a market/positioning update rather than an immediate, high-urgency global event.* (`alert`/developing, conf=0.75, corr=0.79, imp=0.84)\n Continuity: developing\n Uncertainty: open | follow-up: none\n What changed: The circulating narrative is a specific, quantified purchase claim ($1B total; ~$71.9K average), which\u2014if accurate\u2014would represent a notable incremental accumulation signal for Bitcoin-linked corporate strategy.\n Why now: The claim is being actively re-published across major crypto/finance news sources in the same recent window (recency score 0.85), making it timely for market participants to notice and for verification checks to be performed.\n Sources: <https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp|BTIG\u2019s Jonathan Krinsky believes Bitcoin\u2019s rebound suggests software stocks have bottomed.> (cnbc.com); <https://www.gstatic.com/_/mss/boq-dots/_/ss/k=boq-dots.DotsSplashUi_desktop_ms.z46LtA-qfIg.L.X.O/am=GAIFAACAA2YBAwpA/d=1/ed=1/rs=ALs0n2PeUbKSDKfQ9Op-3wUE_8hlNgDpuA/m=syndicationarticleview,_b,_tp|Strategy is using preferred stock sales to buy more Bitcoin (\u201cbuy the dip\u201d).> (barrons.com); <https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiyAFBVV95cUxNNWtCZEVpVFBucS1OR2k3RlFjQXhGVUNENGN3dnZxcVZISktMY1NKVlRXRWQ0dkc0bWltMFlLeUZKZk9TbGdsaC1mSFBSaVNsOFRVbTJHWVFKTHR5QXFldGJjTzdsLWh1THoyaV9ZZXI1NnM2WmNZODBnOVNGbUpFU3lfY2kxT19VM1J6ekRqUUs0VFZDOEpoTmNzSnVVWHd0TXF1QlNGZXV0WHZjbmFIYjJVNGJvYW9lTUJDYlNkSmVYMHZSZDJTLQ?oc=5|BItcoin price news: BTC retakes $73,000 as oil gives up gains, stocks advance - CoinDesk> (coindesk.com)\n\n*Open Uncertainties & Next Checks*\n- Multiple outlets are circulating a claim that Michael Saylor\u2019s strategy bought $1B of Bitcoin at an average price around $71.9K per BTC; however, the provided material does not include primary transaction documentation, so the development is best treated as a market/positioning update rather than an immediate, high-urgency global event.: No actual BTC price, percentage change, or direction (up/down) is provided. (follow-up: none)","ready_at":"2026-04-14T04:38:58.429461+00:00","status":"ready","summary":"Multiple outlets are circulating a claim that Michael Saylor\u2019s strategy bought $1B of Bitcoin at an average price around $71.9K per BTC; however, the provided material does not include primary transaction documentation, so the development is best treated as a market/positioning update rather than an immediate, high-urgency global event.","title":"Intel Digest 2026-04-14T00:00","updated_at":"2026-04-14T04:38:58.429461+00:00"}...
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0.78
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intel_digest:2026-04-14T00:00
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2026-04-14T04:39:04.153945+00:00
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