SQLite Web: event

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{"case_id": "case_cc9c571fbc9e0620", "claims": [{"agreement_score": 0.6, "claim_id": "claim_7f094546f91fa5f4", "confidence": 0.7218, "conflict": false, "direction": "neutral", "entity_key": "equity:XAU", "evidence_event_ids": ["evt_202cd68de001", "evt_70341d043875", "evt_aeac507a3379", "evt_24046ed7b8db", "evt_eaa3d315cea9", "evt_1267da1e0cc3", "evt_b53f406a01e8", "evt_7bf9e6cbf4ee", "evt_1a382592c3b0", "evt_9e8d24d28ecb", "evt_839319014ba4", "evt_688ae9764fb8"], "fact_ids": ["fact_c10a53205effe853", "fact_b87d2831121fad14", "fact_bf992b0aa43ae73b", "fact_f6d4e3e3d13c2e3c", "fact_fe77c8e8e16089c2", "fact_26f32622608f3e5a", "fact_6f758983c423a5bb", "fact_4cccad104410860f", "fact_b963082f1ef9610c", "fact_3e5bd75e8b26d7ed", "fact_61678810c1e91ea6", "fact_29822340974fce76", "fact_61338f4a00a32095", "fact_085b983217abe68c"], "magnitude": 0.5423, "observed_at": "2026-04-06T08:27:45.067517+00:00", "predicate": "thesis_support_signal", "signal_families": ["research"], "source_domains": 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{"count": 4, "domain": "mitrade.com", "score": 0.58, "source": "web_search"}, {"count": 3, "domain": "facebook.com", "score": 0.58, "source": "web_search"}, {"count": 1, "domain": "m.dailyhunt.in", "score": 0.58, "source": "web_search"}, {"count": 1, "domain": "ainvest.com", "score": 0.58, "source": "web_search"}, {"count": 1, "domain": "news.bitcoin.com", "score": 0.58, "source": "Bitcoin.com News"}], "high_trust_domains": ["bloomberg.com", "reuters.com"], "independent_high_trust_sources": 9, "low_trust_domains": []}, "source_trust_score": 0.7913}, "corroboration_matrix": {"case_signal_families": ["research", "news", "market"], "case_source_domains": ["mitrade.com", "facebook.com", "reuters.com", "investing.com", "gold.org", "m.dailyhunt.in", "ainvest.com", "bloomberg.com", "news.bitcoin.com"], "claims": [{"agreement_score": 0.6, "claim_id": "claim_7f094546f91fa5f4", "conflict": false, "direction": "neutral", "evidence_count": 12, "family_coverage": 1, "quality_score": 0.6823, 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"multi_family_claims": 0, "multi_source_claims": 2}, "score": 0.5233}, "counterfactuals": ["If inflation stabilizes, interest rates may remain steady", "If inflation rises again, monetary policy could tighten"], "decision_reason_codes": ["inflation_stabilization", "economic_data", "policy_impact", "high_precision_pass", "neutral_personalization_mode"], "evidence_refs": [{"event_id": "evt_202cd68de001", "headline": "Gold extends gains near two-week highs amid optimism ...", "signal_id": "sig_9daa359f4be0", "signal_type": "opportunity_research_snapshot", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "mitrade.com"}, {"event_id": "evt_70341d043875", "headline": "Gold's share as a reserve asset has increased to 24%, overtaking US Treasuries at 21%.", "signal_id": "sig_357519f97b66", "signal_type": "opportunity_research_delta", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "facebook.com"}, {"event_id": "evt_66a50731c6b3", "headline": "Gold prices are falling as geopolitical tensions and robust economic data impact market expectations.", "signal_id": "sig_0dc33d64547b", "signal_type": "news_headline_delta", "source": "Reuters", "source_domain": "reuters.com"}, {"event_id": "evt_aeac507a3379", "headline": "Gold extends gains near two-week highs amid optimism over US ...", "signal_id": "sig_0e308649e3dd", "signal_type": "opportunity_research_snapshot", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "mitrade.com"}, {"event_id": "evt_24046ed7b8db", "headline": "Gold extends gains near two-week highs amid optimism over US ...", "signal_id": "sig_b604d9b0cd0c", "signal_type": "opportunity_research_snapshot", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "mitrade.com"}, {"event_id": "evt_24046ed7b8db", "headline": "Gold Prices Face Pressure From Rates Despite ... - Investing.com", "signal_id": "sig_b604d9b0cd0c", "signal_type": "opportunity_research_snapshot", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "investing.com"}, {"event_id": "evt_eaa3d315cea9", "headline": "Gold extends gains near two-week highs amid optimism over US ...", "signal_id": "sig_089db1447302", "signal_type": "opportunity_research_snapshot", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "mitrade.com"}, {"event_id": "evt_eaa3d315cea9", "headline": "Gold Prices Face Pressure From Rates Despite ... - Investing.com", "signal_id": "sig_089db1447302", "signal_type": "opportunity_research_snapshot", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "investing.com"}, {"event_id": "evt_1267da1e0cc3", "headline": "Gold and silver are expected to remain range-bound with a positive bias next week.", "signal_id": "sig_34d4321a75f4", "signal_type": "opportunity_research_delta", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "facebook.com"}, {"event_id": "evt_b53f406a01e8", "headline": "The most recent updates on gold market data include historical demand and supply as of January 29, 2026, and gold spot prices as of April...", "signal_id": "sig_54cd8f0fd016", "signal_type": "opportunity_research_delta", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "gold.org"}, {"event_id": "evt_7bf9e6cbf4ee", "headline": "Gold prices are supported by a retreat in Treasury yields but constrained by a strong US Dollar.", "signal_id": "sig_491962dd169b", "signal_type": "opportunity_research_delta", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "m.dailyhunt.in"}, {"event_id": "evt_1a382592c3b0", "headline": "Gold is viewed by some as an inflation hedge, although evidence supporting this behavior is limited.", "signal_id": "sig_40fbff877d99", "signal_type": "opportunity_research_delta", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "facebook.com"}], "named_entities": ["Gold", "XAU", "USD", "Wednesday", "US-Israel", "Iran", "US Treasuries", "Treasuries", "China", "India", "Brazil", "Turkey", "Expected", "U.S. Federal Reserve", "Fed", "Reuters Gold And", "Silver Prices Fall", "After Trump Threatens", "More Strikes", "Iran Forbes Gold"], "no_personalization_reason": "insufficient_profile_context", "personal_relevance": {"applied": false, "boost": 0.0, "explanations": ["No strong personal linkage detected."], "factors": [{"matched_assets": [], "max_exposure": 0.0, "name": "asset_linkage", "score": 0.0}, {"hits": [], "name": "theme_alignment", "score": 0.0}, {"hits": [], "name": "fallback_theme_alignment", "score": 0.0}, {"hits": [], "name": "role_alignment", "score": 0.0}, {"hits": [], "name": "location_alignment", "score": 0.0}, {"hits": [], "name": "goal_alignment", "score": 0.0}, {"hits": [], "name": "project_alignment", "score": 0.0}, {"hits": [], "name": "commitment_alignment", "score": 0.0}, {"name": "event_magnitude", "score": 0.1, "value": 10.0}, {"kind": "opportunity_case", "name": "urgency_context", "score": 0.0}], "kind": "boost_only", "matched_assets": [], "matched_keywords": [], "no_personalization_reason": "insufficient_profile_context", "profile_confidence": 0.0, "rationale": "No strong personal linkage detected.", "score": 0.1, "why_you": ""}, "personal_relevance_score": 0.1, "personalization_applied": false, "profile_confidence": 0.0, "recommended_checks": ["Monitor inflation reports", "Watch for central bank policy announcements", "Analyze consumer spending trends"], "recommended_investigation_action": "Keep an eye on inflation trends and their implications for monetary policy.", "related_assets": ["XAU", "UST", "FED", "IR", "XAG", "USD"], "risk": {"reasons": ["high_impact_requires_validation", "Stabilization in inflation could lead to more predictable economic conditions."], "risk_level": "low", "risk_score": 0.36}, "thesis": "Inflation rates are showing signs of stabilization after recent fluctuations.", "timeline": [{"at": "2026-04-05T21:35:01+00:00", "direction": "neutral", "family": "market", "headline": "Gold fell to $4,623.93 per ounce after March 2026 NFP data showed 178,000 new jobs, well above the 59,000 consensus estimate.", "magnitude": 0.85, "signal_type": "discovery_crypto_extremes_delta", "source": "Bitcoin.com News", "source_domain": "news.bitcoin.com", "summary": "Gold dropped to $4,623 per ounce this week after the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported 178,000 new nonfarm payroll jobs in March 2026, far exceeding consensus estimates and cooling expectations for near-term Federal Reserve rate cuts. Key Takeaways: Gold fell to $4,623.93/oz after March 2026 NFP data showed 178,000 new jobs, well above the [\u2026]; Gold dropped to $4,623.93/oz after March 2026 NFP data showed 178,000 new jobs, well above the 59,000 consensus estimate.; Gold has dropped roughly 15-19% from ear..."}, {"at": "2026-04-05T22:57:12+00:00", "direction": "neutral", "family": "news", "headline": "Gold prices are falling due to geopolitical tensions related to U.S. threats against Iran.", "magnitude": 0.8, "signal_type": "news_headline_delta", "source": "Bloomberg.com", "source_domain": "bloomberg.com", "summary": "Gold Falls as Trump Threatens Escalation of US Attacks on Iran Bloomberg.com Gold And Silver Prices Fall After Trump Threatens More Strikes On Iran Forbes What is gold and silver price prediction for Monday, and will precious metals continue to drop or rise aga The Economic Times Gold and Silver Gain Ahead of Trump Speech WSJ Gold under pressure as fears mount, $4,600 support at risk FXStreet; Gold prices are under pressure due to threats of U.S. military escalation against Iran.; Market sentiment is shifting ne..."}, {"at": "2026-04-05T23:05:43.832661+00:00", "direction": "neutral", "family": "research", "headline": "Gold Prices Face Pressure From Rates Despite ... - Investing.com", "magnitude": 0.28, "signal_type": "opportunity_research_snapshot", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "investing.com", "summary": "Several scheduled events this week carry the potential to break gold (XAU/USD) decisively out of its $4,360 to $4,550 range. Fed Chair Powell's remarks Monday ..."}, {"at": "2026-04-06T01:09:47.891999+00:00", "direction": "neutral", "family": "research", "headline": "Gold is viewed by some as an inflation hedge, although evidence supporting this behavior is limited.", "magnitude": 0.7, "signal_type": "opportunity_research_delta", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "facebook.com", "summary": "Covid related supply chain disruptions are the main culprit for this. Some view gold as an inflation hedge, although there is scant evidence of that behavior.; Gold prices are currently hesitant among bulls.; Covid-related supply chain disruptions are impacting market sentiment."}, {"at": "2026-04-06T01:09:47.891999+00:00", "direction": "neutral", "family": "research", "headline": "Central banks are demanding an average of 585 tonnes of gold per quarter, while global debt has reached $340 trillion, reinforcing gold's role as a currency hedge.", "magnitude": 0.85, "signal_type": "opportunity_research_delta", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "ainvest.com", "summary": "- Central banks' 585 tonnes/quarter demand and $340T global debt reinforce gold's role as currency hedge and diversifier. - Key catalysts include Fed policy ...; Gold's price dropped to $4,603.44/oz, reflecting a correction from record highs.; Central banks are projected to demand 585 tonnes of gold per quarter in 2026."}, {"at": "2026-04-06T01:09:47.891999+00:00", "direction": "neutral", "family": "research", "headline": "Gold Prices Face Pressure From Rates Despite $6000 Wall Street Targets", "magnitude": 0.28, "signal_type": "opportunity_research_snapshot", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "investing.com", "summary": "Several scheduled events this week carry the potential to break gold (XAU/USD) decisively out of its $4,360 to $4,550 range. Fed Chair Powell's remarks Monday ..."}, {"at": "2026-04-06T03:18:00+00:00", "direction": "neutral", "family": "news", "headline": "Gold prices are falling as geopolitical tensions and robust economic data impact market expectations.", "magnitude": 0.8, "signal_type": "news_headline_delta", "source": "Reuters", "source_domain": "reuters.com", "summary": "Gold falls as Iran war, robust US jobs data dim Fed rate-cut hopes Reuters Gold And Silver Prices Fall After Trump Threatens More Strikes On Iran Forbes Gold and Silver Gain Ahead of Trump Speech WSJ Gold may reverse course once Iran war ends, Fed adopts policy easing South China Morning Post Gold under pressure as fears mount, $4,600 support at risk FXStreet; Gold prices are under pressure due to geopolitical tensions in Iran.; Strong U.S. jobs data reduces the likelihood of a Fed rate cut."}, {"at": "2026-04-06T04:48:45.828798+00:00", "direction": "neutral", "family": "research", "headline": "Gold and silver are expected to remain range-bound with a positive bias next week.", "magnitude": 0.8, "signal_type": "opportunity_research_delta", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "facebook.com", "summary": "Gold and silver are expected to remain range-bound with a positive bias next week as investors track geopolitical developments in West Asia and key global macro ...; Gold and silver are expected to remain range-bound next week.; The positive bias is influenced by geopolitical developments in West Asia."}, {"at": "2026-04-06T04:48:45.828798+00:00", "direction": "neutral", "family": "research", "headline": "The most recent updates on gold market data include historical demand and supply as of January 29, 2026, and gold spot prices as of April 3, 2026.", "magnitude": 0.7, "signal_type": "opportunity_research_delta", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "gold.org", "summary": "Understand the gold market & its current performance with the world-class research and data. From gold prices charts, returns, volatility, and correlations.; Historical demand and supply updated on January 29, 2026.; Gold spot prices updated on April 3, 2026."}, {"at": "2026-04-06T04:48:45.828798+00:00", "direction": "neutral", "family": "research", "headline": "Gold prices are supported by a retreat in Treasury yields but constrained by a strong US Dollar.", "magnitude": 0.85, "signal_type": "opportunity_research_delta", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "m.dailyhunt.in", "summary": "Gold prices demonstrated notable resilience in global markets this week, holding firm as a key retreat in Treasury yields provided support.; Gold prices increased by 0.7% this week as Treasury yields fell by 12 bps.; Gold prices fell by 1.8% the previous week when yields rose by 18 bps."}], "uncertainty": {"band": "low", "reasons": ["high_impact_case"], "score": 0.1}, "upcoming_events_14d": [{"at": "2026-04-05T23:05:43Z", "family": "research", "label": "Gold Prices Face Pressure From Rates Despite ... - Investing.com", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "investing.com"}, {"at": "2026-04-06T01:09:47Z", "family": "research", "label": "Gold Prices Face Pressure From Rates Despite $6000 Wall Street Targets", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "investing.com"}, {"at": "2026-04-06T05:20:03Z", "family": "research", "label": "Gold extends gains near two-week highs amid optimism over US ...", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "mitrade.com"}, {"at": "2026-04-06T05:20:03Z", "family": "research", "label": "Gold Prices Face Pressure From Rates Despite ... - Investing.com", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "investing.com"}, {"at": "2026-04-06T06:22:38Z", "family": "research", "label": "Gold extends gains near two-week highs amid optimism over US ...", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "mitrade.com"}, {"at": "2026-04-06T06:22:38Z", "family": "research", "label": "Gold Prices Face Pressure From Rates Despite ... - Investing.com", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "investing.com"}, {"at": "2026-04-06T07:25:11Z", "family": "research", "label": "Gold extends gains near two-week highs amid optimism over US ...", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "mitrade.com"}, {"at": "2026-04-06T08:27:45Z", "family": "research", "label": "Gold extends gains near two-week highs amid optimism ...", "source": "web_search", "source_domain": "mitrade.com"}], "why_now": "Recent economic data suggests inflation may be leveling off, impacting monetary policy decisions.", "why_you": "Understanding inflation trends is crucial for economic forecasting.", "world_context": {"core_assets": [{"asset_id": "gold", "change_pct": null, "confidence": 0.62, "evidence_headlines": ["3 of Wall Street\u2019s Favorite Stocks for Long-Term Investors - StockStory", "2 Profitable Stocks to Own for Decades and 1 We Brush Off - StockStory", "EPAM (EPAM): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q4 Earnings? - StockStory", "Betting on the verdict: Kalshi case could shape prediction markets - Reuters", "This Is the Average Salary for Your Age\u2014See How You Compare - Investopedia", "Stock futures edge higher after a winning week as oil prices tick higher: Live updates - CNBC", "Q1 2026: How the Markets Drove Fund Results - Morningstar Canada", "Trump\u2019s Iran ultimatum rattles markets but will news of proposals bring some relief? - InvestmentNews"], "families": ["catalyst", "market", "news", "macro", "filing", "smart_money", "research"], "label": "Gold", "last_observed_at": "20260403", "last_price": null, "matched_tickers": [], "seen": true, "source_domains": ["news.google.com", "gstatic.com", "finance.yahoo.com", "mexc.com", "fxstreet.com", "ainvest.com", "bitget.com", "facebook.com"]}, {"asset_id": "silver", "change_pct": null, "confidence": 0.62, "evidence_headlines": ["3 of Wall Street\u2019s Favorite Stocks for Long-Term Investors - StockStory", "2 Profitable Stocks to Own for Decades and 1 We Brush Off - StockStory", "EPAM (EPAM): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q4 Earnings? - StockStory", "Betting on the verdict: Kalshi case could shape prediction markets - Reuters", "This Is the Average Salary for Your Age\u2014See How You Compare - Investopedia", "Stock futures edge higher after a winning week as oil prices tick higher: Live updates - CNBC", "Q1 2026: How the Markets Drove Fund Results - Morningstar Canada", "Trump\u2019s Iran ultimatum rattles markets but will news of proposals bring some relief? - InvestmentNews"], "families": ["catalyst", "market", "news", "macro", "filing", "smart_money", "research"], "label": "Silver", "last_observed_at": "20260403", "last_price": null, "matched_tickers": [], "seen": true, "source_domains": ["news.google.com", "gstatic.com", "finance.yahoo.com", "mexc.com", "fxstreet.com", "ainvest.com", "bitget.com", "facebook.com"]}], "global_regime_notes": [], "tracked_count": 10}}

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event_store.db — artifacts

Update row opp_case_dossier:case_cc9c571fbc9e0620:2026-04-06 in artifacts